Packy Moran retweetledi
Packy Moran
1.5K posts

Packy Moran
@Packymoran
UIowa lecturer in Sport Mgmt focused on developing and uncovering marketable sports business skills in students and linking them with places to grow
Coralville, IA Katılım Şubat 2009
3.3K Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler

I’m not sure what brings me more joy…Nimari’s shot, or Terry’s giggling.
What a special team and season. Let’s keep the magic going!
Michigan Men's Basketball@umichbball
Radio call? We have it! Brian & Terry at their best! #GoBlue
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@tyshut @DavidEickholt We do agree that development is in order. Patience is the order of the day.
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@tyshut @DavidEickholt All I know is you cherry picked season average points per game in minutes played to critique effectiveness. I showed the metric on a per game basis that measures effectiveness and now you are saying that is a bad metric.
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@tyshut @DavidEickholt This the box. You will see that Stremlow led the Hawkeyes with a +9. Not a perfect stat, but your impact argument is not supported by these numbers.

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@Packymoran @DavidEickholt She averages less than 3 points a game in 17+ minutes of action. That isn’t helping the team, her defense and passing aren’t good enough to offset her lack of offensive output. I think she can develop, but she’s being rewarded for “heart” and “hustle” instead of impact.
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@tyshut @DavidEickholt Completely disagree. She has the best floor vision of anyone on the team. She also plays 94 feet. Her grit will help keep this team together.
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@DavidEickholt Stremlow absolutely should not be on the floor in OT, she gives the team nothing offensively.
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@ToddDClark @DavidEickholt Taylor Stremlow and Aaliyah Guyton are on their way to filling this role for every minute of the game. I don’t disagree with your assessment, but the answer is growing every game. Also recommend pulling up radio call on Youtube and syncing to B1G+ for road games.
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@DavidEickholt I've only watched sparingly, and had to cancel B1G+ because the announcers are awful, but when I have watched it seems like they don't have and seriously need a floor general. They can play, but it's not cohesive, and nobody is taking charge of the floor.
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@LauraRBelin @ketaminequisine @AndrewDesiderio Do you find that more of the “Bernie-esque” candidates are finding access to party tickets in “longer putt” races? I am thinking about Shelton in IA-4 and Clemens against Kaufman in Wilton.
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@ketaminequisine @AndrewDesiderio I have closely followed Iowa legislative races for more than a decade. Democratic candidates running on a Bernie-type agenda don't do any better in these tough districts than any other Democrats. Unfortunately.
It would be easier if there were some magic policy ideas to fix it.
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@RickLangel We agree that current government is not solving our problems but we have very different ideas about why. It is not the idea of government that is the problem- it is how government (the one thing we all are a part of) is used vindictively by whichever side controls it.
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@Packymoran Oh and thinking govt can solve out problems is how we got to the crappy spot we're in today.
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@RickLangel You are changing your argument but you could be absolutely right. We will all know soon enough. I hope that with when the election is over we can all lean our government to solve our collective issues.
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That doesn't mean she's not oversampling.
Let's work through it. Her poll is unique because she just calls people and asks if they're likely to vote. If so then they're in her sample set.
Now, who is more likely to respond to polls? It's not conservatives, particularly of late, so overall the chance of getting someone who is a liberal is higher.
Now 808 total in the sample, 450 have never supported Trump. That's about 56%. Per past results, that is probably 10% higher than straight up R support. Now factor in those who were undecided and switched back and forth for support, which is outside that 450. Let's just say 50 people who went back and forth. Now we're at 62%, which would be 15% off.
What effect do you think being 15% off in your sampling has in the results?
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@RickLangel “In a state that went double digits for Trump in 2020, 81% of those she polled have never supported Trump.” Your quote is not true. 81% of those who didn’t support Trump in this poll (47% for Harris, 9% unaccounted) never supported Trump. 2/3rds of that group are Never Trump.
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@RickLangel I am not sure there was oversampling. These numbers don’t suggest it. Your margins are correct from the last two elections but this poll is “likely voters” (bigger group than voters) the % you initially pulled from the 47% who said Harris and the 9% with no preference.
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@Packymoran And if you oversample in one direction, what does that do to the results?
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@RickLangel My point is the % you posted were only from those who were not supporting Trump NOT everyone in the sample. It is big news that 16% of people who reported not supporting 45 had previously.
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@Packymoran Not at all. The point is about oversampling.
2020 was R+9
2022 was R+19
In what world does that even come close to the breakdowns in this poll?
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It's entirely too early for me to be up, but never too early for this. Go Bucks! Beat Iowa! @Packymoran @AnnaJensen13
GIF
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@TheRolldaddy 24-hour silent rule with things that are really bad. You are well trained for this! Isn’t it amazing what we do for fun.
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@genostone22 is becoming the second @UISportRecMgmt alum at the @Bengals in last five years and I am here for it! #UISRMatWork #WhoDey @kennedeyB
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Ok, @IowaW_Wrestling that was awesome! Can’t wait to see you live in Carver next Sunday. #best35minutesofmyday
Coralville, IA 🇺🇸 English

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