The Unofficial #&#@#&$+(_) Signals Club

28% of all 🇺🇸 debt has been created under Trump in just < 5.5 years in office. Meanwhile, wealth inequality in 🇺🇸 has never been wider.

@sspencer_smb Good ole corruption. Money talks, bullshit 2lwalks.

trump is a top 1% day trader!

@ZeeContrarian1 I'm glad you explained this bit here. No trade can go without knowing the risk/reward ahead of time - at the very least, the risk.

That’s why you don’t put 100% into one position. And that’s why I personally won’t go above 30% on any single idea. If I’m completely wrong, truly wrong I think my downside is around 20%. On a 30% position, that’s about a 6% hit to the portfolio, which I can live with on my highest-conviction idea. But if I’m right, I think the upside could be 200%, which would translate into roughly 60% upside on the portfolio. At least to me, that risk-reward makes sense.

Go Big or Stay Average A few days ago I wrote about limiting beliefs. This is the year in my career where I actually become wealthy, where the returns are so insane that even for me, it’s hard to fully accept them. And because of that, I catch myself hedging, selling covered calls, trying to “manage” the upside. But if there’s one thing you can learn from Leopold, the 24-year-old kid who became a billionaire last year, and something I’m still learning myself, it’s this: When you have a high-conviction position that you understand better than anyone else, you go all in and you leave it alone. You let it run. 1% to 3% positions won’t change your life. You don’t put your best ideas at 2%, 3%, or 5% of your portfolio. If your conviction is real, you put at least 10% into it. Otherwise it’s almost a waste of time. But this only comes after proving to yourself, again and again, that your process works. That the logic you developed, the pattern recognition unique to you, consistently finds winners. That’s why it has to be your way. When I buy a stock I deeply understand, I now put 20% into that position, look at $ZIM, $URGN, $AMZN look at $STAA. In a new position I started this week I already put 30% of my portfolio, more on that on Monday. People who copy me put 1%, 2%, maybe 5%. And that’s the difference: Only when you’ve done the work yourself do you have the conviction to go big. As long as you genuinely believe your research is exceptional, and you’ve proven to yourself over and over again that you can identify winners better than the crowd, then let the position reach its full potential. Stop capping it with hedges. Stop selling away the upside with covered calls. Stop doing things that protect you emotionally but limit what the position can ultimately become.

@TheTradingNinja Why are peeps coming at you so heavy lately? This shit cray!

Everyone likes to point out how poorly stocks do in midterm years. What they usually leave out is how they do much better during a President's second term.

Correlations A few years ago, a friend of mine who runs a very successful systematic hedge fund told me they were struggling. When I asked why, he said something fascinating: “The correlations that worked for years have started breaking down.” And the more time passes, the more obvious it becomes that there’s no such thing as permanent correlations. There are only temporary causalities - relationships that exist for a period of time until they don’t. Nothing in markets is ordained by God. Just because something worked for 10, 20, or 50 years does not mean it must continue working forever. For years, investors believed stocks and bonds naturally hedge one another. Then inflation returned and suddenly both started falling together. People believed rising yields must hurt stocks. Yet at multiple points over the last few years, yields surged while AI and tech stocks kept ripping higher anyway. People believed gold had to rally during geopolitical stress, war, money printing, and fiscal deterioration. Then despite many of those exact conditions remaining in place, gold sold off anyway. People believed the dollar and yields always move together. Then we saw periods where yields rose aggressively while the dollar weakened. People believed oil spikes must crash equities immediately. Sometimes they did. Sometimes markets ignored them completely. People believed copper was a flawless global growth indicator. Yet recently copper, equities, yields, commodities, and growth expectations have often sent completely conflicting signals. At one point, Wall Street reached near-total consensus that gold was heading to $6,000. Every investment banker upgraded their model as price moved higher. Then suddenly, despite the exact same macro conditions remaining in place, gold dropped 10%. The very reasons people used to explain why gold “had to go up” became the reasons it fell. Ask Paul Tudor Jones. The same man who allegedly spent years trying to remove old videos of himself trading from the internet because his edge mattered so much, eventually became another CNBC macro commentator repeating consensus narratives on television. That alone tells you how fragile “edge” really is in markets. This is what people forget: Most “laws” are just temporary patterns that survived long enough for people to mistake them for eternal truths. Correlations are not laws of physics. They are crowds temporarily agreeing on a narrative.

@touchbuttons @AlexJonesIA Right? Almost like this is a rigged game...

@AlexJonesIA Hmm that's funny I don't see the option to cancel my orders when I change my mind

$AMZN FYI those big bulls that came in today ended up canceling/adjusting their orders after hours Will need to see how OI shakes out tomorrow morning. This is why I have trust issues with these big block (single exchange, limit orders).

Nothing to see here.

It looks unlikely that S&P 500 has a 20%+ drawdown in 2026. The historical odds are 2 in 41. Since 1950, there were 41 years where the index had an initial drawdown between 5–10% and recovered. Of those 41 cases, only 2 years, 1987 and 1957, saw a 20%+ drawdown later. $SPY

@GoldmanBanker I'm whitcha on this one GB!

$WRBY — Google smart glasses play? Grabbing some calls about a month out. Got the idea from a friend after noticing some sizable call flow hit recently.

Some of my favorites from Buffett on interest rates: "Interest rates are to asset prices like gravity is to the apple. They power everything in the economic universe." "Interest rates are like gravity in valuations. If interest rates are nothing, values can be almost infinite. If interest rates are extremely high, that's a huge gravitational pull on values." "The value of every business, the value of a farm, the value of an apartment, the value of any economic asset is 100% sensitive to interest rates. The higher interest rates are, the less that present value is going to be. Every business, whether it's Coca-Cola or Gillette or Wells Fargo — its intrinsic valuation is 100% sensitive to interest rates."

@TheTradingNinja And yet, you're still generous enough to drop nuggets for all to see, learn from, and profit from. You are one of the realest, illest ones out here for sure brother.

And now you understand why I charge for my time

THIS IS FUCKING UNBELIEVABLE ‼️

@GaaOptions Free game right here, folks!

I caught a massive squeeze setup because the liquidity sweep was obvious. When $SPY makes fresh lows & can’t instantly knife lower on heavy volume, that’s usually trapped sellers getting absorbed. That’s how violent reversals happen. Not magic. Just understanding liquidity.

The headline you won't hear: $SPX - best breadth day of May with 72% advancing stocks.

The S&P 500 just rose 7 weeks in a row. That has happened only 37 times since the 1920s. Three months later: 81% win rate. Median return: +3.5%. Strength tends to beget strength. Read full analysis: users.sentimentrader.com/users/kaeppels…

Interestingly enough, this fits in well with the overall duration of secular cycle lasting into 2033-2035. We are 14 years in already. 8 years left at max, putting us firmly in the latter half. Upside volatility gets obnoxious from 2026 onward. x.com/i/status/20564…

@GaaOptions Damn good trade bro

Some folks claim it’s all luck Some folks claim in hindsight 0 guess work in my room. Luckily, I was generous enough to share it with everyone. Why? Because I like seeing people who trust me win. $SPY 734c +500%