Nikiton

POLYMARKET CEO ANSWERED THE HARDEST QUESTION IN PREDICTION MARKETS. HERE IS WHAT HE SAID. Is insider trading a feature or a bug? Zittrain's scenario: a team manager sees a star player break his leg. Bets big against his own team immediately. Ethical? Coplan says it is a feature. Here is why: • Markets have priced injury risk for decades. Liquidity drops 45 min before tip-off. The market already knows when asymmetry peaks. • Insider risk is the cost of providing liquidity. If it were risk-free, everyone would do it. Good market makers price it in and stay profitable anyway. • The market corrects itself. Transparency does the work. Polymarket does not try to eliminate insider information. That is impossible. His core thesis: insider information does not eliminate risk. It is part of the risk the market already knows how to price. Most people think insider trading breaks prediction markets. Coplan thinks it makes them more accurate.

Ran 60 backtests today 57 flopped. 3 made the cut. That 5% is where the alpha lives Horizon gets you there faster. Think yours can make the cut? Drop it below

POLYMARKET CEO JUST DID A 1-HOUR INTERVIEW AT HARVARD. HERE IS WHAT MATTERS. Shayne Coplan sat down with Jonathan Zittrain at the 2026 Harvard Entrepreneurship Summit. 65 minutes. The hardest questions anyone has publicly asked him. Here is what they covered: • How Polymarket was born and the first bet • Can markets corrupt sports? • Insider trading: feature or a bug? • Who decides what is true when a resolution is disputed? • Who wins and who loses on Polymarket Is it okay for a team manager to bet against his own team after seeing an injury? Coplan says yes. Insiders make markets more accurate. That is the point. Most founders dodge the hard questions. Coplan answered every one.

POLYMARKET CEO EXPLAINED WHO ACTUALLY DECIDES WHAT IS TRUE. THE ANSWER IS MORE COMPLICATED THAN YOU THINK. At Harvard, Zittrain asked Coplan about the Zelensky suit market. did he wear a suit before July? "Zelensky showed up in a black jacket, black trousers, black shirt. is that a suit?" The market exploded. Coplan says he got a lot of angry messages. Here is how resolution actually works: • every market has a public rule set. but rules can still be ambiguous. that is a known problem. • Polymarket does not pay out from its own pocket. yes holders get paid by no holders. Polymarket only takes a small rake on some markets. • anyone can post a bond and propose a resolution. disagree with it? post your own bond and dispute it. • a secondary market forms on how the primary market will resolve. people bet on the bet about the bet. • final resolution goes to consensus of credible reporting. media, photos, video, verifiable sources. Coplan's words: "the goal is to resolve in the spirit of the market." Most people think Polymarket decides what is true. it does not. the crowd does. with money on the line.

MOST POLYMARKET TRADERS ARE DOING ALMOST NOTHING. HERE IS EXACTLY WHERE YOU STAND. 2.75M traders on the platform. ~179K bots. Real picture below 👇 Platform stats: Total Volume : $66.37B Monthly Active Traders : 500-700K Total Fees : $233.6M Top accounts: $830K volume → rank 12K $690K volume → rank 18K $550K volume → rank 27K Mid tier: $126K volume → rank 100K $48K volume → rank 239K $31K volume → rank 331K Low tier: $1K volume → rank 1.7M $50 volume → rank 2.5M (new account) What this means: $30K volume → already top 12% of the platform $50K volume → top 8-9% $130K volume → top 4% $550K+ volume → top 1% Gap between rank 1.7M and rank 100K is just $125K in volume. Achievable in days of active trading. A brand new account with $50 volume is already rank 2.5M. Most users simply do not trade. The opportunity is open for everyone. Clock is ticking.

That's what my PFP would be if it was a car. Show me yours.