Optiscope IO

62 posts

Optiscope IO

Optiscope IO

@Optiscope_io

Options data nerd breaking down market structure in plain English. I track what big money is doing (GEX, PCR, sweeps) so you know when to buy and when to wait.

Katılım Ağustos 2024
53 Takip Edilen96 Takipçiler
Alex P8
Alex P8@1p8cash·
“Understood. I'm currently using TGTracker, but due to a number of problems, I had to look for another service, and GrokAI recommended you. Is it possible to test the service in a trial mode?” Thank you @elonmusk & @grok for recommending my Tracking Solution for Telegram, ClickGram.io.
Alex P8 tweet media
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
Change anything, anywhere. Haha I love it! Just select anything on a screen, type in what you want to change and let it work 🚀 What do you think, folks? DM For details! #startup #freelance #BusinessTech #ai
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Esso Shaloom
Esso Shaloom@SamGarc6648149·
@Optiscope_io Hi @Optiscope_io we run a web development team with experience building clean, modern websites for businesses. We focus on performance, design, and scalability. Happy to DM you our portfolio and discuss your requirements.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
Looking for a freelancer web developer/agency who has experience in building modern website. Comment/DM and we'll take it from there #freelance
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
@ArtByGaL Yeah, I have a client that has urgent request that I cannot pick up due to competing priorities. The request is to build 3 widgets using vuejs on existing infrastructure. Only FE work. Let me dm you for deeper discussion.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
@ArtByGaL A bit more then that. I need custom development using vuejs. Is it something you could do?
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
@lilynico Yeah, I have a client that has urgent request that I cannot pick up due to competing priorities. The request is to build 3 widgets using vuejs on existing infrastructure. Only FE work. Is it something you could do?
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
$IBIT sitting on -16.5 BILLION negative gamma at the $60 trigger level 🚀 For context: $60 in IBIT = ~$107k in $BTC. We've pulled back from $125k highs, and now the question is - do we bounce or keep dropping? Chart says "EXPLOSIVE" because moves will be FAST when this breaks. We tested $60 twice today. Big rejection at 6am when $BTC dumped from $107k. Smaller rejection at close - weaker selling. Sellers running out of ammo. Quarterly options show 3.3 calls per put. Institutions positioned for Q1 rally after this pullback. If IBIT breaks $60 with volume? Target is $65 same day, that's $116k $BTC. The negative gamma ensures dealers chase it higher. But if $57 breaks? That's $96k $BTC. Same violence down. Binary setup. $BTC retracement decision point. 💥 Watching both $IBIT $60 and $BTC $107k.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
$PYPL getting a pass from me right now ⏸️ Earnings rallied to $80, then crashed 17% to $66. But here's the weird part - everyone's STILL bullish. Put-call ratio is only 0.46. Extended options show 6 calls for every 1 put. Problem? Price keeps grinding lower while sentiment stays optimistic. That's usually distribution, not accumulation. There's a 3 billion gamma fortress at $65 (just $1 below current), but we're stuck under $68 resistance. I need to see either a clean break above $68, OR a drop to $65 with actual panic. Right now it's just... stuck. Waiting for clarity before jumping in.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
$LULU sitting in a really interesting spot right now 🎯Been watching this closely after the 11/6-11/7 selloff. Here's what caught my eye: Price is at $170, sitting RIGHT ABOVE the zero gamma level at $165. When you're above this line, dealer hedging actually pushes price higher instead of capping it. There's a massive 1.5B gamma fortress at $160. That's like a trampoline 6% below current price - institutions have a HUGE reason to defend that level. The put-to-call ratio hit 2.5 recently. That's fear. Real fear. But price is recovering anyway, which tells me smart money was buying while everyone else was panicking. Extended dated options show 20 puts for every 1 call. That's apocalyptic positioning for Jan/Feb, but price isn't acting like the world is ending. The setup: institutions accumulated during the panic, price flipped into bullish territory, and now there's a clear runway to $175-180 where the real acceleration kicks in. Not saying it's a sure thing, but the mechanics are lining up nicely. 📊
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
@musicandwork Totally agree, the last year was crazy! That's why I'm saying it's a tool and not a strategy. It's pretty much the same as using indicators with a different perspective on the same data.
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JOMP
JOMP@musicandwork·
@Optiscope_io Understood. Thanks for sharing it. I do think it’s important not to put too much emphasis on “smart money” being right (which I’m not saying you’re doing, just pointing it out). Smart money has been wrong through the rally this year especially on buying the dips.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
$LULU feels like a trap. 🚨 Stock dropped to $161 yesterday. Retail panicked for about 5 minutes. Today it bounced to $168 and suddenly everyone's bullish again. But here's the problem: Institutions are sitting on $344M in downside protection. 💰 Let that sink in. Professional traders have: - $96M in 2-3 DTE month puts - $199M in 3+ DTE month puts Retail? About $4M in weekly puts. They're not worried at all. So one side has $344M saying "we're scared" and the other side is confidently buying the dip. One of these groups is usually wrong. History says it's not the professionals. 🤔 What I'm waiting for: Real capitulation → drop to $150-155 with fear that actually lasts 3+ days (not 24 hours) OR institutions stop hedging (that $344M number comes down significantly) Currently: Stuck at $168, can't break $170. Yesterday's panic vanished overnight - that's not a bottom, that's denial. Not touching it yet. When smart money has this much protection and retail has none, I'm with the smart money. 🛡️ Patience pays. ⏳
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
Not with those names, at the moment I'm following a fixed list of ticker, unfortunately these were not part of my list. I wouldn't call it a strategy though. My data is only a tool to better understand what's happening in terms of market cycle and participants' behavior. Based of off that you can make smarter decisions.
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JOMP
JOMP@musicandwork·
@Optiscope_io It’s definitely worth being aware of as a long. I’ve dodged a couple bullets recently by not being in $FI or $PINS before earnings. I’m curious if there was similar strategy being done with those names. Perhaps $LULU is where I finally get it but I’ve liked the name.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
@musicandwork Depends on your strategy and how you want to deploy capital. I plan on looking for market cycle phase change towards uptrend. From there I'll be following the big money and riding the wave with them.
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JOMP
JOMP@musicandwork·
@Optiscope_io Why even bother with the longs then? Might as well hedge by selling calls.
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Optiscope IO
Optiscope IO@Optiscope_io·
Here's the PCR breakdown by DTE that shows the problem: 0-7 DTE: 0.63 (retail complacent, no fear) 8-30 DTE: 0.27 (extremely complacent) 31-60 DTE: 3.14 (institutions hedging quarterly) 61-90 DTE: 12.96 (went absolutely nuclear, up from 4.71 yesterday) 90+ LEAPS: 0.90 (calm) See the pattern? Short-term is calm, long-term is panicking. That's backwards from a bottom. At real bottoms (contrarian opportunities), you want HIGH short-term PCR (retail panic) and LOW long-term PCR (institutions confident). $LULU has the opposite: retail chill while institutions load 2-3 month protection. That 12.96 extended PCR is insane - that's not retail buying weekly puts in fear, that's desks buying expensive quarterly insurance. When the curve looks like this, the smart money is preparing for something retail hasn't figured out yet.
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JOMP
JOMP@musicandwork·
@Optiscope_io Professionals know to hedge and have the funds to do so. Have you evaluated if they have calls or how long they are?
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