Oceanic Physics Papers

Three-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation with Rapid Update Cycling for Short-Range Precipitation Forecasting: A Case Study of Heavy Rainfall in Bali, Indonesia Nurjanna Joko Trilaksono, Sandy Hardian Susanto Herho, … arxiv.org/abs/2603.20468 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Watch an AI Weather Model Learn (and Unlearn) Tropical Cyclones Rebecca Baiman, Ankur Mahesh, Elizabeth A. Barnes arxiv.org/abs/2603.20541 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Diffusion-based Probabilistic Air Quality Forecasting with Mechanistic Insight Ao Ding, Aoxing Zhang, Tzung-May Fu, Yuanlong Huang, Qianjie Chen, Yuyang Chen, Jiajia Mo, Wei Tao, Wai-Chi Cheng, Lei Zhu, Xin Yang, Guy Brasseur arxiv.org/abs/2603.21131 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Learning Data-driven Surrogate and Correction Models for Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction Gian Luca Buono, Stefanie Hollborn, Roland Potthast, Jörg Schäfer, Martin Simon arxiv.org/abs/2603.22037 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Heat Index in Selected U.S. Cities Yushan Han, Calen Randall arxiv.org/abs/2603.19488 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Data-driven ensemble prediction of the global ocean Qiusheng Huang, Xiaohui Zhong, Anboyu Guo, Ziyi Peng, Lei Chen, Hao Li arxiv.org/abs/2603.19591 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑 𝚌𝚜.𝙰𝙸]

High-resolution vertical wind and turbulence measurements with quadcopter uncrewed aerial systems: wind tunnel calibration and field validation Johannes Kistner, Julian Jüchter, Norman Wildmann arxiv.org/abs/2603.19989 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Uncertainty in wind and solar projections depends on global and regional climate models Nina Effenberger, Reto Knutti arxiv.org/abs/2603.20052 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑 𝚜𝚝𝚊𝚝.𝙰𝙿]

Marine Heatwaves in the Arabian Sea: Drivers and Impacts on Atmospheric Circulation and Extreme Precipitation D. L. Suhas, Weiqing Han, Toshiaki Shinoda, Rui Sun, Aneesh Subramanian, Mark Bourassa, Michael Alexander arxiv.org/abs/2603.18319 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Significant Wave Height Estimation Incorporating Second-Order Scattering Senal Chandrasekara, Reza Shahidi arxiv.org/abs/2603.17116 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

A Tug-of-War Between Baroclinic Eddies and Convection: Implications for Icy Moon Oceans Shuang Wang, Wanying Kang, Cheng Li arxiv.org/abs/2603.17185 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑 𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚏𝚕𝚞-𝚍𝚢𝚗]

Experimental investigation of a multi-buoy cooperative point-absorber wave energy converter Herman Martens Meyer, Leif Arne Tønnessen, Olav Gundersen, Atle Jensen arxiv.org/abs/2603.15637 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Transition path theory insights into hurricane rapid intensification F. J. Beron-Vera, G. Bonner, M. J. Olascoaga, S. Dong, H. Lopez arxiv.org/abs/2603.16031 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑 𝚖𝚊𝚝𝚑.𝙿𝚁 𝚗𝚕𝚒𝚗.𝙲𝙳 𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚐𝚎𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Probabilistic reconstruction of global sea surface temperature using generative diffusion models Haijie Li, Ya Wang, Kai Yang, Gang Huang, Xiangao Xia, Ziming Chen, Weichen Tao, Chenglin Lu, Lin Chen, Miao Zhang, Kaiming Hu, … arxiv.org/abs/2603.16272 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

CNN-based forecasting of early winter NAO using sea surface temperature Elena Provenzano, Guillaume Gastineau, Carlos Mejia, Didier Swingedouw, Sylvie Thiria arxiv.org/abs/2603.16312 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Resolving the Paradox of Changing ENSO-Monsoon Relation through Global-ENSO Devabrat Sharma, Shruti Tandon, Gaurav Chopra, R. I. Sujith, B. N. Goswami arxiv.org/abs/2603.16346 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Testing a hydroacoustic radiator in a reverberant tank based on recording the sound field in the air above the tank A. L. Virovlyansky, M. S. Deryabin, A. A. Prokhorov, A. Yu. Kazarova, V. K. Bakhtin arxiv.org/abs/2603.13899 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

Observation of stable components of the sound field in Lake Kinneret using the autoproduct transform A. L. Virovlyansky arxiv.org/abs/2603.13902 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

A framework for modeling aerosol-cloud-lightning interactions: Validation of charge structure and aerosol effects Weishan Wang, Guoxing Chen, Yijun Zhang, Jen-Ping Chen, Dong Zheng, Liangtao Xu arxiv.org/abs/2603.14253 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]

A Data-Driven Regional Model for Skillful Medium-Range Typhoon Prediction Zeyi Niu, Wei Huang, Sirong Huang, Zhuo Wang, Mu Mu, Mengqi Yang, Xinhai Han, Haofei Sun, Zhaoyang Huo, Bo Qin arxiv.org/abs/2603.15127 [𝚙𝚑𝚢𝚜𝚒𝚌𝚜.𝚊𝚘-𝚙𝚑]