Dan Williamson
27.1K posts
Dan Williamson
@OverHypedSleepr
Content Creator for PlayerProfiler■ High-Stakes Dynasty, Redraft, & Best-Ball degen■ FF Auction aficionado■ Baylor alum/fan 24-7-365■ Mostly uncomplicated fella
Frostbite Falls, MN Katılım Eylül 2009
1.3K Takip Edilen4.3K Takipçiler
MarShawn Lloyd dynasty managers right now
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Matt Schneidman@mattschneidman
MarShawn Lloyd and Chris Brooks lead the RB group without Josh Jacobs
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What if Deshaun Watson is good again?
Currently FREE in drafts
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My leagues will hold their own supplemental draft. Winning team gives up their 2027 pick in whatever round they took him. Supplemental order will be same as 2026 rookie draft
Dynasty Trade Calculator™⚖️@FFDynastyTrades
How are your leagues handling the Brendan Sorsby situation?
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@DaveTerp I give him an over/under of two quarters before he's down for the season
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Packers have already comtacted Najee Harris
Rotoworld Football@rotoworld_fb
Josh Jacobs arrested for domestic abuse dlvr.it/TSkgds
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@CoopAFiasco I missed that surgery. Still a very shaky asset, especially with Gainwell lurking
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@OverHypedSleepr He did have offseason shoulder surgery - my understanding is that AC joint issues can be tricky. Look at Dalvin Cook, for instance. And definitely don't google "Keenan Allen shoulder"...
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@CoopAFiasco If this is mental health issues tho...
He played 6 games after returning from the shoulder injury, so it's kinda hard to believe the company line that his shoulder is the problem again
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So Todd Bowles is one source, other sources say he’ll be fine.
PewterReport 🏴☠️@PewterReport
Sources tell Pewter Report that Bucs RB Bucky Irving is expected to be ready for training camp. Todd Bowles said earlier today that Irving would be ready this “summer or fall” but it looks more like “summer.”
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Dan Williamson retweetledi
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Bryce Young spent the offszn in Africa
Y'all not ready for yr4
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x.com/i/status/20593…
Well, well, well. Who could have seen this coming?
Dan Williamson@OverHypedSleepr
Dumping my Bucky Irving shares in dynasty. He's been hard to flip for full value but like both of these trades. In each case I have win-now team. Vibes are very shaky. I'm just not into expensive RBs in 3-way committees
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Taking advantage of mis-priced assets to level up at TE
Price of the brick keeps climbing for Loveland, and Fannin is currently overvalued. He was the only quality receiver in CLE and that's changed now
Bucky stands on the edge of a value cliff w/Gainwell about to push him off
Stowers is the key to the deal. He's regarded as a potential elite TE but his ceiling is much more likely to just be what Dallas Goedert has been
Sell the sizzle. Buy the steak.
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@HoboThatsFrugal Hard disagree
Fannin has too many headwinds. Stowers best case scenario is becoming a healthy Goedert
Loveland is a queen chess piece for a master strategist. Swift was a nice throw-in to get me by at RB for a year
If King Henry gets me a title, I'll have zero regrets
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@OverHypedSleepr For Henry straight up is wild. Idc how low anyone is on Bucky.
I like Swift more than Bucky, but I'm not sure I like giving up Fannin + Stowers for Loveland. I think short term Loveland will be the better asset, but long term (after this szn) should def be Fannin and Stowers
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Dumping my Bucky Irving shares in dynasty. He's been hard to flip for full value but like both of these trades. In each case I have win-now team.
Vibes are very shaky. I'm just not into expensive RBs in 3-way committees
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@FFtone_bone Yeah that's the plan
Just couldn't get anyone to bite with a "fair" offer after a couple weeks of trying
My fear is that his value craters hard, so I took the best deal I could get. If I'm right, this will look like a steal in 3-4 months
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@OverHypedSleepr For Henry straight up??? I hope you win the title this year
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@Pat_Thorman @NFL_Tstrack Replicating outlier seasons when all factors are still in place is easier. Offensively, this probably tracks
That said, last year's pass def was terrible, forcing a more aggressive offense. Looks to be much improved this year
Might be the overlooked reason for regression in '26
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Matthew Stafford had a 7.7% TD rate last year (2nd highest in NFL over the last 5 years)
TD% was 4.6% before 2025
His TD% spiked over 6% three prior times and fell the following year by an average of 2.8%
Prior TD% with LAR were 3.3%, 4.6%, and 3.9%
Also just turned 38, fwiw
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@RyanJ_Heath No way gambling should be allowed on any event that has already occurred for this exact reason. Far too much incentive for someone with knowledge to make a financial windfall, never mind the spoiler aspect
Also, expecting a secret to hold for 11 months is pretty nuts
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Can a prediction market bull honestly explain to me what utility is gained from this?
Why does society need an information signal of who won a reality TV show that 99% of its viewers do not want to be spoiled on?
Understand that most Survivor seasons were spoiled already. This just makes it harder to avoid them for those who want to!
Variety@Variety
EXCLUSIVE: Jeff Probst slams prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket for allowing users to make trades about who won “Survivor” 50, saying that the companies are “incentivizing people to lie, cheat and steal to get ahead.” “They have figured out a way to capitalize on [the show],” he tells Variety. “It doesn’t sit well with me as a human. I get it — they built a great business. They don’t care. I’m not happy about it.” “Clearly, if 90% of the people are voting for somebody, there’s a leak. But to look at us, the producers, as though we have a problem, is the mirror pointing in the wrong direction,” he says. “[Prediction market platforms] are the ones with the problem, not us. We went and made our show in a vacuum, and we keep it very tightly contained, but if you are foolish and naive enough to not think that somebody might leak it, that’s your problem.” variety.com/2026/tv/news/s…
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Dan Williamson retweetledi
Looking to defend my title in the annual @FFPC “Hard Way” Big Gorilla league which drafted last night where I drafted #1. Typically streamed live, but I believe it was recorded by at least 1 player for broadcast later
#GetYourGuy cause no one cares about ADP in this league
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@MooseOnaHill @RonStewart_ Counterpoint:
Team 3 should prioritize later picks in their KDS rankings. Not sure it's worth the unique build from an early pick to sacrifice the round 2/3 talent that can be put around Cook from a later slot
Counter-Counterpoint:
Flag. Planted.
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One of these days the Bills are gonna figure out James Cook should catch 60+ balls and hes gonna hit 20+ PPG
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Reposting this to manifest a drop in his ADP
Dataroma@ffdataroma
Omarion Hampton when simply not facing the worst rush defense in the NFL as a rookie, per @FantasyPtsData: + 3.68 YPC (*would be 37th of 43 RBs) + 2.03 YACo/Att (*30th) + 4.4% explosive rate (*20th) + 45.1% success rate (*37th) I get the allure in a theoretically better offense, but feels like there's some revisionist history going on with Hampton's year 1 performance. Although the rookie year sample wasn't too large, Hampton was mostly bad as a rookie both pre and post-injury, and didn't stand out at all relative to Kimani Vidal's play. Seemingly lacks a lot of lateral movement ability that makes some of the league's best RBs special (ie: Gibbs, Bijan, Achane, etc.). I think both Keaton Mitchell and Vidal play a real role in this backfield (Mitchell at the very least for outside/change of pace runs). Hampton is way too bolstered on theoretical situation and role for me rather than talent, not the type of bet I want to make in early-mid round 2.
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