Natt0Sensei

16 posts

Natt0Sensei

Natt0Sensei

@Natt0Sense

Learn every day or be....

Katılım Eylül 2023
153 Takip Edilen24 Takipçiler
Natt0Sensei
Natt0Sensei@Natt0Sense·
@EmperorBTC Very much interested, thank you for your time and thoughtfulness
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Emperor👑
Emperor👑@EmperorBTC·
Will start a group on Telegram ONLY for people who want to learn Scalping/Swing trading from scratch. Leave a response if you want to be added. It's free but you need to work to learn. Trading only. No Dating or shilling talks allowed.
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Natt0Sensei
Natt0Sensei@Natt0Sense·
@WifeyAlpha 🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳 🥳🐋🐳🐙🐖🐈🐟🥳🥳🐕🐭🐈‍⬛🐃🐄🐍🥳🥳 🥳🐕🐭🕊️🔪🐳🦅🥳🥳🐋🐙🕊️🦇🦅🐭🥳🥳 🥳🐃🐄🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🐍🦅🥳🥳🦂🐬🥳🥳 🥳🦃🕊️🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🐕🐭🥳🥳🦞🐡🥳🥳 🥳🦙🐖🐍🐡🦙🐙🥳🥳🐈‍⬛🐳🐙🐭🦃🐩🥳🥳 🥳🦞🦡🐈🐭🐟🦜🥳🥳🐈🐬🦂🐈‍⬛🦐❤️🐳🥳 🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🔪🥳
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Natt0Sensei
Natt0Sensei@Natt0Sense·
@WifeyAlpha Merry Christmas CQ fam 🎉🐶⛄🕺🤸‍♂️🤹‍♂️🤵‍♂️👱‍♀️CQQTAF
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Natt0Sensei retweetledi
Capital Flows
Capital Flows@Globalflows·
Macro Alpha Primer: Macro Catalysts, Hedging Pressure, and Positioning
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CoinMamba
CoinMamba@coinmamba·
50 bps cut is usually done when things are not going well in the economy. The returns reflect that:
CoinMamba tweet media
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VolSignals
VolSignals@VolSignals·
DEALER HEDGING DYNAMICS Aug'24 5-Day OPEX Boot Camp starts tomorrow after the close You know the drill- We'll randomly comp 3 people who LIKE/FOLLOW/RETWEET this with free product & Q&A access **(this means keep your DMs open!)** What to expect: New videos daily Group chat available 24/7 Access to premarket calls all week Special OPEX-eve expiration preview and Q&A LIVE Bonus Friday Session for trade walkthroughs Replays available for all registrants. Register here: volsignals.com/offers/AfKyJFt… Want a taste of what we'll cover? Check out the July GEX webinar & AM calls: volsignals.com/volsignals-tgi… Monday | Reception ************************** Day 1 is all about *understanding why we're here* ⚪ INTRO / PHILOSOPHY / ETHICS ⚪ BRIEFING: Option dealers & Market Makers as dynamic hedgers ⚪ BRIEFING: Delta ⚪ OSINT: Trade-level vs. dynamic impacts Tuesday | Skills Proficiency ************************************ In Day 2 we drill dynamic hedging with Gamma 🟡 SKILL DEVELOPMENT: Gamma 🟡 TRAINING: Gamma at portfolio level 🟡 FIELDCRAFT: Evolution of gamma by spot level 🟡 FIELDCRAFT: Evolution of gamma intraday 🟡 READINESS: Anticipating market impact of hedging flows Wednesday | Intelligence ******************************** In Day 3 we drill dynamic hedging via Charm & Vanna and evaluate dealer risk profiles 🟢 TRAINING: Charm 🟢 TRAINING: Vanna 🟢 SKILLS DEVELOPMENT: Risk Profiles Thursday | Intelligence ****************************** In Day 4 we *evaluate the tools* available to understand dealer positioning 🔵 OSINT: Naive GEX 🔵 SIGINT: Estimating dealer OI via trade analysis 🔵 COUNTERINTELLIGENCE: Constructing dealer OI properly 🔵INTELLIGENCE: OPEX Preview Friday | Rehearsal *********************** On Day 5 we wrap up with a debriefing and send you into combat armed with tactics, tools and options for advancement 🟠 DEBRIEFING: Recapping our training 🟠 DEPLOY: Release Q&A + Opex Preview replays 🟠 DEPLOY: Release cheat-sheets & infographics 🟠 FIELDCRAFT: Final Video - 96 minutes of GEX profile walkthroughs and trade ideas to drill every conceivable profile 🟠 DEPLOYMENT: FINAL SENDOFF volsignals.com/offers/AfKyJFt… Questions? Ask All previous recruits will have access to this August Boot Camp and premarket calls. Look for announcements in your VolSignals app or product portal ...see you guys soon
GIF
GIF
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Capital Flows
Capital Flows@Globalflows·
My relationship with God is the most important thing in my life. My success thus far (minimal as it is) is completely attributed to God. He can give or take away at any time. What profit is there to gain the world but lose your soul ?
𝑷𝑵𝑼𝑻🇺🇸@WilliamWit59090

@Globalflows I've been noticing how you incorporate strong faith, and values into your daily routine, whilst being a successful trader/investor. I have the utmost respect for this. Have a great Sunday.

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VolSignals
VolSignals@VolSignals·
SPX options are priced on a forward curve. The underlying SPX value for a year out option is NOT THE SAME as the underlying SPX value for a 0DTE. Right now you have around $230 between Sep24 and Sep25 - the futures settlements on the CME website give you a quick view of the forward curve by quarter: cmegroup.com/markets/equiti… Loosely- this difference is just compounding the spot value (today’s SPX level) by the difference between the risk free (FOMC 5.25%) and the current dividend rate (SPY Div yield 1.26%). Intuitively, this should make sense— you’re accounting for a basic cost of capital: with cash you earn a yield but no dividend; and with SPY you receive dividends but no yield. What happens if the Fed is forced to cut aggressively into a rapidly deteriorating economy? If the market drops, and rates are cut… …your long dated puts pay you *twice* They move broadly with everything else as SPX (spot) sells off, ..and then rate risk manifests when those “risk free” rates get repriced. Suddenly the forward value of SPX (the value your puts are technically priced on) gets repriced EVEN LOWER, too. 👀 Because the “risk free” rate from that relationship above is much lower. For most of the last 15 years the forwards were INVERTED… —because rates were non-existent!! So let’s say your hedge is a 1y out 50d put and the market drops 10%, or roughly 550 points AND rates are aggressively cut ~3%… Even though the index only dropped 550 points… YOUR puts are priced against an underlying which fell ~$700 in total $$$ …and likely slid up the skew curve into higher vols 💰 ALL THANKS to the impact of rate cuts on the forwards 🍻
GIF
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets

What if rising odds of a Fed rate cut aren't actually bullish because they could happen within the context of both a slowdown in the economy and disinflation, both of which could erode revenue and earnings? Something to consider. Certainly the bond market appears to be seeing it.

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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Wise words from a recent interview with @geoffreyhinton, one of the smartest people in the world regarding AI
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Lyn Alden
Lyn Alden@LynAldenContact·
I'm looking for anecdotes from Japanese readers: -In your experience, what % of people pay attention to or even care about the yen FX rate? -Are people annoyed by the price of fuel or similar things that are more directly impacted by the weakening FX rate, or not really? 🙏
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Natt0Sensei
Natt0Sensei@Natt0Sense·
@ChiefQuant Very thoughtful of you and your wife for doing this for others. Blessings.
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