Parabola

We just won the @solanamobile track at Consensus Miami with Parabola! Prediction markets today are stuck on yes/no. Parabola lets you bet the entire distribution: where you think an outcome lands, how confident you are, and how wide the range could be. Trade a distribution on Brent crude. Instead of an NBA over/under, set your own curve around the final score. Same idea, infinitely more expressive. Parabola presents a brand new derivative built around distributions, real leverage, better odds, and a fix for the fragmented liquidity that’s held prediction markets back, all on-chain with Solana architecture. We’re excited to soon launch a web app in addition to a dApp for Solana Mobile in our efforts to build out Parabola for the broader Solana ecosystem. Huge thanks to Solana Mobile, @easya_app , @dom_kwok , and @kwok_phil for the support. @a_jerfy @0xKnxwledge @shikharhndrxx @nishprash

Another hard day of work at Parabola for these two

Prediction markets force you to take binary positions with little control. The natural evolution for event contracts is trading entire outcome distributions, with a continuous payout scheme. This kind of optionality and control is unmatched; sign up for beta testing at parabolamarkets.xyz

Trade exclusive, continuous perps on things like volatility and volume that you can’t find on any other exchange: parabolamarkets.xyz

Pilot access has been teaching us a lot. What people want. What they do not want. Where yes/no markets feel too narrow. The clearest signal: people want to trade belief with far more expressibility than today’s event contracts allow. Outcome, confidence, risk, shape, timing. Exciting things coming soon...

Learn more here: parabolamarkets.xyz

Pilot access continues to roll out. The feedback has been sharp: people do not just want more event contracts. They want better ways to express, size, hedge, and trade their beliefs. That is the evolution we are building for. Event contracts are becoming a real financial asset class, and Parabola is building the market structure for what comes next.

We're beginning to roll out pilot access for early users. Prediction markets proved people want to trade belief. Now the next question is what happens when those markets stop being trapped in yes/no. Parabola lets users express their actual view: what outcome, how confident, how much risk, and how belief moves before resolution. That is the ground floor for native belief derivatives.

@Mat_Oracle Love to hear it!

Just got BETA access to @ParabolaMarkets Never trading simple binary again. Give me the curve any day

Join us here: parabolamarkets.xyz

Prediction markets are not the final market structure. They are the ground floor. A binary market lets you trade one thing: will this happen or not? That is useful, but it compresses every belief into yes/no. No range. No confidence curve. No view on how belief moves before settlement. No native way to build on top of the thing people actually care about. Parabola starts from a different premise: Belief has shape. If you build the market around that shape from day one, you unlock a much larger design space: 1. Trade the outcome 2. Trade the confidence 3. Trade the distribution 4. Trade the movement in crowd belief 5. Build perpetuals on belief variables 6. Create derivatives that are native to the market itself, not bolted onto a binary after the fact That is the shift. Prediction markets proved people want to trade belief. Parabola is building the market structure for what comes after.

Binary markets proved people will trade belief, but they did not prove belief has to stay binary. Parabola is building for the future.

Trade your belief, no strings attached: parabolamarkets.xyz

Prediction markets revealed a hunger to back opinions with capital. But forcing every complex view into a simple 'yes' or 'no' fundamentally limits expression. Once people can trade richer views, binary markets start looking like the first primitive, not the end state. Parabola is built to let you trade exactly that depth and nuance.

@Mat_Oracle Awesome! Will be sending you an email about getting set up shortly 🫡

Just signed up for early access. Always had a gripe with black and white binary markets. Let me predict on a curve any day.

Join us: parabolamarkets.xyz

Online feeds are full of opinions, but only markets show what people truly back. Yet, most belief markets today force complex views into a simple 'yes' or 'no'. This binary constraint misses the nuance of how people actually think about the future. Real belief isn't just a flip of a coin. People often think more expressively, but current platforms fail to capture this form of conviction. Parabola is changing that. We're building a derivatives exchange where you can trade not just if something happens, but what value, how confident, and with what risk. Our markets are designed to match the shape of your belief. This goes beyond basic prediction markets.

learn more here: parabolamarkets.xyz

Prediction markets started with yes or no because yes or no is easy to understand. But most real beliefs are not binary. People have a number in mind, a range, a confidence level, and a sense of how wrong they can afford to be. Parabola is trying to make that full belief tradable. The bet is simple: once people can trade richer views, binary markets start looking like the first primitive, not the end state.

@FantasyFoess @Polymarket @CFTC If you want to explore trading similar markets with much more positional control, check out distribution markets on Parabola. We have a guided user session beginning tomorrow morning, waitlist on our website!

Another crash today, and we all know it won’t be the last. It’s clear @Polymarket rushed its U.S. launch and wasn’t ready. The product has been plagued by crashes, grading issues, and other problems. I don’t know how @CFTC continues to allow this to go on.