Josh Bratcher

@gnoble79 I don't disagree, but people will buy the dip. And a ton of money will be made off the opportunity. So sign me up. 🫡

I have been screaming about this for MONTHS and Blind Squirrel just put out the best breakdown I have seen yet on the mechanics of why the SpaceX IPO could destabilize the entire market. The numbers are RIDICULOUS: $86 billion in stock to place at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Even under the most generous assumptions about index demand, closet benchmarkers, and retail participation, the bankers are STILL short roughly 40 to 50% of the demand needed just to get the deal to 1x covered. And once passive funds are forced to mechanically buy in, they have to SELL $44 billion of existing holdings to make room. In a market where top of book liquidity has already collapsed, that selling could feel like a trillion dollars of price impact. Your 401(k) is the exit liquidity for insiders who bought in at less than 5% of the current valuation. Read this and share it with everyone you know: open.substack.com/pub/arcadianow…

Going to go live in about an hour. What's some tickers you would like me to look into?

@howtoswingtrade Big blessing all around! Congrats to you too man. Create those amazing memories.

@NoBellTrading Congrats man. We just had our seconds baby shower today. Very excited!

Going to be one month shy of 2 under 2. And got a new puppy. And the business is exploding. It's absolutely nonstop in the Bratcher household. I love it. 🥰

@BullTheoryio Brain rot.

🚨 THE ENTIRE AI BOOM MIGHT BE BUILT ON FAKE REVENUE. Latest corporate filings show that OpenAI and Anthropic alone make up over half of the entire $2 trillion future cloud backlog held by Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. This massive pipeline is actually being created through a circular accounting trick called a round trip revenue loop. But how it works ? A tech giant gives billions of dollars to an AI startup as an "investment". But hidden in the contract is a strict rule forcing the startup to hand that exact same money straight back to the tech giant to rent their computer servers. Look at the documented case of Microsoft and OpenAI. When Microsoft invested $13 billion into OpenAI, it didn't just give them cash; it gave them "cloud credits" to use Microsoft servers. OpenAI used those exact credits to train its AI models, and Microsoft then turned around and recorded that server usage as brand new "cloud revenue" from a customer. The tech giant is literally paying itself with its own money and calling it a sale. This is why OpenAI’s annual cloud bill has ballooned to over $60 billion, double its actual revenue of $25 billion, kept alive solely by this recycled funding loop. Anthropic runs the exact same play, spending $2.66 billion on Amazon Web Services in just nine months, which was basically 100% of all the money it earned at the time. This manufactured demand triggers a second accounting trick where tech giants book massive paper profits. Every time a startup gets a higher value from a new funding round, the tech giant updates the value of its investment on its books and counts that unearned paper gain as direct profit. In Q1 2026, Alphabet reported a record $62.6 billion profit, but $28.7 billion nearly half, was just a paper markup on its Anthropic investment. In the same quarter, Amazon reported $30.3 billion in profit, but $16.8 billion of it was just an Anthropic paper gain. While Amazon reported record profits, its actual free cash flow collapsed 95% to just $1.2 billion because it had to spend $44.2 billion in real cash to build physical data centers. This has created a massive danger where these giant companies rely heavily on just one or two unstable startups. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion future backlog tied to OpenAI, while Oracle has an incredible 54% of its entire $553 billion pipeline relying on OpenAI alone. This perfectly mirrors the 2001 dot-com crash when Global Crossing and Qwest Communications swapped identical fiber-optic network capacity with each other just to book fake sales. Qwest had to erase $1.4 billion in fake income, and Global Crossing went completely bankrupt. The only difference is that the dot-com swaps were illegal, but today's AI loop is fully legal under current accounting rules. This legal loop inflates tech company stock prices, forcing automatic retirement accounts and index funds to buy even more of these tech stocks. It is a self feeding loop where investments, sales, and stock prices all go up on paper without the AI technology ever making real cash profits.

up 200% here on $f - position is entirely free here

$rdw this is my 3rd roll on this name. The gift that kept giving

how many times did I post about how good this $f setup was? holy. multiple expirations and strikes for me here.

Hammy is such a GOAT

We'll be adding our bots to the website soon. So traders can use it for tracking unusual options flow, short squeezes and MUCH MORE from the site and not just Discord (&mobile app soon) See how we leap frogged every other trading group other the last few months... no contest...

buying the $f dip Monday paying very well right now.

thanks $enph already rolled.

SQUATS SUCK EVERYTIME

@thegresearch stupid cheap

Meet the 5 bagger. $ANGX Meet the 5 bagger that trades at 1.6x ARR while Spotify trades at 4.2x and Netflix at 8x. Same recurring revenue model, fraction of the multiple. $585mm market cap on $365mm of annualized subscription revenue. Meet the 5 bagger that just flipped adjusted EBITDA positive a full quarter ahead of schedule. $4mm on $115mm of Q1 revenue. Operating cash flow positive too at $1.9mm. Gross margin expanded to 62% from 59%. S&M fell from 107% of revenue to 49% in twelve months. That's operating leverage in the actual filings. Meet the 5 bagger doing $365mm in annualized recurring revenue from 2.22mm paying Guild members. Membership doubled YoY from 1.08mm. Guild revenue went from 1% of mix in 2023 to 72% in Q1 2026. ARPU $13.69 and climbing as mix shifts toward Premium and annual. Meet the 5 bagger whose Rotten Tomatoes audience score across wide releases averages 93%. Netflix sits at 59%. A24 at 71%. HBO at 74%. Paramount and Disney at 81%. The Guild votes before greenlight and the hit rate shows up in the data. Meet the 5 bagger that's the only audience-curated film studio at scale. Content doesn't get made until members vote it in. Production risk stays off the balance sheet. Filmmakers get 50% of Guild streaming profits and 67% of distribution profits. $254.6mm cumulatively paid out to filmmakers already. Meet the 5 bagger whose board director, a billionaire Paylocity founder, walked onto the tape last week and bought $982k of common at $3.06. Form 4 P-coded. Open market. Not a grant, not a 10b5-1 trickle. He's been involved since May 2025 through a $5mm convertible at $6.13 strike and kept adding when the equity sold off. Meet the 5 bagger acquiring three of its highest-performing IP franchises in all-stock deals priced at $6.13, almost 2x where the equity trades today. Black Autumn, Wingfeather Saga, Tuttle Twins. Management is printing where it thinks fair value sits. Meet the 5 bagger with a 2025 theatrical slate that did $211.9mm domestic box office across 8 releases. Angel was the #10 domestic distributor in the country last year. Solo Mio crossed $25mm in Q1 alone. Meet the 5 bagger that came out of nine months of post-SPAC selling. $60 down to $2.05. 96% drawdown empties out every weak hand. What's left of the float belongs to people unbothered by single-digit prints.

$tsla could be setting up a big move soon here. Dependent on strong $nvda earnings

If you want a taste of the major announcements coming soon from @Nobelltrading go check our newest MASSIVE update to the website my development team put together! BIG THINGS COMING VERY SOON

The internet is not ready for this.

I was skeptical when I read this but that setup is beautiful 👀