Observant Trader

After 5 years of developing a winning system to trade earnings, I am going to share some trade ideas.

@Klaudnin3 Hitting the bid would be selling. Slap that ask? 🧐

$FICO

@RealJakeBroe Thanks for your work. The Flamingo drone/missile is worth $500k. Why? Because destroying a drone or missile factory is cheaper than $200M of Patriot type missiles that r not even available. Not to mention damage prevented. There r not more b/c Ukr (Europe) can’t make enough.

Russian soldiers continue to freak out over the Kremlin blocking Telegram for them on the frontlines. Ukraine ran an intelligence operation that successfully exposed collaborators and collected information on Russian Starlink usage. Ukraine struck two more Russian refineries, shutting down one of them. My YouTube update for Thursday, Feb 12th (link to video down below)

@HamishDBG @PhilipIngMBE 2/n. Ukraine & allies need to neutralize/ confiscate 10-15 Russian tankers per month to keep Urals in low $40s.

@HamishDBG @PhilipIngMBE 1/n The things u r saying about Russian oil and refining is 100% false. Russia is producing and selling record levels of oil. Ukraine takes out 10% of refining capacity but it just shifts to others. Russia still exports petrol. Russia sells Urals for low $50s, well above AISC

Putin is carrying out a full Russian mobilisation, bigger than 2022, by stealth telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/02/1…

@Billbrowder Except nobody wants to give up profits or higher oil prices Target ing shipping keeps oil flowing but deprives Putin of profit. Also, Ukraine needs long missiles Europe still has basically none.

Just arrived at the Munich Security Conference to pitch all allies of Ukraine on imposing sanctions on the 8 oil refineries in China, India and Turkey who buy 90% of Putin’s oil. If this is done, Putin would run out of money in six months and could no longer afford the war.

@dhtoomey @GaetenD @DustinGouker @kylascan U ask “why is it allowed “? Because it’s just two ppl making a bet. Why wouldn’t that b allowed?

So we're betting on everything now? Full investigation out now Feat. @DustinGouker @GaetenD @kylascan Ilya Beylin

@AdjacentNews Thx for ur work. Ukraine did not take credit for shooting tge general. Putin doesn’t want peace. Djt wants bribes for letting Russia take Ukraine. Europe is finally halfway doing what it should have to defend Ukraine 4 years ago.

[ADJ] Global Outlook: Talks adj.news/untitled-4/

@RealJakeBroe Forget defensive missiles. There r not enough in the world or enough money to make them. If Ukraine has ten missiles, would u rather they stop 10 arrows or ten arrow factories.

Elon Musk has finally shut down Starlink access to Russian forces after ignoring their use of it for the last three years. This has put frontline Russian forces at a huge communications disadvantage compared to Ukraine. Ukraine launched flamingo cruise missiles at Russia's oreshnik missile launch site. My YouTube update for Thursday, Feb 5th (link to video down below)

@RealJakeBroe Thanks for your work. Re: missiles, it’s not FPV vs Flamingo. It’s that Europe makes 15 long&mid range missiles and strike drones per month. Russia makes 15,000. Guess who wins? Europe doesn’t have even have propellent or TNT to make them.

@warpolitics24 @ScottLucas_EA @TkieDaniel @SofiaBrusselsUA 2/n even provide Ukraine with 10% of the mid/long range drones it needs. Ukraine & allies also need to stop 10 Russian shadow tankers per month. Two simple things, or Putin keeps winning.

@warpolitics24 @ScottLucas_EA @TkieDaniel @SofiaBrusselsUA 1/n Thank you for your work! Please keep spreading the word that the only way to peace for Ukraine to have 100s of long range missiles and 1000s of mid range missiles per month. Europe restarted SCALP last July and makes ~5 and makes/owns zero long range. Sadly, allies don’t..

Russian military bloggers say Russian forces were ordered to halt strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure across all of Ukraine. The report follow a Financial Times story published on January 22nd saying the U.S. and Ukraine discussed proposing a limited ceasefire in which Russia would stop attacking energy infrastructure in Ukraine in exchange for Ukraine halting strikes on Russian refineries and shadow fleet tankers. If Russian dictator Vladimir Putin agreed to this, why would he do so?

@MinPres @ZelenskyyUa Putin give no fuks what u say. He has to be physically stopped.

@DomNicholls 3/n inoperable/ confiscated monthly to keep Ural crude <$43. Rock on. 🤘🏻

@DomNicholls 2/n ..if they wanted to. And Europe just restarted SCALP with a whopping ~4/ month. To compensate, this deficiency Europe should at least be making 1000s of mid/long range drones but they r only making a handful. 10+ Russian shadow fleet need to rendered..

What idiot journalist doing?

@squawksquare I was going to keep it a secret but, here it is. It trades at 100x eps with ~7 qtrs of declining income and it’s about to get much worse. $tsla

Big volume hitting the tape. Someone knows or has something on $TSLA.

@MLDataTorturer @StonkKing4 Forget the survey of 1M $tsla s, this simp says his two have been fine.

@StonkKing4 I have 2 teslas since 2019. No brake jobs, no oil changes, no fuel charges, NO out-of-warranty repairs - total number of repairs for 2 cars: 2 in 6 years. There is no comparison. I have no idea how Consumer Reports reaches these conclusions.

$TSLA ranks DEAD LAST (#26) for long-term car reliability 🤡 🤡 Consumer Reports ranks 26 car brands based on reliability of their 5- to 10-year-old models 🤡 based on problems reported by CR members on currently owned 5-10 yr old vehicles 🤡 Lexus and Toyota top list

@Billbrowder Thanks for your work. Pls push the Allies to speed and increase missile production. Ukraine may need to disable 10-15 Russian crude tankers per month to keep Ural crude in the low $40s.

At the Ukraine breakfast in Davos, Belgian PM is trying to explain why he blocked the confiscation of frozen Russian assets. He claims the EU doing so is an “act of war”. It’s nonsense. I think he’s been personally threatened.

@TeslaTruckClub Congrats on moving away from Elon.

I have no clue what happens to articles on here once you downgrade to a free account so figured I should post this before that happens.

@MarkGaleotti 2/n in 12 months Ukraine will have enough missiles to end the war

In Moscow's Shadows 231: Real Guarantees for Ukraine It's easy to snipe at unrealistic pledges of troops and 'Art. 50-like' guarantees. Here I stick my neck out and outline a suite of meaningful security guarantees that won't/shouldn' torpedo peace buzzsprout.com/1026985/episod…