Patarames

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@Americans_Rise Thanks mate, appreciated

@Pataramesh My friend Pat I've read your posts for I think it's been 2 years - not sure exactly but you have been proven right real knowledge, intelligence, and accurate analysis leads to an excellent reputation of knowing what you are talking about good luck my friend with ur channel

Is the absence of AN/TPY-2 upper-echelon high-res sensors a reason for systematic failure of 🇺🇸 Patriot missile defense? Are the one(s) left in the region not emitting to avoid their detection & targeting? ➡️ Its certainly possible Iran's hunt for them may have enabled all this

@emrah_elyas01 Of course its just one factor The PK against a Kheybar-Shekan-2 class missile is low anyway

@DALAX Not blindly, but with less capable sensors

@Pataramesh So you're telling me that they're launching pacs at ballistic, blindly??

@Titus_F_V Yes If they repair it, next time instead of drones, it may be hit with a ballistic missile

@Pataramesh Plus the absence of AN/FPS-132 radar in Qatar. Would the Qataries repair that?

@ArnaudLuzi57816 Underestimating

@Pataramesh Your thoughs about Postol claims about Patriot capacites ?

@ra11nmakerr You can watch this: youtube.com/watch?v=BQ8bIG…

@Pataramesh Do you have an video explaining how these work of are you planning on making one?

On the menu for Iran in this round? Convincing the U.S. that its bases are an liability ➡️ make them largely retreat from the region Their soft tact. airpower can be hit at will at this point Their systems capable to defend, THAAD & SM-3, are too rare and concentrated in 🇮🇱

@DefenceGeek Cosmetics

Sounds like the US CENTCOM plans for tonight and the following few days might warrant a new name... All eyes on the skies 👀

@dadasch313 No war

@Pataramesh What does your gut tell you? @Pataramesh

What are the odds of renewed full-scale war? (🇺🇸🇮🇱 / 🇮🇷) Some requirements are so costly & short on supply that they alone would disincentivize it: - ~150 JASSM/Tomahawk every 2-3 days only to temporally damage tunnel entrances ➡️ Reduce missile firepower - ~20 high-end THAAD & SM-3 interceptors every day to protect high-value objects in Israel & Jordan ➡️ Maintaining tactical airpower sorties against Iran Now for how many weeks/months do the reserves last? How much is necessary to pose a minimum credible capability against China & North Korea? Most critically: How confident are 🇺🇸🇮🇱 in their capability to neutralize Iran's offensive firepower capabilities in the time window those remaining arsenals allows?

@Taha_sinjari Thanks Iran's firepower is suffcient for many months, if not more at the rate we saw in the last war

@Pataramesh I appreciate all your posts and probably have been the most accurate throughout this whole conflict, keep up the amazing work, One question though, for how long do you think iran can keep firing missiles or reach below critical levels, ofc america runs out faster but does iran?

@MenchOsint Unfortunately the importance of this story won't be understood by normal folks

Btw, no more MQ-4C Triton flight since Iran targeted its base in Jordan last week (Prince Hassan AB) Since - in my opinion - it's not deemed safe anymore, they were redployed to NAS Sigonella in Sicily, too far to serve as a base to operate mission over the Persian Gulf.

@Aviation_Intel Deliberate targeting choices by Iran PAC-3 performance against MRBM-class aeroballistics can be seen by everyone in the recent videos

It was only a matter of time. Amazing how well air defenses have done keeping the main airfield area from being touched until now. Scary stuff, a ton of tactical airpower packed on those ramps and lots of personnel there to support/operate it. Hopefully these areas were clear of personnel if they were indeed hit.

Sure, 2 Iranian missiles bypassing at least 10 Patriot PAC-3 looks impressive But truth is: the job of missile defenses is MUCH more difficult than the attacking missile's ➡️ PAC-3 was not designed to handle maneuvering glide vehicles maintaining terminal velocity of > Mach 6 1800km range Kheybar-Shekan-2 used at ~1200km provides the glider with excess velocity For anything beyond Mach 5 & maneuvering the PAC-3s kill probability shrinks drastically ➡️ Nevertheless, the PAC-3 is a very powerful interceptor... just not against the Kheybar-Shekan-2 Iran is efficiently draining U.S. stockpiles of this high-tech effector, using few, low lost missiles

@realzahidhusyn @MenchOsint No

@Pataramesh @MenchOsint Brother Hajj Qasem is more powerful thaj Sejjil 2 missile??

Iran's Haj-Qassem has now become an Aero-Ballistic Missile What we see is likely Haj-Qassem-2 with the glide vehicle of the Kheybar-Shekan-2 ➡️ A natural evolution which increases range, but more importantly; evasion capability against missile defenses Almost immune to PAC-3

@GeromanAT Yes but then Tehran's international airport would loose its safe status

Iran could now do the most funny thing...

Credits to @CONVAlR for sighting the difference first

@ETERNALPHYSICS Check the aerodynamic shield in front of the steering fins and the conical rear section Its the KS-2 glider tech. transferred to AIO