FORECAST FOR DECEMBER 2026 The map shows a forecast for December 2026 with temperature anomalies in parts of the Arctic exceeding 10°C in December 2026 for the SSP5-8.5 model. This suggests strong decline of the snow and ice cover in the Arctic with the danger that huge amounts of greenhouse gases including methane will be released from the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean and from thawing terrestrial permafrost, with huge albedo changes as well as loss of the latent heat buffer, further accelerating the temperature rise over the years. There are further contributors to a rapid and potentially huge temperature rise. Some suggest that the IPCC should no longer consider the SSP5-8.5 model, because it had become "implausible, based on trends in the costs of renewables, the emergence of climate policy and recent emission trends". Sure, the cost of renewables and sales of coal have fallen, but the temperature rise is accelerating and feedbacks are threatening to kick in with greater ferocity, as discussed at facebook.com/groups/arcticn… In short, the danger seems not only plausible, but it may actually be an underestimation to consider that radiative forcing could reach 8.5 W/m² by 2100. From the post 'Northern Hemisphere heating up', at: arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/05/northe…
