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@NightWatchNemo

Happy trader, reluctant student and bonafide analyst.@Globther ||Lover of rain ⛈ Philosophy/Pol. Sc./Hist. @ RadboudUniv.Nijmegen🏉|Read the internet since”92🌸

Veritas Katılım Eylül 2015
6.6K Takip Edilen5.5K Takipçiler
B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@kezia_noble What war was a aucces? Most wars war brether prepared, ececuted, defined etc and with worse enemies. So to me a lack of enthousiasm seems to be expected.
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Kezia Noble
Kezia Noble@kezia_noble·
Why do people think the USA will lose this war? There’s not much previous evidence to support this conclusion. It’s weird.
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The White House
The White House@WhiteHouse·
A defining moment in history. A clear mandate from the American people. 365 days later, President Donald J. Trump is delivering, patriotism is rising, America is BACK, and the story is just getting started. 🇺🇸
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
“We have enough for everybody’s needs but not everybody’s greed.”
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@Arkasiraee All wars begin and end with logistics. You don’t want to have supply chains crossing half the planet getting all the material specific gear, people, food, fuel, etc. In…. Iran is at it’s hometurf.
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Ammanichanda
Ammanichanda@Arkasiraee·
🚨ARE ANALYSTS UNDERPRICING THE MOST VOLATILE VARIABLE IN THIS WAR? Much of the current analysis converges on one view:- - Iran has seized the initiative. It controls escalation tempo. Hormuz has become a strategic lever. Washington appears constrained, even reactive. - But that consensus is beginning to overlook a foundational reality,the United States remains the most powerful military force on the planet. Not marginally. Overwhelmingly. - This is not a power boxed into negotiation. It is a system that retains the ability to escalate across multiple domains at a scale no adversary can replicate. - The second blind spot is leadership behavior. Trump has consistently shown a tendency to respond to pressure not with restraint, but with amplification. - Third, the second-term dynamic matters. With no immediate re-election pressure, the traditional political constraints that often temper escalation are significantly reduced. - Fourth, perception matters. Trump has historically rejected any framing that resembles retreat. Optics of weakness are not just avoided, they are countered. - Fifth, as the narrative builds that Iran has outmaneuvered Washington, the probability of a sharp, corrective move increases. Not gradual. Decisive. - Sixth, there is a strategic objective that likely cannot be abandoned, Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. Exiting without neutralizing it risks being framed internally as failure. - Seventh, the administration views this conflict through a broader lens. Not just a bilateral war, but a structural intervention tied to regional security and nuclear deterrence. - Eighth, escalation alignment exists. Israel is already engaged. Gulf states, while not overtly leading, provide logistical depth and strategic backing. - None of this negates Iran’s effective use of Hormuz leverage. It has clearly imposed economic and psychological pressure. - But the growing belief that Tehran now holds all the cards may itself be the next analytical error. - Because when the leader of the most powerful military system believes exit without dominance is not an option, the next phase is rarely de-escalation. It is redefinition.
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Neil Stone
Neil Stone@DrNeilStone·
Shockingly, a huge percentage of the West is rooting for the regime. 🙁
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@Arkasiraee @ja91256 What’s your current prognosis? I stick to my point that we left the realm of the rational, especially where the White House is concerned.
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Ammanichanda
Ammanichanda@Arkasiraee·
My clear prediction as to when USA will call off the war on IRAN and announce a ceasefire ? By reading is between March 20th - March 24th, 2026 As to why I can come up with this ? According to a recent Fed study, every $10 rally in oil prices can increase inflation by 20 bps. Oil has already surged from $55 to $80 per barrel, implying +50 bps of inflation pressure. This could push CPI from 2.4% to 2.9%. When oil prices rise above $90/barrel inflation becomes hotter, with 3.2% inflation expected at $95/barrel. The chart below Article summarize why oil prices are now the key leading indicator to watch. Inflation is heating up. The one thing Trump desperately wants in the USA is low Inflation so that he can ask the FED to drop rates by 100bps and create a massive rally by October 2026 to be able to win the Mid term elections. This will not happen if he continues this offensive on Iran at the current rate where USA is burning $4-4.25 Billion dollars of tax payers money a day. Trump will come on TV and announce a ceasefire within the next 10 - 15 days. Bookmark this and you will not regret following me.
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EndGameWW3 🇺🇸
EndGameWW3 🇺🇸@EndGameWW3·
One thing I learned in the military is that you never start wars you can't finish...
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@Inevitablewest No they are not 'furious' . They are relieved that others did the dirty work for them. Look at them...
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Inevitable West
Inevitable West@Inevitablewest·
🚨BREAKING: The toughest migrant detention and deportation plans ever put forward by nationalists has just PASSED in European Parliament The left are furious right now. This is MASSIVE!
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HEW
HEW@HEW12345678·
@martijntjesmits Spanje zal op een andere wijze de nare consequenties wel ervaren, denk je ook niet?
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@martijntjesmits Iran is altijd - op het bijna absurde af - bereid te onderhandelen. Diplomatie boven wapengekletter zou ook ons motto moeten zijn.
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
@AdameMedia You've gotta love the Iranian people. Dependable, loyal, creative, honourable, rational.. All the things our leadership seems to have lost.
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ADAM
ADAM@AdameMedia·
BREAKING: 🚨 🇪🇸 🇮🇷 IRAN ALLOWS SPAIN TO USE THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ FOR FREE
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Mia 🇺🇸
Mia 🇺🇸@MiaForTrump·
How would you rate the first year of Donald Trump? Share your honest score below 👇 In my view, it’s disaster. If you feel the same, I’ll follow you back.
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PoliticsVideoChannel
PoliticsVideoChannel@politvidchannel·
BREAKING: The Trump family has made over $1,000,000,000 since Trump took office as President
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B l o n d i e 💫
B l o n d i e 💫@NightWatchNemo·
We're witnessing the great unraveling. What will be next? It's up to us all.
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