OfficialRPS

Odds of getting a tie 14 in a row is 1 in 4.8 million times.

@rampagepoker leading the way to show that the simple things are the future. His most prized card is the 2004 Pokemon Japanese Torchic Secret 1st Edition Gold Star. He bought it for $36,000. It's worth over $72,000 now. It took him years for this appreciation. Soon, you can double $36,000 into $72,000 from a single game of Rock-Paper-Scissors. Let's bring back the simple things.

I can’t stop buying pokemon cards, new pickups today!

@RebellioMarket Why wait when you can double your money playing Rock-Paper-Scissors?

Trading is 10% buying 10% selling 80% Waiting No more miracles:

@GamblingMemez Where's the screen where you are playing Rock-Paper-Scissors for real stakes?

Not right now babe… I’m monitoring the situation

@scardyor To go from $1 to $1M. Win Rock-Paper-Scissors 18 times in a row. Doubling your money each time. What's stopping you?

You could be a millionaire in 2 months. Think about it for a minute. From $0 to $1m. From February to April. Lock in.

@TpwithPolarity No, because in a couple of years people will be playing Rock-Paper-Scissors against each other. Trading will be extinct, when the people learn to risk-take against each other.

Will you be trading for the rest of your life?

@apewoodx To build the world's first P2P variance swapping machine. The most pure, accessible form of risk-taking. Yes, you read that right. To play Rock-Paper-Scissors.

"i gave up my six figure job to go do --" yeah bro we dont care

@0xRarest Turning $5 to $100K takes winning 15 times in a row playing Rock-Paper-Scissors. Surely you've won 15 times in a row as a kid?

This trader turned $5 to $101,500 Bro is living the dream right now

@saurav_tweets Not for long, Saurav. Not for long. Predict the winner of a Rock-Paper-Scissors game. Win.

crypto without prediction markets right now

@alexeixbt If only there were a way to do this quickly. If only there were a way to do this against other normal people. If only there were a way to do this by playing Rock-Paper-Scissors.

making money is the only thing that makes sense right now

@g_spencePP 50% chance is the exact probability to win in a game of Rock-Paper-Scissors. And you should be paid 2x for that to be a fair game.

There should be no such thing as a .5 on any betting app.

@TheH0n3stTrader Keep increasing the sample size. Keep grinding.

Here's an exercise to understand how probabilities in trading work: Take a coin. Flip it 100 times. Yeah, it's going to take a while, of course. But it's better to do it manually. You could also do it instantly online but the effect won't be that strong. Now, we know the coin has 50% chance of landing heads and 50% chance of landing tails. But, you'll see that after 10 flips, you won't have 5 heads and 5 tails most of the time. It'll be something like 7 heads and 3 tails. And the sequence won't be : H T H T H T H T H T It will be something like this : H H H T H T T T T H Does that mean that there is something wrong with the coin? Fuck no! The problem is that the sample size is too small. What you need to do? Keep flipping. You'll see that after 100 flips, you'll most likely have ~47 heads and ~53 tails, which is very close to the expected results. And that's because the sample size is now big enough and luck doesn't play such a big role anymore. The sample size is big enough that it has statistical relevance. What you need to understand: ◆ Individual 'flips' are random. ◆ Never focus on a small sample space of 'flips'. ◆ Keep 'flipping', even if the results don't look promising. ◆ The sequence of 'flips' is random. ◆ Don't change the coin because of the result of a small sample space of 'flips'. ◆ Only focus on large sample spaces of 'flips'. And, of course, by 'flips', I mean trades, I hope you already figured that out. Now.. Overcome your damn laziness and do the exercise. BONUS : Read about the law of large numbers.

@nitesheth01 @PolymarketTrade Why would you want to trade in these markets to clearly get run over by a sophisticated MM bot? There are more efficient, cleaner ways to access variance.

Polymarket just expanded the fast markets. 5-minute trading is now live not only for BTC, but also ETH, SOL, and XRP. The update was shared yesterday by a team member confirming the platform is pushing deeper into ultra-short-term markets. Even more interesting in the replies he hinted that 1-minute markets could be coming soon. If that happens this turns Polymarket into one of the fastest prediction venues out there. Shorter timeframes = more volatility, more volume, and a lot more room for bots and scalpers. Looks like the race for speed on prediction markets has officially started

@PokerGO @getnickwright @senortilt The probability of getting a pair by showdown is 42.26% (@senortilt's hand) The probability of getting trips by showdown is 2.11% (@getnickwright's hand). The probability of doubling your wager by playing Rock Paper Scissors is 50%.

.@getnickwright goes for an inducing bet on the end, but will @senortilt take the bait? Watch No Gamble, No Future on PokerGO.com. 🚀

@betinum It doesn't have to be this way! You can get access to clean dopamine and not pay edge.

Let me explain to you how CASINOS get your money. Famous faces tell you how big a bonus you get when you sign up to this betting site. If you win your first bet, you’re hooked. Why? You release dopamine and adrenaline. You feel the buzz. You feel in control, because you clearly know your game. Their aim is to turn it into your habit. That’s why the notifications and extra bonuses start rolling in. You begin to lose by a whisker. But your brain reads it as a “near win”. It creates an illusion of progress. Hope rises – and that’s the fuel that keeps you going. But with it, the risk goes up as well. I won’t tell you how it usually ends. Because you might be on the other side. On the side of those who beat the bookies. I’ve been doing it for 10 years and I’m not planning to stop. Because the feedback from the lads is my fuel.

@tafcirmaj Building something in the same spirit. A clean, accessible way for everyone to access variance.

I’m surprised no one has built this already CSGO prediction markets: > Trade CSGO skin prices and Esports > Join CSGO gambling communities and validate your product and features > Reverse engineer growth strategies used by CSGO casinos and execute. If someone’s building this, send me a dm. I’d like to check it out :)

@Bitcoin_Battles Things that suck about casinos: - House Edge (low RTP - most have 6-8%!) - KYC - Stiffing/Withdrawal issues People want to have better alternatives to access financial variance.

What ruins #crypto casinos the most?

@BasedBiohacker Agree bullish on gambling. Not bullish on in-person casinos, however. 4-6% house edge, commute times, KYC. People want access to cleaner, more pure variance.

few things i’m bullish on: - non-grifters playing the long game - the business of asset protection - soviet bioregulators - how taste and style is becoming a moat - the finance sector losing all entry level jobs - in-person gambling/ casinos - the cultural significance of bitcoin - gray market peptide sellers - having a soul - rereading all the classics - wallets and physical cards - cats - the democratization of information - increasingly advanced privacy-oriented technology - the sun

@richschiz @etheraul Sad, but true! People need to learn there are cleaner, more pure ways to access variance.

@etheraul someone dm'd me yesterday asking if its better to play on a casino with a high or low house edge😭 educating the space is a necessity

@SeniorDeFi @etheraul Only a matter of time before people realize there are other alternatives. Ones that have reliable scale, and no edge.

@etheraul Yeah, absolute robbery. Wonder how long till they get called out.