Noble Predictive Insights

Among Independents, Hobbs leads Biggs 35%–22%. 31% are undecided. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

AZGOV: Hobbs 41%, Biggs 37%, Lytle 7%. The topline is essentially unchanged from February. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

“Biggs has done what a strong primary candidate needs to do — consolidate the field. Going from 40% to 48% is a meaningful jump, and now the question is whether he can close it out.” - @MikePNoble Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

59% of Republicans say a Trump endorsement would make them more likely to support a candidate in the Gov race. 32% say “much more likely.” Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

AZGOV: One-third of Republicans (34%) remain unsure in the GOP primary. Uncertainty is highest among women, younger voters, and rural Republicans. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

NEW AZPOP: Biggs leads the GOP primary at 48%, up from 40% in February. Schweikert trails at 17%. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/azgov-big…

“Jauregui must consolidate Democrats and hold Washoe; Anthony’s path runs through maximizing Republicans and winning over moderates.” - @MikePNoble Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

Lt. Gov coalitions: Jauregui: Dems (73%), liberals (70%), Hispanics (47%) Anthony: GOP (71%), Trump voters (63%), conservatives (60%) Middle still up for grabs (Independents 36% undecided, moderates 34%) Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

Today is humbling; @NoblePredictive released it’s Nevada #NVPOP results this morning on the state of the down-ticket races — come to find out we had a couple of inaccuracies having some people running that were in fact not running. Appreciate those who let me know and will send out a corrected release shortly! Even after doing this for almost 20 years now, this is an important reminder that no one is infallible and we all strive for excellence, but perfection is impossible. Take accountability, make your amends, learn your lesson, and move on. I appreciate everyone and blessed to be able to do what we do @ #NPI 🙏

Lt. Gov: In hypothetical general election matchups against Stavros Anthony, Jauregui leads 37%–32%, but when paired against Scheiner, Anthony leads by 3 points. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

Lt. Gov (D primary): Core voting blocs haven’t engaged yet. Most undecided: • Washoe: 77% • 65+: 88% • Suburban: 75% • White Democrats: 81% Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

Lt. Governor (D primary): Jauregui leads with 23%, Scheiner at 10%, but 67% are still undecided. That’s the headline: the race is mostly unclaimed. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

🚨 NEW: Nevada’s 2026 down-ballot landscape is far from settled, and the data shows just how fluid the electorate remains. Across multiple statewide contests, most voters are still undecided, leaving primaries and general elections wide open. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nv-down-b…

Lombardo is the only Republican tested who keeps Ford from opening a clear lead – another indicator that the GOP primary is a lock, and that Lombardo’s incumbency and crossover appeal are what keep this race in dead-heat territory. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nvgov-lom…

If the election were held today, Joe Lombardo edges Aaron Ford 39% to 38%, with 6% backing a third-party candidateand 17% undecided. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nvgov-lom…

Among Republicans, Lombardo posts a 78% fav / 16% unfav (+62) image and is nearly universally known, while alternative GOPcandidates lag far behind with significantly lower Name ID and favorability. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nvgov-lom…

GOP PRIMARY: Not competitive. Lombardo dominates with 60% support, effectively locking the incumbent governor as the GOP nominee and already pivoting to the general. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nvgov-lom…

🚨 NEW NVGOV: Nevada’s 2026 governor’s race is already shaping up to be a toss-up. Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) and AG Aaron Ford (D) are essentially tied — with a large bloc of undecided voters set to decide the race. Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/nvgov-lom…

“These numbers reflect early-cycle dynamics,” Noble said. “Voters simply aren’t tuned into these races yet. But that also means campaigns have plenty of opportunity. Definition — positive or negative — will matter immensely.” - @MikePNoble Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/wide-open…

“The Corporation Commission is historically one of the lowest-profile statewide offices. When voters haven’t formed impressions yet, campaigns that can introduce their candidates effectively — particularly on issues like energy costs and utility regulation — can move the race quickly.” - @MikePNoble Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/wide-open…