NosePicker 🐍
15.2K posts

NosePicker 🐍
@NosePicker7604
Software Developer , Cryptoverse stalker, Cardano Maxi, $SNEK millionaire, Cnft Collector
Katılım Şubat 2021
857 Takip Edilen981 Takipçiler
NosePicker 🐍 retweetledi

I lost my job yesterday.
Rent was due.
No backup plan.
Then I remembered I still had Claude.
Asked it:
“Analyze every top Polymarket wallet from the last 90 days and build me something”
$25 → $4,237 in one night.
It scanned 10,000 wallets.
Cross-referenced win rates, sizing, timing.
Found 7 traders whose edge wasn’t luck.
Then built an autonomous agent.
Not a script.
Not an if-then bot.
An agent that reads live news,
maps it to markets,
detects mispricing,
and exploits arbitrage across outcomes.
Sizes every position using Kelly.
I deployed it at 11:47PM.
Closed the laptop.
Woke up to:
$25 → $4,237
94 trades while I slept.
No input.
No hesitation.
No second-guessing.
That’s the game.
Information asymmetry at machine speed.
Wall Street pays millions for this.
I pay $20/month.
You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.
Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:
1. Comment the word 'Claude'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me @marryevan999 (so i can DM you)
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🚨 IT JUST GOT A LOT WORSE
Look at this.
One single entity, Cresco Investments Ltd, just filed proposed sales across 8 different ETFs.
This isn’t what you typically see in a healthy market.
– 48 filings in a single day
– $600 million each
– ~$28.8 BILLION in proposed sales from ONE collateral holder
And that’s not even the craziest part:
– BCPE Watson dumping $2.2 BILLION in COHR
– Wilhelmsen AS offloading $639 million in RCL
They’re not even trying to hide it anymore.
I’ve been telling you for weeks that I believe a market crash is coming sometime this year.
When I think we’ve reached the bottom and I start deploying A LOT of capital, I’ll mention it here publicly.
You’ll regret not following me.

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NosePicker 🐍 retweetledi

🧨Την προσοχή σας παρακαλώ!
⚠Σήμερα συνέβη κάτι που δεν έχει συμβεί ξανά στη δημοσιογραφική και πολιτική ιστορία της χώρας.
📍Ο εκπρόσωπος της κυβέρνησης με απείλησε με μήνυση SLAPP, Live μέσα στην ενημέρωση πολιτικών συντακτών.
✏️Τον ευχαρίστησα για την απειλή, του είπα ότι εμείς παρότι δεν έχουμε ασυλία θα ρωτάμε χωρίς φόβο και του επανέφερα το ερώτημα: Το λιμενικό στη Χίο έκανε επιχείρηση Διάσωσης ή αποτροπής;
🌦️«να είστε πολύ προσεκτικός», «είστε σε εντεταλμένη υπηρεσία», «εκτός από θρασύς είστε και δειλός», «αρκετά με την ασυλία σας» μερικές μόνο από τις φράσεις που χρησιμοποίησε εναντίον μου, αποφεύγοντας να απαντήσει.
❓❓Εσείς τι καταλάβατε από την απάντησή του;
Ελληνικά

Join me and get yours! Sign up and complete tasks, let's earn USDC rewards together! binance.com/referral/earn-…
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🚨BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: MIDNIGHT EXPLORER IS LAUNCHING THE MIDNIGHT PREVIEW NETWORK
Official release time: 16:00 UTC on January 7, 2026 (near-zero downtime).💪
The deployment of the Preview Network serves as a key stepping stone to support builders within the ecosystem ahead of the transition to mainnet.🔥
Follow midnightexplorer.com to stay up to date with everything happening on Midnight Network.🤝
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@bible_xrp @XRPcryptowolf I hereby acknowledge midnight.
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🚨 SILVER DROPPED 14% IN A FEW MINUTES, AND WE FINALLY KNOW WHY
I’ve seen hundreds of posts about it but nobody is explaining it correctly.
The narrative that "retail is selling" is wrong.
Retail doesn't even have enough size to move markets.
Don’t worry, I’ll explain everything.
I know the specific signature of a "sentiment shift" vs. a Liquidity Cascade.
What we just witnessed was the latter.
This wasn't fundamental selling. This was a VaR (Value at Risk) Shock Event.
Here is the autopsy of the crash, and why the "Retail Panic" narrative is dead wrong.
1. The "Graveyard Shift" Execution
The initial move triggered at 2:00 AM EST.
Why? Because that’s when the global order book is thinnest.
If you are a human trader exiting a position, you use VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) to hide your footprint…
You don't dump 10% of the daily volume in illiquid hours.
UNLESS YOU HAVE NO CHOICE.
2. The Forced Liquidation Engine
THE RUMORS ARE CONFIRMED: A major institutional player (likely a Prime Brokerage client) blew through their maintenance margin.
When that happens, the "human" element is removed and the Risk Engine takes over.
The algo doesn't care about support levels. It doesn't care about RSI.
Its mandate is binary: Solvency or Bust.
It executes "Market Sell" orders until the collateral requirement is met.
It swept the entire bid stack in milliseconds because there was no liquidity to absorb the size.
3. The Contagion & The $34B Plug
You saw the headline: "$34B Emergency Injection."
Here is the technical translation: Counterparty Risk.
When a whale gets gutted this fast, the Clearing House faces a gap. If the entity can't pay, the Clearing House is on the hook.
The $34B wasn't "stimulus" but it was likely an emergency Repo facility or swap line usage to prevent a seized plumbing system.
This creates a Correlation-1 Event. The algo sells the Silver (the toxic asset), but it also sells everything else (Gold, Equities, Bonds) to raise cash.
4. The "Gamma" Accelerant
Dealers were likely short puts (long the market) going into this. As price cratered, their "Gamma" went negative
To hedge, they had to sell into the hole, mechanically accelerating the crash.
This is a feedback loop. Lower prices trigger dealer selling -> which lowers prices -> which triggers more selling.
Personally, I’m layering bids in the chaotic spread.
The fundamental thesis for Silver hasn't changed, but the ownership structure just got a lot cleaner.
Don't be the exit liquidity for a bank's risk department.
Btw, I’ve called every major top and bottom for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.
Still haven’t followed me? You’ll regret it, just watch.


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NosePicker 🐍 retweetledi

🚨 THIS IS WHY ALTCOINS ARE BLEEDING
Nobody knows what they’re talking about, so I’ll explain everything.
People need to stop saying retail is gone, that’s not the story.
This move isn’t coming from small players, and the timing is not random.
Here’s the real explanation:
This pressure is coming from funding and leverage.
Over the last few weeks, altcoin funding rates turned aggressively positive.
That means:
– Too many longs
– Too much leverage
– Too many positions
When leverage builds up like this, bad news isn’t required for the price to drop.
A small dip is enough.
That dip liquidates crowded longs, liquidation pressure pushes price lower, stops get hit, spot holders react late, and forced selling takes over.
Then it repeats.
This is exactly what’s playing out right now.
Just look at the data:
– Open interest is starting to fall
– Longs are being liquidated aggressively
– Spot buyers are nowhere to be found
Excess leverage is being removed.
And here’s what most people don’t get: this is actually a good thing.
You don’t get sustainable upside when the entire market is already long.
Just so you know, I’ve been studying macro for over 20 years, and I’ve been in Bitcoin for more than a decade. I called the last 2 major market tops and bottoms.
When the next bottom is in and I start buying BTC again, I’ll say it here so you can copy my moves.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

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🚨 WE HAVE A BIG PROBLEM!!!
Gold is ripping while stocks are at all time highs…
That almost NEVER happens, and it rarely ends well.
Gold is up 67% YTD, nearly 10 times its average yearly return… insane.
Every investor should be paying attention.
Here’s the BIG problem:
Historically, gold moves against risk assets, not alongside them.
When equities are making new highs, capital is usually chasing growth, not protection.
Gold tends to lag, or even drift lower but that’s not what’s happening now.
Stocks are pumping like crazy and yet gold is breaking out anyway.
That tells you something very important:
This setup has shown up before, and it usually ends badly.
– In late 1999, equities were flying while gold quietly based.
– In 2007, stocks were near highs while gold kept catching bids.
– In both cases, gold wasn’t early by accident, it was early by necessity.
Gold doesn’t front-run growth, IT FRONT-RUNS STRESS.
What makes this worse is who’s buying…
This isn’t retail chasing a quick trade.
Central banks have been accumulating gold at a pace we haven’t seen in decades.
Governments are buying massive amounts of gold. In fact, China purchased $1 billion worth of gold in just 30 days.
They’re reducing exposure to long-dated debt, fiat risk, and currency volatility.
They’re not hedging or diversifying. They’re positioning for the global monetary reset
Meanwhile, equity markets are priced as if nothing can go wrong.
When stocks and gold rise together, it usually means one thing. Risk is being mispriced.
Either gold is wrong, or equities are.
History says equities are the one that eventually reprice.
This is a warning that the shock, when it comes, won’t be small.
If you’re fully allocated to risk and ignoring this, just know you’re not early in whatever stock or coin you think will 10x.
Btw, I’ve been studying macro for the last 22 years, and I’ve called every major market top.
When I officially exit all markets, I’ll post it here for everyone to see.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

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Lately, I’ve really felt that the Cardano ecosystem is moving faster than people realize.
Even with $ADA staying low and limited market attention, the community remains incredibly passionate, more compelling dApps are emerging, Pentad is delivering meaningful results, and Cardano scalability continues to improve through Hydra and Leios.
The network itself is maturing, integrations with major infrastructure players are expanding, a richer ecosystem is forming on top, and all of this is supported by a genuinely strong and beautiful community.
My confidence in Cardano keeps growing as time goes on.
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🚨 THE NEXT BULLRUN STARTS IN ONE YEAR!
Most people think Bitcoin needs another 4 years before the next real bullrun but that’s wrong.
Bottom forms first… then a multi-year expansion begins.
The biggest bullrun is still ahead and BTC should reach $250,000.
Let me show you:
I spent some time digging into long-term Bitcoin cycle models so you don’t have to
Trust me, this one is worth paying attention to.
It’s based on a Log-Periodic Power Law framework, the same class of models used in physics to study critical systems and phase transitions.
Think earthquakes, material stress and bubbles.
Bitcoin fits that profile surprisingly well.
The dataset here is not small:
– 16 years of price history
– 5,600+ daily data points
– R² close to 0.98
What matters most is not the price projection itself, but where we sit relative to the long-term trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is trading below its long-run growth curve.
In this model, that shows up as negative residuals. Historically, every time Bitcoin has lived in this zone for an extended period, it has not marked tops.
It has marked accumulation phases before large upside expansions.
This is not about calling next month or next quarter.
Short term, the picture actually stays weak.
2026 still looks bearish, choppy, and vulnerable to downside or long consolidation.
Liquidity cycles and macro tightening matter here, and the model does not fight that.
Where it gets interesting is further out.
The oscillatory component of the model, which tracks cycle timing rather than price, starts turning up again after 2026.
Similar turns happened in:
– 2015
– 2019
Both preceded multi-year expansions, not quick pumps.
If the structure holds, the next major expansion window sits between 2027 and 2029.
Not one blow-off year but a sustained, multi-year move.
Based purely on the math of the fitted curve, Bitcoin clearing $250k by the end of that window is not aggressive, it’s actually conservative.
Higher levels are possible, but $250k+ is where the core trajectory lands without assuming excess mania.
One important point people misunderstand:
Volatility shrinking over time does not mean returns disappear.
Early cycles moved hundreds of percent because the base was tiny. A 60 to 80 percent swing on a six-figure asset is still an enormous wealth transfer. That’s what maturation looks like.
The risk-reward here is asymmetric.
If the model fails completely, Bitcoin likely still reverts to its power-law trend, which implies materially higher prices anyway.
For this structure to break down entirely, you’d need a 16-year pattern to fail right as institutional adoption and sovereign-level interest accelerate.
That’s possible but it’s just not the base case.
Quick recap:
– 2026 looks rough
– 2027–2029 is where the math gets aggressive
– $250k+ is 100% supported by structure
– This is a long-duration setup, not a short-term trade
Do with that what you want.
Let me remind you: I successfully called the Bitcoin bottom at $16k three years ago and the top last October, and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
I’ve been studying macro for the last 22 years and Bitcoin since 2013.
When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll say it here publicly.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it, trust me.

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🚨 BITCOIN COULD SEE VIOLENT MOVES RIGHT AFTER CHRISTMAS!!!
$23.66 BILLION in BTC options expire Dec 26.
For those who don’t know, that’s MASSIVE.
That’s over 1% of bitcoin’s entire market cap expiring ON A SINGLE DAY.
Let me explain what it means and where BTC might go next:
Here’s what it shows.
– Total options open interest: 268,267 contracts
– Calls: 194,801
– Puts: 73,466
– Put/Call ratio: 0.38
– Notional value expiring: $23,663,778,007
– Max pain: $96,000
That’s enough size to matter for how the market behaves into expiry.
Why this matters?
Options don’t just sit there. Big whales hedge them.
And when there’s heavy positioning around certain strikes, price starts getting pulled toward liquidity.
On this chart, you can literally see the battlefield by strike:
– Big clusters of calls stacked above current price
– Puts heavier down lower, but still smaller vs calls (again: 0.38 put/call)
So into expiry, you often get this annoying behavior:
– Price grinds up → gets rejected near a big call wall
– Price dumps → buyers step in before it gets too far, because there’s size sitting down there too
– Result: chop, fakeouts, and those “random” wicks that nuke both sides
Here’s the level everyone should understand.
Max pain is $96,000.
That’s the price where option buyers (as a group) tend to feel the most pain into settlement.
Does it mean BTC must go to $96k? No.
But when you’ve got $23.66B rolling off on one date, ignoring that number is how you end up donating money on leverage.
What I’m watching into Dec 26:
– If we hover near big strikes: expect pinning + stop runs
– If we break away from the dense clusters: expect bigger candles, because the “gravity” from that positioning gets weaker after expiry
This is why I keep telling you to watch the positioning, not the chart.
Most of the “manipulation” people feel is just big money trading around where the most contracts are sitting.
Btw, i’m not sure if you’re aware but I was the only one to call the exact bitcoin bottom at $16k three years ago and the top at $126k in october.
If you missed my alerts, don’t worry i’ll do it again.
If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

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🚨 A HUGE STORM IS COMING!!!
Take a look at global sovereign yields today.
– Germany 10Y pushing higher.
– France 10Y higher.
– Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece all moving up together.
THAT’S NOT A COINCIDENCE.
All investors need to hear this.
Let me explain exactly what’s going on:
When bond yields rise across multiple developed economies at the same time, it’s not about one country’s politics or one bad auction.
It’s a repricing of risk at the system level.
Here’s what that actually means in practice:
– Governments roll debt at higher costs.
– Corporates refinance at worse terms.
– Banks tighten lending standards.
– Housing affordability drops massively.
– Capital flows reverse out of weaker balance sheets.
None of this shows up in equity prices immediately.
Bonds always move first because they’re pricing cash flows, not narratives.
Bitcoin isn’t bulletproof either…
Every major Bitcoin drawdown I’ve seen started with stress in rates.
This is the part most people miss:
Markets don’t break when yields spike, but they break when elevated yields persist.
That’s when the pressure compounds quietly in the background.
Balance sheets weaken, margins compress, and something eventually snaps where leverage is highest.
Equities can keep grinding higher while this is happening. They usually do. That’s not a contradiction, it’s a lag.
Bond desks are reacting to funding conditions, inflation expectations, and supply dynamics that equities haven’t had to face yet.
When you see a bunch of European sovereign curves pumping together, it’s telling you that financing conditions are tightening globally, not locally.
You don’t need to panic tho…
But ignoring this because stocks are still going up is how noobs get rekt.
Every major macro dislocation starts with moves like this…
Slow, technical and easy to ignore.
You should pay attention now or you’ll spend the next crash asking why nobody saw it coming.
Matter of fact, when I officially exit all markets, I’ll share it here for the whole world to see. Don’t miss it.
You’ll wish you followed me sooner, trust me.

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