Parcl Intern

7.4K posts

Parcl Intern

@Parcl_Intern

making real estate less confusing (hopefully) 🤓🏠 @Parcl + @ParclLabs

New York, NY Katılım Mayıs 2023

930 Takip Edilen6.2K Takipçiler

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Parcl Intern@Parcl_Intern·20 Eki

With Mamdani closing in on 90% odds to be the next NYC mayor, real estate people are losing their minds. Let me break down what his policies actually mean for property prices in the Big Apple 🧵

Kalshi@Kalshi

BREAKING: Zohran Mamdani now has an 87% chance to be the next NYC Mayor

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Parcl@Parcl·3d

A trader can have a real edge and still be capped by one thing: their own balance Vaults remove that ceiling A trader runs the strategy. Depositors supply capital. Everyone shares the result Here’s how they actually work 🧵

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Parcl Intern retweetledi

Parcl@Parcl·4d

San Francisco spent years as one of the weakest major housing markets in America Still 9.6% below its 2022 peak Then it ran 14.2% in six months Compass counted 144 homes selling at least $1M over asking in the first half of 2026 Same period last year: 8 SF went from dead money to bidding wars. Now @Polymarket traders are pricing where it lands this quarter.

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Parcl@Parcl·5d

DC set a two-year low in February Then ran ~8% to a two-year high in May It’s given back half that move since ~$543K today. Down ~$20K from the May top, and falling at about two-thirds the speed it climbed DC has closed Q3 down four of the last five years Q3 is here again. This time, traders are pricing the outcome on @Polymarket

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Parcl@Parcl·6d

In Miami, the biggest institutional landlords sold nearly 3 single-family homes for every 1 they bought over the last year And they’re doing it with Miami still sitting less than 2% from its all-time high They’re not waiting for the market to crack first.

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Parcl@Parcl·6d

4 vaults are live on V4 devnet One is up double digits. One is down double digits. The Parcl V4 Treasury vault is in the mix too Different strategies, different outcomes Back a trader, or open your own.

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Parcl@Parcl·14 Tem

A ~$500,000 rental house in Los Angeles can yield less than a US Treasury Not a joke LA gross rental yield: ~3.9% a year US Treasury: ~4.3% One comes with tenants, repairs, vacancies and 2am phone calls The other doesn't.

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Parcl@Parcl·11 Tem

you did everything right he brought cash

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Parcl@Parcl·10 Tem

Most traders think you make money one way: price goes your way On real estate, there are two engines. And the crowd decides which one pays A thread on the mechanic that catches even seasoned perp traders off guard 🧵

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Parcl@Parcl·9 Tem

Austin and Denver were two of the markets IRL buyers piled into Both are now down more than 20% from their peak. Buy in the last few years and you’re likely underwater A home is the biggest position most people ever take, and the only way out was all the way out.

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Parcl@Parcl·9 Tem

Our Motivated Seller Index tracks how much seller pressure is actually showing up in listings That’s why the New York vs Florida split matters One market is still holding up. The other is starting to give.

Jason Lewris@jasonlewris

As of July 7, home-seller behavior in New York vs. Florida couldn't look more different. New York (ice blue): Motivated seller index: 3 Listings with price cuts: 24.3% Listings priced below what the seller paid: 3.7% Florida (lit red): Motivated seller index: 5.8 Listings with price cuts: 44.9% Listings priced below what the seller paid: 10.3% Across every measure, Florida sellers are far more pressured: Motivated seller index - 1.9x higher Price cuts - 1.8x more common Listings below purchase price - 2.8x more common You can track these markets in real time for free.

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Parcl@Parcl·8 Tem

Since March 2020, Buffalo home prices are up 94%. San Francisco is up 44% Buffalo has been one of the biggest moves in US housing It isn’t on Parcl V4 devnet yet. Maybe it should be.

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Parcl@Parcl·7 Tem

The data behind the headline is now a market you can trade Live on @Polymarket , settled on Parcl data.

Polymarket@Polymarket

JUST IN: Florida now accounts for 1 in 7 homes for sale in America, with nearly 45% of Florida listings taking price cuts — Parcl

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Trevor Bacon@trevorjbacon·6 Tem

3Q Real Estate Markets now Live on @Polymarket powered by @Parcl

Polymarket@Polymarket

JUST IN: Florida now accounts for 1 in 7 homes for sale in America, with nearly 45% of Florida listings taking price cuts — Parcl

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Parcl@Parcl·7 Tem

Never traded a perp? Start at zero Traded perps for years? Real estate still breaks your instincts We built a learning center for both. Interactive, not a wall of docs. You defend a funding attack, weigh price against funding, and learn to read which side of the book is under-crowded "Learn" is live on V4 devnet.

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Parcl@Parcl·6 Tem

Four years running, San Francisco home prices have ended Q3 lower than they started Does the streak hit five? Live quarterly market now on @Polymarket Settled using Parcl data.

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Parcl Intern@Parcl_Intern·2 Tem

@Parcl 🚀

QME

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Parcl@Parcl·2 Tem

Two years ago V3 went live An AMM for US real estate LPs on one side, traders on the other, funding trying to keep them honest Nobody had built anything like it Nobody knew if people would show up They did More than $5B in volume For the first time, real estate had onchain markets And inside those numbers, we could also see what the AMM could not fix LPs were always the counterparty Traders adapted faster than the mechanism could Funding and timing kept pulling in opposite directions The honest read: V3 did what it was supposed to do It also showed us what had to come next So we built V4 Rust matching engine Continuous orderbook Real order types Cross and isolated margin The depth an actual market needs Parcl chain underneath it, settling to Solana V4 devnet is live Mainnet next

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Parcl@Parcl·2 Tem

Quarterly US housing markets are now live on @Polymarket . First one resolves September 30 Two weeks ago we asked what you’d actually take a position on Longer than monthly was the answer Shipped. Settled on Parcl.