Chris 🥚

@brian_stephens_ @restivo @OddsJam I'm getting a lot of positive middle volume between Poly/Kalshi on the Pikachu auction but is there enough sports arbitrage volume available daily through Poly/Kalshi to replace all the volume I lost from having my entire family's accounts limited across nearly every sportsbook?

You don't need to study thousands of Prediction Market traders to be profitable on sites like Kalshi/Polymarket All you need to do is use tools like the @OddsJam arbitrage and +EV tool and take advantage of these inefficient markets 💰 I made $1,064 yesterday placing 28 bets in total with a 25% ROI. The stock market yields you 7% a year.... these new strategies could yield you 25% today! Arbitrage betting is the process of placing bets on all possible outcomes to secure a risk-free profit (betting on the over AND the under across two different platforms offering very different odds) +EV betting is the process of betting on a side of the market that is completely out of sync from the rest (the Knicks -200 on Kalshi when the market thinks it should be priced at -450) I'm working through DM's (there were several hundred) and helping as many people I can with the new Prediction Market strategy! Send me a message if you need help getting set up and how to get started!

@NateSilver538 Come on Nate, I get Harris and a lot of the left deserve criticism. I wish Andrew Yang and Dean Phillips could get more traction. But the disparity between Harris/ dems and the deranged lunatic in the White House is absurd. Yet your account nearly only calls out the left.

Everything about the Harris memoir is so weird. Just such random over/underspecificity. Like, why all this backstory about exactly what her husband was doing when Biden dropped out? I guess it reads as too lib and/or gay if he'd decided to go to a SoulCycle in WeHo on his own?

@draftcheat Think they just need more Bible study! ...Glenn was always going to be an obvious disaster

Jets making the Cowboys defense look like the Steel Curtain. Fun times.

@BIGZADDYY420 @awsomemario16 @StoPicks_ @BovadaOfficial I won't be surprised of it takes weeks or months. Something is up with how this many people all got their accounts disabled the same day and nobody will say why. I wonder if they are even making calls or if it's just a stall tactic.

@Piston2x @awsomemario16 @StoPicks_ @BovadaOfficial its been almost 48 hours and still have not been contacted. reached back out to the chat and they told me nothing can be done and to keep waiting and refused to give a timeframe..fucking ridiculous

Juan Cranford leading all scorers with 13 at the half, St. Francis lead by 5 looking to punch their ticket 👀 #MarchMadness

@MacNCheeasy The same thing be said about alcohol, fast food, etc. Not sure what the solution is. -Make it all less accessible but still legal -Medical advancements to fix the mental issues that cause the lack of self control -Wait for AI/tech to fix all human problems, idk

I genuinely think gambling should not be legal or as easily accessible today. If you think of the United States as a startup - you don’t want people degenerated gambling when they will lose money. And as someone who got kicked off of almost every online sports book because I was actually making money off them -they quite literally won’t let you make money. This is very different than gambling on crypto. You can win on meme coins. If you have an edge, you can profit. If you find an edge in sports gambling (which is hard) your account gets limited and banned.

@ChessLiam Was so obvious if you know even the slightest bit about how negotiations work. 23% exposure, 2nd highest WR for me!

Suck it nerds! Don’t take advice from dog picture made up accounts

@JNucci23 1) I like the logo. The silhouette I think is overdone 2) Agree, don't care about the meaning, the space annoys me. 3) I think premium works for the brand. Don't know if the price point is maximizing profit and brand perception long term though

A Tiger Woods’ clothing brand was the easiest task of all time that couldn’t have been rolled out in a worse fashion. 1) Design a sleek logo using any one of Tiger’s famous silhouettes (see: Jordan’s jumpman logo). 2) Call it Sunday Red. 3) Price it in line with other golf brands. Instead…. 1) They went with a weird, skeletal-looking logo that appeals to almost no one. 2) They botched the name with “Sun Day Red” 3) Polos are priced at $150. Sweaters at $200. Pants $165. Ball markers $50. Just a massive swing and miss on something that should’ve been so simple.

@strassa2 The Tesla cult is truly insane. The tech / infrastructure still won't even be advanced enough by 2030 for a scaled robotaxi service.

0.1x 2030 robotaxi revenue is a steal!

@VisionaryReaper Love the thread! Now do one on the inevitable collapse of the cult of $TSLA stock that's playing out! 😈

The Fed is edging markets so hard rn They have no reason to cut rates, and will possibly wait for something to break before doing so. Data isn’t pointing towards the arbitrary 2% inflation, and the labor market is still strong. Fed job = balancing employment & inflation 1/4

I might have the best Goon in the collection.

@dcpetterson Also reminds of imperial Japan's ultranationalism in the 1930s until their surrender to the US

We've seen this story play out countless times in the history of totalitarianism. If Democrats keep allowing ourselves to be divided, we'll be unable to stop it peacefully from within our existing democratic structures. 12/14

The bully-arm of this cult--elected Republicans--can't let themselves back away now. They've gone too far in allowing, encouraging, defending and enabling the inhuman cruelty. To stop now is to admit to having been a part of the depravity. 8/14

@draftcheat Recently listened to the Sam Harris episodes with Deutsch. They have differing views on free will that's intriguing to listen to both sides of. Have this book on my list!

Nobody cares about books or science, I get it. But I’m so moved by this book in a hugely positive way that I feel compelled to share here, knowing that maybe one of you will give it a try. The Beginning of Infinity by David Deutsch (more or less the most accomplished modern scientist) recommended by maybe the best Twitter account on here, @naval, as the most important book on the planet, is absolutely mind blowing. I’m on one of my best runs DFS/Sportsbetting wise and while this book couldn’t be further from that type of content, it’s had a profound positive effect on my overall thinking about such things. Just had to share.

@bykevinclark This is probably what Cowboys staff and players say about McCarthy! /s

Ben Johnson that week told me something about Dan Campbell’s leadership style that I’ll never forget.

This sums up the perfect leader, especially for our generation. Out of 12 managers I've had in my career, I've only had 1 that I would describe exactly like this. They are few and far between.

Easily, the most underrated part of the entire U.S.

@VisionaryReaper @shleprock_ @hodler_360 This is common knowledge!

@shleprock_ @hodler_360 @Piston2x how am I just learning your goon is Sean’s 2nd favorite in the entire collection (idt he’s seen my glizzy goon yet)

Wow.. it was always BCE 🥕 @hodler_360 👀👺

@MacNCheeasy Loved the post, keep em up! Many similarities / thoughts in this post going on with me.

26.2 miles with David Goggins 2.0, collabing with one of my favorite artists, and uncertainty. a reflection on this past month. --- “This is going to be the hardest thing you’ve ever done”: The power of mental jiu-jitsu. On July 4th, I was running with my buddy Emmet (who’s completed an Iron Man) and he says let’s do the NYC Marathon. So I signed up. Fuck it. I never ran more than 6 miles before but it can't be that hard. Race day is approaching and we have this text conversation: “We go out there and put our life on the line”. Okay let’s do it. Why not try and run at a 7min 50 second pace for 26.2 miles. A pace I never ran more than 2 miles at, seems reasonable. And it wasn’t. BUT I ran with Emmet (An Ironman) and an ex-marine turned firefighter, David Goggins 2.0. Both with extensive endurance experience, and then me, quite literally, wearing a pink hat. I said to myself “This is going to be the hardest thing I have ever done physically. You’re ready.” No headphones for 26.2 miles, you have to be okay with your thoughts. “Mile 5 okay great just follow them. "Mile 13.1 Okay half way done…” Each step along the way, you complete a sprint thats part of the larger race. “Mile 17, okay I only need to run for about an hour, that’s a Sopranos episode. Follow these guys.” “Mile 19, you said it’s going to be the hardest thing you ever done, what did you expect. This is it. This is a feature not a bug” “Mile 22, 30 minutes left, I’ll never forgive myself If I quit. Its not an option” “Mile 24, im bleeding through my shoe, thats fine, takes my mind off the severe dehydration, keep up with them.” “Mile 26.2, collapse”. 3 hours 28 minutes. Each step, a new mental hurdle. Broken up in manageable steps. Life is not a sprint it’s a marathon. Sure. But when running a marathon at a speed thats beyond your perceived capabilities, maybe it’s time to create a series of mental sprints. You’ll be amazed by what you can do. --- “You work with who????: Spoiler alert: work doesn’t have to be boring. Rewind to Jan 30th, while on a call at a co-work in Medellin Colombia, my roommate says: “Wait did you mention Arden Jones? Thats one of my favorite artists.” Me admittedly never actually listening to his music: “Yea we totally do.” Next thing you know, I’m bingeing his music. Fast forward to Spotify Wrapped 2023, Arden releases a “top fan” card to all of his top fans…me being one. Oh and the card is powered by IYK* and I got to help 🙃 🪄 If you position what you're working on (can be a side hustle) in an industry you like, events like this will happen more often than you think. The world is a small place. --- The last couple months, I’ve taken a break from seriously creating content. I spent 3 years posting videos on the daily, but recently, I haven’t hit post. It’s fine, im doing other things. But admittedly, this has given me a sense of uncertainty. Looking around asking “am I doing enough” “why did I stop doing this?”, “whats the reason im not creating?”. And I keep saying the same thing to myself… “It is what it is. Stop pressing and let life come to you.” And today, I felt inspired to write this. If you’re still reading - let me know if you enjoyed this. I plan on doing these more often. Let’s keep building 🥚

@MacNCheeasy Damn. Absolutely insane

Never ran more than 6 miles about 4 months ago. Had no business running a sub 3:30 marathon. Good thing you can’t teach grit 😏

Two years ago, I started @theincubator_ with the goal of helping businesses (and people) grow in web3. One business was @iyk_app. And today, in an effort to focus and build something special, I'm joining full-time as their COO. How'd I get here & what lessons did I learn? A🧵