ODZ

1.8K posts

ODZ

ODZ

@OmiDelZ

🇺🇸🇬🇷 | 25 | Data Science | Foreign Policy | World's most knowledgeable 40K lore master (I know a little more than average in some niche areas of 40K)

Katılım Haziran 2018
1.8K Takip Edilen282 Takipçiler
ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
The Iran conflict is interesting because it seems neither side really wants to return to a state of war but neither side wants to give any concessions that would result in a lasting peace. I wonder how much longer this cease fire will last.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
Can it still be considered a ceasefire if Israel and Iran keep attacking each other lol
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
The cope I have seen in response to the successful CSAR operation in Iran is something else. Like, there are people out there claiming that the CSAR operation was a cover for a failed operation to extract HEU from Isfahan. Crazy.
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Roger
Roger@rdd147·
The rescue of the second pilot gets so much more interesting when you realize he walked 110 miles in a single day to get to his location from crash sight and other pilot.
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C Schmitz@chrisschmitz

With the Airfield Geolocated by @andynovy , we can now have significant confidence that the area of rescue was in the Kolah Ghazi National Park, South-East of Isfahan, Population 2.2m

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Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)@teortaxesTex·
I can't tell if this is real On one hand, I repeat that this is in any case a very daring proof of concept that Americans can do flash operations on the ground with air support in random parts of Iran, and this will allow them to mount an attack on Isfahan and Uranium. On the other, if they've just been bullshitting to me for a whole day about how they're just wholesome badass heroes burning a ton of aviation to Rescue Our Man and that's the difference from Islamists, and in reality that's a whole different operation from this failed assault – well, I guess my contempt could get greater still. Surprising.
C Schmitz@chrisschmitz

There remains one unsolved riddle in the F-15E shootdown. I am currently not satisfied with the answers. Here is my breakdown: a) there was a clear focus of activity around the "Province of Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad", and even the Regime called for Handover of the "Pilots" b) There was significant Activity around the FARP SE of Isfahan, "for the WSO" c) Pilots eject with a "Parachute", not with a "Paraglider", so they can not cover signifciant horizontal distance in the air d) both Pilot and WSO "usually" eject within less than one second, with WSO ejecting first, means that there could be a couple of km between both, especially with some winds, but not this distance. e) the "Isfahan FARP" would not have been required for the WSO in "Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad" This leaves us with various options: a) the Pilot was also recovered from "S of Isfahan" b) the intel around "Province of Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad" was intentionally seeded by CIA, because to get to S of Isfahan, they have to fly there anyway, and distract Iranian Efforts c) The WSO "walked 80ish miles/120km" in 24h, in the wrong direction d) the WSO and Pilot were both recovered from "Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad", and the FARP was for something else. I tend to go with A+B, and think C+D are not true. What do you think?

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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
A F-35 may have been damaged by an Iranian SAM and managed to land at a friendly airbase. But Axis of Resistance fans are acting like with this, which is still unconfirmed, they have won the war lol
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad Maybe. The video the Iranians provides more questions than answers. The pilot not doing evasive maneuvers when the F-35's DAS would have detected the missile the second it launched is peculiar.
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Phapchamp
Phapchamp@GPhapkun76058·
@OmiDelZ @1Lifafa @cirnosad Not really. IRGC has also announced they dont know the fate of the plane after the hit. Likely they were looking for it so they didnt publish the video.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad Again, we don't have many reference points to what the F-35 looks like in IR normally. So hard to make a conclusion. So you wanna give it a week before you can conclude that the F-35 actually made an emergency landing and didn't crash in Iran?
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Phapchamp
Phapchamp@GPhapkun76058·
@OmiDelZ @1Lifafa @cirnosad This test is not same as an F-35 flying for likely hours and going afterburner over a desert. It would be much hotter. F-35 is notoriously known for being super hot and even overheating in afterburner. Not unless it crashed in the middle of a mountain.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad Maybe, maybe not. It is hard to find a reference point to what the F-35's engine looks like normally in IR. This was the only video I could find : youtu.be/AzyH0M4C8TY?si… If the hit happened around midnight, it has been ~20 hours since then. It should have been found by now.
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Phapchamp
Phapchamp@GPhapkun76058·
@OmiDelZ @1Lifafa @cirnosad You can even make out the diamond pattern of the afterburner flames. As for the crash site its impossible to see that if it didnt fall in a population center or somrthing.
Phapchamp tweet mediaPhapchamp tweet media
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad Doesn't look like afterburner before the hit to me. We'll just have to wait and see if any crash site is found. How much time will give it until you can admit that the F-35 made an emergency landing outside of Iran?
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Phapchamp
Phapchamp@GPhapkun76058·
@OmiDelZ @1Lifafa @cirnosad Thats not afterburner thats the plane leaking fuel and burning. Plane is in afterburner even before the hit.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad There seems to be a hole in one of the rear stabilizers. It seems the pilot went into afterburner to GTFO right after the explosion. Probably more shrapnel damage on the plane not visible in IR, but the hole in the stabilizer is probably the worst damage.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad You can see in the last frame that the F-35 isn't that damaged. The IR camera is makes the explosion of the warhead look worse than it really was. If it did indeed crash over central Iran we would be seeing pictures and footage of the crash site by now.
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ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@NotWoofers Flying wings look beautiful. Northrop was ahead of his time.
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ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@interstatejuche This guy's lore goes pretty deep. My favorite crazy thing that he believes is that Jews literally come from Saturn.
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KG
KG@interstatejuche·
"Capeshit" isn't enough. This is another league.
KG tweet mediaKG tweet media
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ODZ@OmiDelZ·
To synthesize two recent stories I expect that American soldiers will be embedded in Kurdish rebel groups in Iran to act as JTACs.
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
I wonder how that Greek Patriot battery in Saudi Arabia is doing right now
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Ulf @theulf.bsky.social
Ulf @theulf.bsky.social@the_ulf·
@OmiDelZ @NotRyChi97 Yes!! For exactly that reason!!! The CIA fucks around across the globe, funding and funneling arms to the most reactionary far-right forces to sow death and terror on behalf of capitalist interests, and one time it makes it back to our shores and we use it as an excuse for more!!
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Crooked Media
Crooked Media@CrookedMedia·
Hasan Piker: there needs to be a more "robust response" from Democrats so people know Trump's claim he would only deport violent criminals was a "fucking lie." #crookedcon2025
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ODZ
ODZ@OmiDelZ·
@the_ulf @NotRyChi97 Being invaded by the USSR and being used as a tool by the US to combat the USSR? No, the people of Afghanistan didn't deserve that. Did America deserve 9/11?
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Keşfet

@rdd147 @teortaxesTex @GPhapkun76058 @1Lifafa @cirnosad @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13