Nefarian
219 posts

Nefarian
@NefarianTrading
#TCT Trader | Crypto Investor
Katılım Eylül 2024
45 Takip Edilen306 Takipçiler

Yes I have tried the short on the 45m break back inside the original range value, confirming the #TCT model 2 distribution.
Based on how aggressive price moved up I might be a little early on the short but will happy take the L before the W.
The Composite Trader@Larskooistra_
"locally higher --> deeper mitigation --> bearish reversal"
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My favorite, most powerful thought to have is this one:
All there is, is now.
Fully aware of this, you can never mourn past mistakes or worry about future situations.
"I lost two trades back to back, now my account balance is alot lower than last week"
↠ All I have is now. This previous account balance only exists in my head, not in reality. Therefore I can not logically worry about it. What I can do, however, is grow from here (the now) on out.
"I started this new, amazing habit but I am worried that I will quit it in the next few months"
↠ All I have is now. I will do my best to practice this habit now or today. I can not control the future.
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$BTC [update V4]
Price is delivering the expected follow through from the bearish PO3.
The market is not ready for #TCT option trading....

The Composite Trader@Larskooistra_
$BTC [update V3] The bearish PO3 is confirmed and price will rotate back down towards the range low at 84K and from there the overall rotation towards 74K. Multiple post updates, video updates regarding the expectation is now getting met with the actual confirmation. I have warned every single one of you a gazillion times that this will most likely be the final round of extremly high-probability short opportunities and like I have shown you with PUMP & KAS --> The shorts are shorting.
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$GBPNZD
Operation go big or go home is in full effect:
I have personally never seen such a macro textbook extended #TCT model 1 --> model 2 distribution schematic as we are seeing right now.
We have been monitoring this trade for a long time inside of the VIP and the swingshort is in full effect right now.
20% partial TP at the local low to de-risk and the remainder is running on a 40RR with a 2% risk.
Coming back to this post with either yearly or regular profits.


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Wishing you all a happy new year 2026 🎆 Currently spending a few days in Belgium with my family 💆♂️
@Larskooistra_ once again thank you for everything you teached me and the whole #TCT community this past year, this is truly only the beginning and I am so excited for 2026 💪🏼📈
PS: first TP of 2026 already got hit on HYPE 🙏🏻


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Not saying it's easy, but it gets easier when you get up after getting smacked in the face.
Thing is, if you fully understand and TRUST the system, failing in the long term is impossible. It's data.
@breakoutprop 4th time I made a post like this with a 100k. Sponsorship? 🤝


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@DerivativeProFR @Larskooistra_ I usually risk 1% on my trades.
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@NefarianTrading @Larskooistra_ Ensure your risk management aligns with the high R/R targets mentioned, what's your maximum drawdown strategy for such trades?
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Beautiful #TCT model 2 on XAUUSD a few hours before the weekly close.
I don‘t think there is a better feeling than entering 20RR trades especially when it is together with the whole #TCT community during one of the livestreams of @Larskooistra_


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$XAG
They call me the Silver Surfer (no one calls me that). In the last couple of weeks Silver has delivered two very high probability #TCT Distribution models at all-time high.
Trade #1: TCT Model 1 Distribution (12/03/2025)
- Entry was a 4RR (8RR taken with 2% risk) on the restest after seeing M1 Confirmation
- "Test" gave a reconfirmation
- LPSY into a test supply chain after a compression (first move is the fake move)
Trade #2: TCT Model 2 Distribution (12/17/2025)
- Entry was either on the LPSY BOS (I got a starter position here) or the LPSY(2), where I got a new position (5.17RR)
- LPSY(2) had a local TCT model to confirm it, adding to conviction
-LPSY(3) comes into market maker supply and has a bars topping pattern.
Overall, these trades come in high probability zones (ATH) and deliver very clean Wyckoff/TCT models. Both of these trades carried energetic weight for me as the first passed me phase 1 of a prop challenge and the second phase 2 of the challenge, opening the doors to prop firm funding. As a bonus and more on the esoteric side, both of these came in moon phases that pointed to completion, therefore, distribution energy.
*Note: The FXCM chart data changed the next day so zones are not visible that were at the time of entry. I personally used the FOREX.com chart, but am showing the Model 2 on FXCM for aesthetics.


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