Greasy's Sports Bets

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Greasy's Sports Bets

Greasy's Sports Bets

@OWSPropz

🌍 The Nomadic Sports Bettor 🤝Powered by @OneWeekSeason 📊Data-Driven NFL | NBA | MLB | CFL 💰$6,000+ NFL/NBA Profit 25/26 SZN 🎯Free Play of the Day!💥33-20💥

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Greasy's Sports Bets
Greasy's Sports Bets@OWSPropz·
NBA Daily 3-0, +3 Units 🧹🧹🧹 Daniel Gafford (DAL) OVER 15.5 PR -113 ✅ Bam Adebayo (MIA) OVER 35.5 PR -110 ✅ Immanuel Quickley (TOR) UNDER 26.5 PRA -120 ✅ We are so back. As always, we do a giveaway whenever we sweep a slate. Make sure you like and RT the POTD from yesterday to be entered for a chance to win a free props sub!
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NBA Daily 3-1, +1.8 Units Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR) OVER 11.5 PR -120❌🪝 Kristaps Porzingis (GSW) OVER 27.5 PRA -122✅ Aaron Gordon (DEN) OVER 20.5 PR -112✅ Jeremiah Fears (NOP) UNDER 14.5 Points -118✅ Pain. So close to a sweep, CMB was at 11PR in the first half before exiting with an injury... Bad beat, but we stayed hot with the rest of the picks. Process is always gonna get us there.
Greasy's Sports Bets@OWSPropz

🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 Plenty of places give out picks. We focus on process - that’s the difference. Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR) OVER 11.5 PR -120 FD 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package (Yesterday's Winner at Bottom) This is a strong role + matchup spot, especially with Quickley out, which opens up more opportunity across the board. CMB has already been producing well in this range, clearing this line in 14 of his last 21 games (66.7%) with a 15.0 PR average, comfortably above 11.5. The matchup vs New Orleans is favorable for his skillset. The Pelicans rank near the bottom in multiple key areas, including #24 in defensive rating, #25 in rebounds allowed, and #24 in paint points allowed, which directly benefits a player like CMB who does most of his work inside and on the glass. They also struggle with rebound suppression and interior efficiency, creating extra chances for both points and boards. From a play type standpoint, this lines up well too. He generates a large portion of his production via cuts, transition, and as a roll man, and the Pels grade poorly in several of those areas (including bottom-tier vs PnR roll man). With increased opportunity and a matchup that supports his scoring + rebounding profile, this sets up as a strong over spot. Congrats to @marathoner_RG for winning a free week of our NBA Props Package ! We've DM'd you with more info. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗

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💸 OWS NBA Props — Late Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's late slate ⬇️ Kristaps Porzingis (GSW) OVER 27.5 PRA
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Evening Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's evening slate ⬇️ Jeremiah Fears (NOP) UNDER 14.5 Points Aaron Gordon (DEN) OVER 20.5 PR Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR) OVER 11.5 PR
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🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 Plenty of places give out picks. We focus on process - that’s the difference. Collin Murray-Boyles (TOR) OVER 11.5 PR -120 FD 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package (Yesterday's Winner at Bottom) This is a strong role + matchup spot, especially with Quickley out, which opens up more opportunity across the board. CMB has already been producing well in this range, clearing this line in 14 of his last 21 games (66.7%) with a 15.0 PR average, comfortably above 11.5. The matchup vs New Orleans is favorable for his skillset. The Pelicans rank near the bottom in multiple key areas, including #24 in defensive rating, #25 in rebounds allowed, and #24 in paint points allowed, which directly benefits a player like CMB who does most of his work inside and on the glass. They also struggle with rebound suppression and interior efficiency, creating extra chances for both points and boards. From a play type standpoint, this lines up well too. He generates a large portion of his production via cuts, transition, and as a roll man, and the Pels grade poorly in several of those areas (including bottom-tier vs PnR roll man). With increased opportunity and a matchup that supports his scoring + rebounding profile, this sets up as a strong over spot. Congrats to @marathoner_RG for winning a free week of our NBA Props Package ! We've DM'd you with more info. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗
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NBA Daily 🧹🧹🧹 2-0, + 2 Units Jalen Suggs (ORL) UNDER 20.5 PA -112✅ LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 19.5 Points -121 ✅ Finally a sweep🔥🔥🔥 We'll be giving out a FREE Props Sub to one person who likes and retweets the POTD below 👇
Greasy's Sports Bets@OWSPropz

🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 19.5 Points -121 DK 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package On the surface this looks like a tough spot and his slightly lower than usual line looks warranted. However, when we dig a bit deeper, we start to disagree. This is a big game for CHA and NYK tonight. Huge game as far as the standings go for CHA. Right now they are tied for the one and done with ORL and are a game out of the double elimination. And, two games out of the actual Playoffs (Top 6 seeds). It's also a big statement game to show that they belong. The DET loss was huge for NYK last night. DET is now on the 2nd of a B2B and a NYK win plus DET loss, puts NYK 3.5 games out of the #1 seed. It’s a tall hill to climb with so few games left but with Cade out, its possible. I expect this to be a great game with the starters going hard and deep into the game even if it’s in the 15pt range midway/late 4th Qtr. I expect a Playoff game type push through the end of the game. This should mean BIG mins for all of the key players. I think what LaMelo might lose via some inefficiency tonight, he will get back by being asking to play ceiling type mins. The other part of this that looks very attractive is that he should draw Brunson for most of the night. While their other heavy hitters on Offense (Bridges, Kon, and Miller) have to deal with Mikal, OG, and Hart, LaMelo should get a heavy dose of Brunson. We like this. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗

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💸 OWS NBA Props — Full Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's slate ⬇️ Jalen Suggs (ORL) UNDER 20.5 PA LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 19.5 Points
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🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 19.5 Points -121 DK 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package On the surface this looks like a tough spot and his slightly lower than usual line looks warranted. However, when we dig a bit deeper, we start to disagree. This is a big game for CHA and NYK tonight. Huge game as far as the standings go for CHA. Right now they are tied for the one and done with ORL and are a game out of the double elimination. And, two games out of the actual Playoffs (Top 6 seeds). It's also a big statement game to show that they belong. The DET loss was huge for NYK last night. DET is now on the 2nd of a B2B and a NYK win plus DET loss, puts NYK 3.5 games out of the #1 seed. It’s a tall hill to climb with so few games left but with Cade out, its possible. I expect this to be a great game with the starters going hard and deep into the game even if it’s in the 15pt range midway/late 4th Qtr. I expect a Playoff game type push through the end of the game. This should mean BIG mins for all of the key players. I think what LaMelo might lose via some inefficiency tonight, he will get back by being asking to play ceiling type mins. The other part of this that looks very attractive is that he should draw Brunson for most of the night. While their other heavy hitters on Offense (Bridges, Kon, and Miller) have to deal with Mikal, OG, and Hart, LaMelo should get a heavy dose of Brunson. We like this. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗
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NBA Daily 2-1, +.91 Units GG Jackson (MEM) UNDER 23.5 PRA ❌ Jamal Murray (DEN) Over 33.5 PRA ✅ Will Riley (WAS) OVER 23.5 PRA✅ Another day in the green. The sweep is coming soon, stay locked in, you won't want to miss it.
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Late Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's late slate ⬇️ Jamal Murray (DEN) Over 33.5 PRA
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Evening Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's evening slate ⬇️ GG Jackson (MEM) UNDER 23.5 PRA Will Riley (WAS) OVER 23.5 PRA
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Late Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's late slate ⬇️ Jaden McDaniels (MIN) Over 22.5 PRA Amen Thompson (HOU) OVER 26.5 PR
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🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 GG Jackson (MEM) UNDER 23.5 PRA -109 DK 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package This is a matchup and game environment driven under. San Antonio profiles as a tough defensive opponent for GG, ranking top-10 at suppressing PRA output to the position and doing a strong job limiting efficient scoring opportunities. They’re especially effective at taking away his key scoring avenues, including #3 in transition defense, which cuts into one of GG’s more efficient sources of offense. Jackson’s production is also heavily scoring-dependent (16.8 PPG driving most of his PRA), and this isn’t an ideal spot for that. The Spurs force more half-court possessions and contest well across multiple play types, making it harder for him to generate clean looks or rack up easy points. That creates more volatility in his scoring, which directly impacts his ability to clear this number. It's not likely that he can supplement his output with rebounding, as the Spurs are also top ten in the league in fewest rebounds allowed. While Memphis is a 16.5-point underdog, the bigger takeaway is how the matchup suppresses efficiency and overall production. Even if the minutes hold, this sets up as a lower-efficiency environment where his median outcome falls short of 23.5 PRA, keeping the under as the preferred side. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗
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NBA Daily 1-2, -1.35 Units Malik Monk (SAC) OVER 22.5 PA -122❌🪝 Paolo Banchero (ORL) UNDER 39.5 PRA -114❌ Ryan Kalkbrenner (CHA) UNDER 12.5 PR -125✅ Tough 1-2 with Monk dropping 21 PA with 14 dimes but managed to shoot 3/13 in their blowout loss. We're already cooking up some picks in discord for today 👀
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🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 Paolo Banchero (ORL) UNDER 39.5 PRA -114 FD. 🔄Like and Retweet - If the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub to our Props Package We were on his over last night, but this sets up as a more difficult environment for Paolo to reach a ceiling outcome, starting with game context. Orlando is a +10.5 point underdog on the tail end of a B2B, which could give us some cushion if this would happen to get out of hand. Even in neutral spots, this number is aggressive relative to his baseline. Paolo is averaging 37.8 PRA over his last 20 games, already below this 39.5 (which has adjusted for Suggs/Black injuries), and has gone under in 10 of his last 20 games. While he carries a strong usage rate (~29%), he still needs close to a ceiling performance across multiple categories to clear this line consistently. The matchup vs Cleveland adds another layer of difficulty. The Cavs rank top-12 in defensive rating, are strong at limiting paint scoring (#7), and are solid across assists and rebound suppression metrics, which helps to cap Paolo’s ability to rack up peripheral stats. In a mid-paced, defensive environment with some additional risk layered in, this projects closer to his median outcome rather than a ceiling game, keeping the under 39.5 PRA firmly in play. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Full Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's full slate ⬇️ Ryan Kalkbrenner (CHA) UNDER 12.5 PR Paolo Banchero (ORL) UNDER 39.5 PRA Malik Monk (SAC) OVER 22.5 PA
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NBA Daily 4-1, + 2.7 Units Dylan Harper (SAS) Over 17.5 PRA -118 ✅ Paolo Banchero (ORL) OVER 33.5 PR -125 ✅ VJ Edgecombe (PHI) UNDER 18.5 Points -128 ❌ Marvin Bagley (DAL) UNDER 16.5 PR -115 ✅ Kyle Filipowski (UTA) UNDER 25.5 PRA -121 ✅ Almost a perfect sweep. Once Grimes was ruled out we backed off of the VJ play, but we put it out so we're staying true to our word and marking it as a loss.
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Late Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's late slate ⬇️ Kyle Filipowski (UTA) UNDER 25.5 PRA Marvin Bagley (DAL) UNDER 16.5 PR
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💸 OWS NBA Props — Early Card 👀 The NBA props we played for tonight's early slate ⬇️ Dylan Harper (SAS) Over 17.5 PRA Paolo Banchero (ORL) OVER 33.5 PR
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Greasy's Sports Bets@OWSPropz·
🆓 OWS NBA Props POTD - Free Bet of the Day 🤑 Plenty of places give out picks. We focus on process - that’s the difference. Deni Avdija (POR) UNDER 29.5 PR -117 DK, -125 Cz. Good to -130. 🔄Like and Retweet and if the full card goes perfect we give away a free sub This line is pricing Deni near the top of his recent range. He’s been playing well lately, but 29.5 PR still requires efficiency, and the matchup doesn’t set up cleanly for that to continue, as Minnesota is a defense that protects the paint and finishes possessions with rebounds. They're #9 vs position at suppressing PR, top-10 in defensive rating, and they do a good job limiting efficient interior scoring. They’re also #11 in rebounds allowed, which directly cuts into Avdija’s secondary path to clearing this line. Recent form has held this number up, but the matchup pulls in the opposite direction. Against a disciplined defense that limits easy points and rebounding chances, 29.5 is a lot to ask. Looking for all of our Props? 👀 Link in Bio 🔗
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