NISHESH JANI,CFTe

🚀 Official Launch Announcement 🚀 I’m excited to invite you to join my new Telegram community: Alpha With Nishesh This channel is dedicated to: 📊 Long-Term Structural Trend Analysis 📈 Leadership & Momentum Insights 📂 Detailed Trend Framework Files 🧠 Phase-Based Stock Classification 📌 Chart-Based Research & Breakdown I will be sharing: • High-quality structural trend analysis • Leadership & Trend category stocks • Long-term structural score updates • Deep-dive charts with insights • Framework-based portfolio thinking This is NOT a tips channel. This is a research-driven structural momentum platform. If you believe in disciplined, data-backed investing — this is for you. 👇 Join here: [t.me/+Icuk6i6oilQ2Y…] I request you to forward this message to like-minded investors and help grow a serious momentum community. Let’s build structured alpha together. 🔥 Nishesh Jani,CFTe

🔥 BIG MONEY SHIFT: Private Banks Ready to Crush PSU Bank Rally? 🔥 Smelling a big outperformance cycle brewing… 📊 After years of underperformance, beaten-down Private Banks vs PSU Banks ratio is now back to 2016 levels — a zone that historically marked strong mean reversion + leadership shift. 💡 What makes this interesting? Private banks are fundamentally far stronger Valuations have compressed to deep value territory Earnings quality, governance & scalability remain best-in-class 🏦 Smart money has already been positioning: PPFAS Mutual Fund has been consistently accumulating HDFC Bank ICICI Bank Kotak Mahindra Bank Axis Bank ⏳ Looks like their patience phase is ending… and payoff phase may begin. 📈 Tactical Play: Keep an eye on Private Bank ETFs like PVTBANK ETF (around 27 levels) Ideal for accumulation before leadership rotation becomes obvious ⚠️ Markets reward positioning early, not chasing late. This could be one of those quiet transitions before a loud trend. #SectorRotation #PrivateBanks #PSUBanks #ValueInvesting #SmartMoney #IndianMarkets #BankingSector #AlphaOpportunity #LongTermInvesting #nsiheshjani #ppfas

EOD Market View 📊 As anticipated, most indices are facing resistance in the 50–200 EMA zone, indicating that a runaway rally is unlikely at this stage. Expect a phase of price & time correction, which will help create high-probability breakout opportunities with defined risk (affordable SL) and clear price projections. Key Observations: • Market Breadth: Short-term breadth remains elevated → needs cooling off • Volatility Check: VIX back above 20 → still not ideal for smooth trending moves • ATR Breadth: Holding above 10 (currently ~10.20) → normalization awaited • Conclusion: Cooling off in both VIX & ATR is essential for a stable upmove Strategy Ahead: • Focus shifts to stock-specific opportunities as result season begins • Keep close watch on Dollar Index & Crude Oil → Weakness in both can trigger FII inflows Options Insight: • Put writers active (PE sell mode) → downside appears limited • Expect pullback-style corrections rather than deep declines Action Plan: Stay patient. Let markets cool off. Wait for pattern breakouts + confirmation → Trade with structure, not emotions. #StockMarket #EODAnalysis #TradingStrategy #OptionsTrading #MarketOutlook #FII #Volatility #SmartTrading

@prashantbh59852 @ThetaVegaCap Yes

@Nishshkumar @ThetaVegaCap Are these march purchase figures sir

Parag Parikh Flexi Cap is still holding 19% Cash as per March 2026 They have not invested in March Sell Off too Time will decide #Investing #MutualFunds

Every bull market has different leaders. No stock or sector outperforms forever — leadership keeps rotating. As investors, our edge is simple: • Fundamental investors → Stay with businesses showing strong momentum • Momentum traders → Stay with stocks showing price strength I analyzed 750 stocks: • 457 → Business momentum strong • 371 → Price momentum strong • 264 → Both business + price aligned 🚀 That’s where real wealth gets created. If you’re confused about where to invest — I’ll be sharing this high-conviction list every month. Use it to: ✔️ Filter winners ✔️ Avoid underperformers ✔️ Align fundamentals + technicals After every correction, this becomes your portfolio cleanup tool. Stay with strength. Avoid noise. List shared on Telegram Channel which is ZERO cost joining #StockMarket #MomentumInvesting #SmartInvesting #PortfolioManagement #WealthCreation #StockSelection #InvestingIndia

@InvestorOfJAMMU Bought this much of quantity even 1800 cr roughly in hdfc bank

Heard that PPFAS not deployed their huge cash even in March Crash. I think they must be waiting for 12k😂😂

🔥 Strategy Spotlight: High-Reward Iron Structure (28 APR 2026 Expiry) Sharing one of the structured option strategies currently on radar — designed for defined risk with asymmetric reward potential. 📊 Key Highlights: • Max Profit: ₹16,747 (18.58%) • Max Loss: ₹2,753 (3.05%) • Risk-Reward: 1 : 6.08 • Breakeven Range: 24,257 – 23,743 • Probability of Profit: 17.73% 💡 Interpretation: This is a high R:R, low probability setup — ideal when you anticipate a sharp directional move but want to keep risk tightly controlled. ⚠️ Important Note: Not every trade needs a high win rate — professional trading is about payoff asymmetry, not just probability. 📌 Approach: • Enter with strict risk discipline • Position sizing is key • Focus on payoff, not just POP This is the kind of structure we look to deploy when market conditions hint at expansion after compression. #OptionsTrading #IronFly #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #Derivatives #StockMarketIndia #ProfessionalTrading #Nifty #FNO

@BaluGorade Quantity bought last month roughly 1800 cr in hdfc bank

March portfolio is out. They are still holding 19% cash. No major deployment even during the recent correction. Rajeev Thakkar ji - The nation wants to know, when will the cash be deployed? 👀

@PulkitA30298377 Deployed 6600 cr roughly compare feb march quantity

PPFAS not deployed cash in March too ! They didn't buy any thing in this bloodbath! What the wrong with this fund 😡 Maintaining 19% cash in hand, almost 22000 cr rupees.🤔

EOD Market View 📊 Major indices have formed a bear trap from oversold zones — an early signal of potential bullish reversal. However, confirmation needs follow-through price action before committing aggressively. 🔍 Key Observations: Gap-up move pushed markets into short-term overbought zones Most indices still under death cross structure (50 EMA < 200 EMA) → expect resistance near these levels Possible pullback / rejection phase before next directional move VIX below 20 & ATR cooling toward 10 → volatility normalization ahead (favorable for spreads & straddles) 📌 Levels to Watch: Nifty: 24000 support Bank Nifty: 55700 support Even if prices dip below support post rally, bulls are expected to defend quickly, making it a potential high-probability long opportunity after confirmation 🎯 Strategy: Wait for bear trap follow-through + structure formation → enter with defined SL and projection Nishesh Jani,CFTe #StockMarketIndia #Nifty #BankNifty #MarketOutlook #Volatility #OptionsTrading #PriceAction #TradingStrategy #FII #MarketAnalysis #nisheshjani

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📊 EOD Market Analysis Short-Term Trend: On lower timeframes, all major indices continue to remain in a sell mode. We are waiting for clear pattern + indicator confirmation before considering any directional shift. Volatility Insight (Nifty 500 ATR): ATR has been steadily declining since 1st April — from 20.4 → 13.6 currently. A move below 10 will indicate a return to normalized volatility, which is crucial for stable trend development. India VIX Perspective: VIX is at 24.70, still in an elevated zone. For smoother intraday execution and non-directional strategies: Below 20 → Stability improves Below 18 → Ideal conditions for straddles & spreads Strategy Outlook: Current volatility environment is not conducive for aggressive premium selling. Patience is key until volatility compresses further. Key Support Levels (Downside Protection): Nifty: 22,700 Bank Nifty: 51,400 These levels are acting as strong cushions in the near term. Actionable Approach: Avoid overtrading in high-volatility phases Wait for confirmation over prediction Deploy option strategies selectively once volatility normalizes 🧠 Conclusion: Markets are in a transition phase — volatility cooling but not yet normalized. Discipline and timing will be critical over the next few sessions. Nishesh Jani,CFTe #MarketOutlook #Nifty #BankNifty #Volatility #OptionsTrading #ATR #IndiaVIX #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #ProfessionalTrading #nisheshjani

Curated from the Nifty Total Market universe 📊 We’ve built a powerful monthly stock shortlist by separating: ✔️ Business in Momentum (Fundamental Strength) ✔️ Price in Momentum (Technical Strength) And then identifying the common stocks where both align 💥 🔹 For Fundamental Investors: Focus on high-quality businesses 🔹 For Momentum Traders: Track strong price trends 🔹 For Hybrid Investors: Use the combined list for high-conviction opportunities This curated approach helps you cut through noise and focus only on stocks that matter. Every month, the list will be updated based on a structured scanning methodology. 👉 Build your watchlist 👉 Apply your strategy 👉 Make informed trading & investing decisions Sharing in Telegram Channel where All content are at ZERO cost Nishesh Jani,CFTe #StockMarketIndia #MomentumInvesting #FundamentalAnalysis #SmartInvesting #StockSelection #NiftyTotalMarket #TradingStrategy #InvestingSimplified #nsiheshjani

@IshanShivanand please make such a sticker that can be applied on educational books like laptop & mobile so students get benefits

🚨 BIG SIGNAL FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS 🚨 For the first time after COVID (6 years), the ICICI Prudential Equity Valuation Index (EVI) has dropped into the “Invest in Equities” zone. This is not noise. This is valuation reset + opportunity alignment. 📉 Markets corrected 📊 Valuations cooled off 🟢 Smart money starts accumulating 🔥 What does this mean? When EVI enters this zone, history suggests: ➡️ Risk-Reward turns favorable ➡️ Panic sellers exit, patient investors enter ➡️ Wealth creation phase quietly begins 💡 Our Strategy We are not chasing… we are accumulating with conviction 📌 Focus ETFs: ALPHA MOMENTUM 50 MIDSMALL MID150BEES 🎯 Approach: Staggered Buying (SIP/STP) Not timing the bottom — building positions for the next cycle ⚠️ Yes, volatility may continue (geo-politics, global cues) But remember: 👉 Volatility creates opportunity 👉 Valuations create wealth 🇮🇳 India Growth Story = Intact + Stronger This phase is not for fear… This phase is for smart accumulation 💬 Final Thought: The biggest returns are made when: ➡️ News is uncertain ➡️ Sentiment is weak ➡️ Valuations are supportive 📌 And right now… all three are aligning. 🔥 Are you accumulating… or waiting for confirmation at higher prices? Nishesh Jani,CFTe #StockMarketIndia #Investing #WealthCreation #ETF #Nifty #MarketOpportunity #SmartMoney #nisheshjani

📊 Weekly Sectoral Update | 03 April 2026 Markets continue to show sector-specific strength, indicating selective opportunities rather than broad-based momentum. 🔹 The following sectors are currently showing bullish structure: CPSE Energy Healthcare MidSmall Healthcare Capital Market Pharma 💡 Strategy Insight: Focus on stock-specific opportunities on the long side within these outperforming sectors. Align entries with your own system, risk management, and confirmation signals. ⚠️ Avoid chasing momentum blindly — discipline & selection remain key in this phase of the market. Nishesh Jani,CFTe #StockMarketIndia #SectorRotation #BullishSectors #TradingOpportunities #MomentumInvesting #Nifty #PortfolioStrategy

@RBI @FinMinIndia @PMOIndia Your interwin for depreciation of INR & reforms in long term capital gains tax will help indian domestic investors and Indian economy in long run Re tweet if you agree

📊 Nifty Insight for Investors: Rare Setup, Strong Implications Four consecutive monthly declines in the Nifty are extremely rare—and history suggests this phase often sets the stage for meaningful upside ahead As of March 2026 we are witnessing a 4-month negative streak (-14.8%)—a condition that has occurred only a handful of times in the past. 🔍 What history tells us: Such extended declines (4+ months) have occurred in just ~7% of all instances Once the streak ends, forward returns have been consistently favorable Average returns post such phases: 3 Months: ~12.2% 6 Months: ~22.4% 1 Year:~40.7% 💡 Key Takeaway: Markets tend to reward patience during discomfort. The longer the decline persists, the higher the probability of a strong mean reversion and uptrend resumption. 📌 Strategy Perspective: Rather than waiting for perfect news flow, this phase historically has been a positioning opportunity—especially for disciplined, system-driven investors. “Markets bottom out on fear, not on headlines.” Nishesh Jani,CFTe #Nifty #MarketOutlook #InvestSmart #WealthCreation #MeanReversion #EquityMarkets #PortfolioStrategy #nisheshjani

@thechartist26 I have found price & Relative strength charts are powerful combination when numerator - denominator & RS all allinged best place to be with risk management

After having read enough on TA and doing my CMT, CFTe and MSTA All I can say is - Elliott and Gann is a scam sold to you Risk management with price & volume action is the only way out. Don’t make anything more complex to the already existing probable stuff

When markets scream fear, data whispers opportunity. Nifty 50 weekly RSI slipping below 30 is a rare event — last seen in 2001, 2008, and 2020. Each time, it didn’t signal panic… it marked long-term bottoms. Today, the setup looks familiar: • Extreme oversold conditions • Broad-based pessimism • Structural divergence building beneath the surface We are accumulating conviction. Our focus remains on 4 high-conviction ETFs: • Alpha • Momentum 50 • MidSmall • Mid150 BeES Just disciplined accumulation in zones where history favors investors. Nishesh Jani,CFTe #Nifty50 #RSI #MarketBottom #ETFStrategy #SmartInvesting #MeanReversion #LongTermWealth #nisheshjani