Peaky Props

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Peaky Props

Peaky Props

@PeakyProps

Helping You Make Money Betting On Sports 💰 | NBA - WNBA - NFL - MLB | Tracked Here: https://t.co/Z6p0KiAAaW 📊

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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Peaky's Recap 02/28: 3-0📈 🧹🧹🧹 💰$30 to Someone who Likes or Comments!❤ ✅- Jeremiah Fears o7.5 RA (10+) +.83u ✅- Brandon Ingram o3.5 Assists (5) +.87u ✅- Brandin Podziemski o10.5 RA (13) +.91u Daily P&L: +2.61 Units📈 What a nice way to end the month. Podz is officially off the naughty list for that garbage time stat padding🔥
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Peaky Props@PeakyProps

Peaky's Picks 02/28🥃 $30 to Someone who ❤ if we go 3-0! - Jeremiah Fears o7.5 RA (-120 SCORE) - Brandon Ingram o3.5 Assists (-115 FD) - Brandin Podziemski o10.5 RA (-110 MGM)

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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Don’t have my head wrapped around the math completely but basically just way of measuring how much CLV you got and how much return should’ve been expected from it over the long haul I think. For example today I should’ve made 22.5 ROI on Randle based on my -119 bet on DK and the closing line of 24.5 on FD. Instead I have -100% ROI on that one bet. Would just be interested to see if over the course of the season if the CLV I think I’ve been getting actually should be amounting to more or less than I’ve profited this season.
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Peaky's Recap 03/28: 1-2📉 ✅ - Tre Jones o19.5 PA (25) +.85u ❌ - LaMelo Ball o4.5 Rebounds (3) -1u ❌ - Julius Randle o21.5 Points (11) -1u Daily P&L: -1.15 Units📉 Don't think I've had an NBA season where the CLV I got meant nothing at all. Randle closes at 24.5 and shoots 2/13 tons of open looks from deep. Ball had 2 rebounds stat corrected in the 1st and grabs none in the 4th...
Peaky Props@PeakyProps

Peaky's Picks 03/28🥃 $30 to Someone who ❤ if we go 3-0! - LaMelo Ball o4.5 Rebounds - Julius Randle o21.5 Points - Tre Jones o19.5 PA

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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
@ActuaryDataPick Seen a capper on here reference his xROI. Think I may start tracking mine but then again it may just piss me off more 😂
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ActuaryDataPicks
ActuaryDataPicks@ActuaryDataPick·
Agreed, CLV has genuinely meant nothing this season. I’ve been tracking the ROI on overnight plays vs game day plays and my ROI is higher in game day picks despite getting consistent CLV on overnight plays. It just doesn’t make sense and it’s been a full season now so I can’t say “it’s a small sample size it’ll turn in the long run”
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Peaky's Picks 03/28🥃 $30 to Someone who ❤ if we go 3-0! - LaMelo Ball o4.5 Rebounds - Julius Randle o21.5 Points - Tre Jones o19.5 PA
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
He Will Dominate Tonight😈 Tre Jones o19.5 PA (-118 FD | 1 Unit) ❤ Like if you want another Play! - B2B is a slight concern, but this is just a very good spot for Jones overall. Been great recently — going over this line in 10 of his last 15 and 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 22 PAs per game. - Matchup against the Grizzlies, who are pretty bad defensively — 27th in DEF RTG over the last 15 games and allowing the 2nd most points at the rim, where Jones scores almost 60% of his points. - Also like adding assists here. Although he ended on just 22 Points + Assists last time these teams played with only 5 assists, he did have a very healthy 14 potentials. - Both teams love to get up and down the floor — massive 245.5 total, so the books are predicting a lot of scoring in this one.
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
King Julius👑 Julius Randle o21.5 Points (-119 DK | 1 Unit) ❤ Like if you want another Play! - Not the best matchup on paper tonight, but think the volume will still be there. Took 27 FGA last time out and McDaniels being out opens up further usage. - Without Ant, McDaniels, and Dosunmu he averages 32.9 points per 36 minutes — equating to 22.8 per 25 and 27.4 per 30. - Although Detroit are a tough matchup for inside scorers, we could be looking at basically their second unit tonight with Duren, Harris, Thompson, and Robinson all questionable. - And if they do play, Detroit still allow the most free throws in the NBA — which is how Randle scores the majority of his points either way.
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Board Man Gets Paid🤑 LaMelo Ball o4.5 Rebounds (-125 FD | 1 Unit) ❤ Like if you want another Play! - Like backing LaMelo on the boards tonight. Diabate will have his hands full with Embiid, which should create some space for Ball to crash the glass. - Rolling with Ball over some of the others mainly due to Charlotte's tendency to hide him on defense. Miller will likely get Maxey and Bridges gets PG, which usually leaves Ball on the corner guy. - Over this line in 7 of his last 10 games with 23+ minutes played, averaging 8.6 chances — a tad low for a 4.5 line, but he usually converts at a high rate. - In games where he's had just 7-9 rebound chances he's over in 16/24 this year. Had 10 on 13 chances against Philly in their first meeting. - The Sixers give up a ton of rebounds to opposing guards: Giddey (9), SGA (5), Mbeng (6), Chandler (5), Hayes (5), Murray (6)...
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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Peaky's Recap 03/27: 2-2📉 ✅ - Kyle Filipowski o2.5 Assists/ HOU ML (5)+.79u ✅ - Scottie Barnes o5.5 Assists/ HOU ML (12) +.85u ❌ - Cooper Flagg o28.5 PA (26) -1u ❌ - Jared McCain o8.5 Points (0) -1u Daily P&L: -0.36 Units📉 I went to bed at HT when Flagg had 21 PA. I woke up to see he only managed 5 PA in the 2nd half. Type of loss that makes you ill...
Peaky Props@PeakyProps

Peaky's Picks 03/27🥃 $50 to Someone who ❤ if we go 5-0! - Jared McCain o8.5 Points - Cooper Flagg o28.5 PA - De'Anthony Melton o6.5 RA - Kyle Filipowski o2.5 Assists/ HOU ML - Scottie Barnes o5.5 Assists/ HOU ML

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Peaky Props
Peaky Props@PeakyProps·
Both assist props hit in the 1st half/quarter. I stg if Houston can’t beat this Memphis team…
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Underdog NBA
Underdog NBA@UnderdogNBA·
De'Anthony Melton (injury management) downgraded to questionable Friday.
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Austin
Austin@austinsprops·
Josh Giddey Day💨 Josh Giddey 16.5 RA “O” (-135)FD #2🏀#SeeRed Vs #ThunderUp  125❤️‍🔥FOR MY POD NEXT!? 📲@ThePropAnt Just played 33 minutes in a game that was over going into the 4th quarter, feel confident in a 30 minute floor and looking at games without Coby White with 30+ minutes, excluding games vs Orlando (#1 C&S defense), Giddey averages 21.7 RA, covering in 20 out of 21 games. Facing OKC who are a C&S/spotup funnel, great for Giddey assists on drive and kicks, just had 18 potentials against them earlier this month, on top of 15 rebound chances with OKC allowing the 8th most rebounds to opposing teams on the season. I’ll trust Giddey to stuff the stat sheet against his old squad that he’s continued to wake up for and come out motivated against.
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Franny
Franny@FrannysPlays·
BACK THE SAND MAN ⏳ Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Hits Allowed #FightinFish vs #Rockies This line feels high for Opening Day, especially against one of the weakest road offenses in baseball Sandy’s 2025 numbers were skewed from the TJ return, but he closed the year strong. Over his final 8 starts he posted a 2.68 ERA and 0.86 WHIP, which projects to around 4–5 hits over 6 innings Rockies away from Coors are a completely different team. Easily one of the worst road offenses and this is about as soft of a matchup as it gets to start the year He’s also added a sweeper to the arsenal, now working with 6 pitches. That’s a tough look for a lineup that already struggles to make consistent contact Threw 86 pitches in his last spring outing and stayed under this line. If he starts giving up hits early, there’s a good chance they manage his workload and pull him before things get out of hand Everything lines up for him to stay under here Best Line: -113 DraftKings ❤️ if you’re tailing! @PropsEdge Code “FRANNY” will get you 20% off!
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Franny@FrannysPlays

FRIDAY MLB PLAY OF THE DAY 4-0 on Player Props To Start 2026🔥 (1.25u)Chris Sale Over 17.5 Pitching Outs #BravesCountry vs #Fountainsup TT Collab w/ @ChronicBets & @coleyscashes 📲 Sale is READY to start this 2026 season off. He’s already cleared this line TWICE in spring training…. Yes twice already with 75 & 86 Pitches. He can definitely find himself in the 90 range for this matchup vs the Royals. He averaged 19.7 outs per game in his healthy final 16 outings of 2025… His Slurve and Slider are still NASTY for his age… I look for him to show something to prove in the first game of the season at home. This Royals lineup struggled heavily last season vs LHP. I get it, some different components of the roster but they also haven’t been hitting well the last bit of spring training with 3 or fewer runs in 6/L8 games. With the perfect weather, home opener energy , and full rest he’s going to clear 6+ innings tonight. Best Line: -125 Novig ❤️ if you’re tailing! @PropsEdge Code “FRANNY” will get you 20% off!

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