Papershadow

Final

@CW_MuddyH2O @USFBaseball I agree we need to clean house fully of players and coaches. We need a clean slate of players that can play and coaches that can coach.

@USFBaseball This team is imploding in epic fashion. Know idea what’s going but Hannah’s needs to get this team on track the next 3 weeks or we won’t make the tournament. That would be cause for termination far as I’m concerned.

@USFBaseball Wow season over, horrible way to end. Promising start was just a mirage. Time to clean house of players and coaches. This is not working out.

@NFL_DovKleiman And he will be broke within 5 years if he doesnt get a new contract after his rookie deal is done.

𝗧𝗥𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚: New Chiefs rookie DT Peter Woods bought multiple $100,000 Maserati SUVs for his mother and sister after he was drafted. Woods will only make $2.4 million per year after taxes. What an amazing gift to give his family 🥹❤️

@NancyCarrow @BullJay14 @USFBulls2 That is true but also feel with baseball in Florida you should be winning almost every year and we haven’t been consistent for a very long time if ever really.

@Papershadow22 @BullJay14 @USFBulls2 This is only year 2 for Hannahs, plus he's shown he can make the CWS regionals/supers. Baseball isn't football or bball so there's a little longer rope.

Incredibly disappointing USF baseball season honestly.

@Timwalkonwater2 I think one of the problems is just throwing in college there hurts it a little plus the price at $30. To me $30 is more for mid tier retail not low tier like Bowman and Topps flagship are. Bowman should be $25.

Tell me you’ve never opened Bowman before without telling me you’ve never opened bowman before. Just because you haven’t taken the time to educate yourself on a product doesn’t mean it’s not a good product. #thehobby #sportscards

@MattWolbrink @AllfreyColby @MKellyUSNA Well problem is too like some have said, players like Jimmy Horn got drafted and wasnt a Bull anymore. Same will be if Brown gets drafted.

@AllfreyColby Yeah it’ll take a few years to cleanse the @MKellyUSNA dumpster fire

No #USF players were drafted in the 2026 NFL Draft. It’s the 8th straight draft without a Bull being drafted.

@ClevelandFanLOL @AllfreyColby And probably Brown too.

@AllfreyColby In the era of the transfer portal, it’s gonna be that much harder for any G5 programs to get players’ drafted, as they’ll end up transferring to a power conference school before getting drafted. Case in point…

@BullJay14 @NancyCarrow @USFBulls2 Yeah agree need sweep and probably what 2-1 in the other ones for a fighting chance. If we don’t make even the conference tournament how long do we give the coach?

@NancyCarrow @Papershadow22 @USFBulls2 need to sweep our last series vs fau

@NancyCarrow @USFBulls2 That is right forgot not everyone goes so we need these wins.

@Papershadow22 @USFBulls2 I'm hoping we even make the American tournament. They only take 8. 3 weeks left to make some moves. Totally possible but we need to win those series, at the very least.

@ID_Xbox @dwg_publishing DPS 2 Idle has glitched achievements. I cannot pop the after 6 hours achievement and i have come back after 6 hours and no achievement.

We've got 7 indie games launching on Xbox today! Take a look through the catalog and find something new to play! 💚🎮 Find links to each game below. 🔗

@NancyCarrow @USFBulls2 Yeah but feel have to win the American tournament or we wont be in.

@USFBulls2 I'm hoping we make the tournament.

@trmcards @CardPurchaser Interested to see what more football brings. So far only likes Topps Basketball and that is about it. Chrome football ok for mostly singles.

After work car rip, first Bowman NBA rip of the year! @CardPurchaser

@usfbulls69 @TheUSFWizard @usfcardsfan Too embarrassed i bet

@TheUSFWizard @usfcardsfan Yeah just strange that we didn’t even get a single score update, play highlight, or final score update from either ECU game so far

can someone give me an update on USF baseball

@The_BAE_Tampa Funny the women can have a down year then reload after that and win for awhile. Men have a down decade then have one maybe two years being good and bad for another 10. Guess we have baseball Golesh can only beat the weak baseball teams in conference.

While USF baseball is in the midst of their third straight series loss and potentially two straight run rule defeats, USF softball has won the series against UAB and is one step closer to clinching the 1 seed in the American Conference tournament

@Blake_Bruce They all trying to get Topps Chrome football to resell at 2x or 3x times the price.

Um anyone showing up today!? We might be cooked 😅

@usfbulls69 Even they are embarrassed by the coaching and players. Time to reload and find another coach and some offensive players.

I guess we’re at the “don’t even post the final score” part of the season folks 🫩

@heiferlessbiped @usfbulls69 Agree we play decent mid week lately than crap the bed in conference. I think USF baseball even knows that the season is over. Think time to start looking for a new coach bc all the hype of him is now gone and he has not produced consistently.

@usfbulls69 The conference is loaded this year. But we're just playing like shit. Very disappointing.

@usfcardsfan @usfbulls69 Promising season down the drain. We need to run the tournament or that is it. Wonder why we decide not to show up during conference play.

@usfbulls69 what was it

@WaxMetrix Still crazy that Target and such boxes are $35 and not the $25 that Panini’s was. Funny how missing Panini already.

@Papershadow22 Tbf, Hoops value is $35. Hoops Fanatics Value is likely $40, but it's also quite a bit better than standard Value boxes. Not great, but better.

2025/26 Topps Hoops Basketball Analysis & Deep Dive Alright…let’s get this over with. I’ve been staring at this odds sheet for a week like it owes me money, trying to translate this nonsense into some actual usable analysis. The reality? It’s a hot mess. Which, honestly, feels on-brand for the product. At some point you stop chasing perfection and accept the job for what it is. This breakdown isn’t flawless. Some production estimates could swing a bit either direction. But big picture, we’re dialed in within ~10%, which is about as good as you’re gonna get when the source material looks like it was assembled during a wicked hangover. It's not just that they put all formats in one column like it's a CVS receipt. There just isn’t enough hard data to precisely lock down the numbers. And that’s largely because this product is devoid of numbered format exclusives. In this product, Hobby formats and retail formats are entirely different animals. They share base cards and Rainbow Foil. That's it. Every parallel, insert, and auto subset is either exclusive to both Hobby & Jumbo, or exclusive to retail formats, aside from unnumbered Green Hoops (Value & Fanatics Value Boxes) and Orange Hoops (Hangers). As far as box dynamics and hit rates go, we're good. Those are as accurate as they can be. Print runs should be very close too, within 10%. The important stuff is all ironed out enough to give you a really good idea of what to expect from this dumpster fire...er, product. The bad news? Well… where do we start? If you're here to see the Squatch give you all the glaze that Hoops has to offer, maybe go ahead and move on. Topps purists may not like me after this one. Panini fans may rejoice though. So give me a second while I pre-heat the oven. Now, let this roast commence. Welcome to 2025/26 Topps Hoops NBA. Part 1: WTF? I don’t know if Topps lost a bet or what. Maybe it’s one of those deals where you buy a company but have to keep the previous owner’s nephew on payroll because there's no way he could find a real job. He’s always drunk, wildly unqualified, and somehow untouchable once the papers are signed. NBA Hoops is that drunk nephew. I get it, it’s an NBA property. Topps probably had to make it. But this doesn’t feel like something they wanted to make. Of all the products I’ve ever analyzed, this is easily the most forgettable. Ask me tomorrow to name two insert sets from Hoops and I’ll probably give you a glassy-eyed stare. And I’ve been buried in this thing for days. But while I'm actually looking at them, let me tell you what the rare inserts are- Oasis. Joy. Checkmate. Hoopnotic. Oh, and I can't forget the snoozefests Boombastic and Block By Block found in retail. Those are your non-auto "chases". There’s no backbone. No aura. Nothing that makes you say, “Yeah…I gotta get me some of that Hoops.” It feels like drunk nephew told ChatGPT, “Make me a full product, base it on Hoops and keep it as generic as possible.” Boom. Straight to print. To be fair, Hoops wasn’t exactly can't-miss material under Panini either. Hoops Premium had a five-minute run but ended up being pretty rancid as well. But at least Panini Hoops had one thing going for it: it was cheap. You knew what to expect. Which wasn’t much. At $260 a box for one auto, this is literal grand larceny. And we don’t even know what Jumbos are going to look like yet. If you’re paying $500+ for a box of this, you need your head examined. If there was ever a product that absolutely should drop in price after release, it’s this one. This makes Topps Three look like a masterclass in building a memorable NBA set. And until now, in my opinion, at the price that was the worst product of the year (which somehow still went up in price). Alright…I’m getting ahead of myself. Let’s get into the numbers and let you come to your own conclusion. Though honestly, I don’t think we even need a “What Would the Squatch Do?” on this one. Pretty sure you already know. Part 2: Numbers and stuff Total cards in the product: ~84,500,000 Base print run: ~285,000 per player Estimated Production by format: Hobby- ~63,000 boxes (5,250 cases) Jumbo- ~29,000 boxes (3,625 cases) Value- ~880,000 boxes (22,000 cases) Hanger- ~587,000 boxes (9,172 cases) Fanatics Value- ~73,350 boxes (1,834 cases) Hit Rates per box: Hobby- 1 auto, 10.5 parallels, 8 inserts, 2.4 numbered cards Jumbo- 2 autos, 16 parallels, 11.5 inserts, 5.3 numbered cards Value- 1 auto per 10 boxes, 4.7 parallels, 2 inserts, 1 numbered card per 3.75 boxes Hangers- 1 auto per 17 boxes, 1.67 parallels, 1.6 inserts, 1 numbered card per 7.5 boxes Fanatics Value- 1 auto per 7 boxes, 4 parallels, 1.6 inserts, 1 numbered card per 2.2 boxes. Part 3: Value Map Prices based on pre-order of $260/hobby, estimating $500/jumbo, $35 Value, $18 Hangers, estimating $40 Fanatics Value box. $/card 1) Value/Fanatics Value- 63¢ 2) Hangers- 72¢ 3) Hobby- $1.63 $/parallel 1) Value- $7.49 2) Fanatics Value- $10.23 3) Hanger- $10.84 $/auto 1) Jumbo- $250 2) Hobby- $260 3) Fanatics Value- $278 $/# card 1) Fanatics Value- $86.80 2) Jumbo- $93.63 3) Hobby- $108.33 Part 4: "Best" formats This is a bit like picking your favorite flu symptom, but for the sake of a complete breakdown… here we go. You can't really compare Hobby formats to Retail because they’re basically different products. Outside of base Rainbow Foils, there’s zero overlap in hits. The one redeeming quality in this entire release is the checklist for the 1989 Hoops Signatures. Based on the OG Hoops design, the cards look solid and the checklist is strong. If not for that and this year's excellent rookie class, I don't know if I would have a single good thing to say about the entire product. On the Hobby side, Jumbo checks the most boxes. It’s the most efficient path most to parallels, inserts, and all autos. Hobby boxes edge out Jumbo slightly on the four case-hit inserts, but not by much. Among retail formats, if Fanatics Value boxes land at $40 (which tracks with other recent releases), they will be the best retail format for almost everything. The only place they fall short is a handful of auto parallels, where Hangers sneak ahead. There are only two boring case level inserts in retail formats (Block By Block & Boombastic), which is a bit of a bummer. But honestly the Hobby case hits aren't much better. If you forced me to pick one format overall, it’s Fanatics Value. I’d rather retire from the hobby than pay suggested pricing on Hobby or Jumbo. I just can't fathom $260/$500+ box prices for this lowest end of low end sets. And to think they'll probably go up from there on the secondary market. Dear God, I hope not. But they probably will. If hobby boxes were $130 rather than $260, I could get on board with people snagging some. Not me, but people. For this price range, Flagship Topps is a way better set with much more upside potential. Part 5: What Would the Squatch Do? Squatch is doing his best Flock of Seagulls impression. Run. Run so far away. Part 6: The Print Runs Base production per player- ~260,000 ea Base Highlights- ~202,000 ea Base All-Stars- ~163,000 ea Unnumbered Parallels: Rainbow Foil- ~5,400 ea Green Hoops- ~8,100 ea Orange Hoops- ~2,250 ea Light Burst- ~2,300 ea Rainbow Teal- ~100 ea Base Fanatics- ~400 ea Highlights Rainbow Foil- ~6,800 ea Highlights Pixel Burst- ~1,000 ea Highlights Light Burst- ~2,300 ea Highlights Green Hoops- ~9,000 ea Highlights Rainbow Teal- ~270 ea Highlights Orange Hoops- ~2,900 ea Highlights Fanatics- ~400 ea All-Stars Rainbow Foil- ~6,700 ea All-Stars Pixel Burst- ~1,000 ea All-Stars Green Hoops- ~8,750 ea All-Stars Light Burst- ~2,300 ea All-Stars Rainbow Teal- ~270 ea All-Stars Fanatics- ~400 ea Unnumbered Inserts: Bounce House (25 card CL)- ~5,300 ea Bounce House Rainbow- ~1,100 ea Bounce House Pixel Burst- ~550 ea Next Episode (20 card CL)- ~5,200 ea Next Episode Rainbow- ~1,100 ea Next Episode Pixel Burst- ~550 ea Dunk-umentory (15 card CL)- ~5,300 ea Dunk-umentory Rainbow- ~1,100 ea Dunk-umentory Pixel Burst- ~550 ea Pay Attention (20 card CL)- ~5,200 ea Pay Attention Rainbow- ~1,100 ea Pay Attention Pixel Burst- ~550 ea Hoopers (20 card CL)- ~5,200 ea Hoopers Rainbow- ~1,100 ea Hoopers Pixel Burst- ~550 ea Finals Pursuit First Round (100 card CL)- ~900 ea Finals Pursuit Second Round- ~65 ea Finals Pursuit Semi-Finals- ~25 ea Finals Pursuit The Finals- ~6 ea Oasis (25 card CL)- ~175 ea Joy (10 card CL)- ~190 ea Checkmate (30 card CL)- ~180 ea Hoopnotic (35 card CL)- ~175 ea Hardwired (25 card CL)- ~21,000 ea Hardwired Green Hoops- ~4,400 ea Hardwired Light Burst- ~660 ea Hardwired Orange Hoops- ~2,200 ea The Buzz (30 card CL)- ~20,000 ea The Buzz Green Hoops- ~4,300 ea The Buzz Light Burst- ~660 ea The Buzz Orange Hoops- ~2,200 ea Net to Net (30 card CL)- ~20,000 ea Net to Net Green Hoops- ~4,300 ea Net to Net Light Burst- ~660 ea Net to Net Orange Hoops- ~2,200 ea Jam-Packed (15 card CL)- ~21,000 ea Jam-Packed Green Hoops- ~4,400 ea Jam-Packed Light Burst- ~660 ea Jam-Packed Orange Hoops- ~2,200 ea Block By Block (40 card CL)- ~680 ea Boombastic (10 card CL)- ~685 ea Unnumbered Autos: Rookie Signatures (40 card CL)- ~830 ea Hoops Signs (54 card CL)- ~840 ea 1989 Hoops Signatures (60 card CL)- ~320 ea 1989 Hoops Signatures Green Hoops- ~320 ea Rookie First Signs (50 card CL)- ~400 ea Hyper Signatures (47 card CL)- ~400 ea #thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2025ToppsHoops