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PolOps
5.2K posts

PolOps
@PolOps13
Political Operative and Advantage Gambler. #OneAndTheSame
Katılım Haziran 2019
529 Takip Edilen488 Takipçiler
PolOps retweetledi

⬇️ Vote for your DK King of the Dogs ⬇️
I’ll be sure to post the results before the start of the first game.
+EV Ohio@EV_Ohio
Who do you have for DK King of the Dogs? (1/6)
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PolOps retweetledi

🏀$100 MARCH MADNESS GIVEAWAY!
I’m partnering with @PikkitSports to give away $100!!!💰
To enter:
• Like
• Retweet
• Follow @slightlyplusev
Must have a free Pikkit account to enter
Pikkit signup link in the replies. Use code PLUSEV for a signup bonus👇
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PolOps retweetledi

A lifetime ago, in my very first job, I worked as a college admissions dean for my alma mater.
We always held admitted students’ visit weekend in April, and I was blown away to learn that the admission staff could predict the “yield” from that event (the share of visitors who’d enroll) based on the forecast.
☀️ = the class might be over-enrolled
☔️ = we might be going to the wait list
They were never wrong in their weather-based predictions.
I’ve always considered this to be a fascinating indicator about the whole college application endeavor.
NBER@nberpubs
Poor weather when touring a college campus reduces students' likelihood of applying, from Olivia Feldman, Joshua M. Hyman, and @MattMcGann nber.org/papers/w34944
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We also need the total points tiebreaker. Comment below what you think the total points will be and we’ll go with the one that has the most likes.
+EV Ohio@EV_Ohio
The +EV Ohio March Madness Bracket - Final
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🚨 March Madness Bracket Challenge 🚨
Introducing the +EV Ohio March Madness Bracket Challenge. I figured we could make the NCAA Tournament a little more fun this year so I’m putting $100 on the line for whoever finishes in first place.
It’s free to enter using the link below. To be eligible for the prize you must be following and comment below the team you have winning it all. Also make sure your bracket name is your X username so I know who is who.
Most people would require a repost for something like this but I’d rather keep it inside our community. Looking forward to seeing if some of you are as sharp as advertised. Best of luck with your picks and enjoy the tournament!
I normally never do sponsorships but if you have something that fits and want to add to the prize pool then feel free to message me.
🔗 fantasy.espn.com/tc/sharer?chal…
You shouldn’t need it if using the link but the password is Ohio.
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DraftKings - CBB First Four Parlay 30% Boost +865
EV: 16.6%
QK: 0.48u
🔗 quickpick.pikkit.com/betslip/7953ac…

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PolOps retweetledi
PolOps retweetledi

That’s like the fifth time Iran has been defeated this week alone.
Leading Report@LeadingReport
BREAKING: President Trump says the U.S. has defeated Iran.
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DK has a 50% boost on longshot at +1000 or more.
I played the following:
Mobley first basket + Ingram first team basket
Odds were +1487 boosted to +2231.
Small play here for .1 units- trying to channel my inner @LilGilTrill who runs parlays daily on 1st baskets
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PolOps retweetledi

FanDuel - PGA 25% Boost
Maverick McNealy Winner +1200 ➡️ +1500
EV: 50.4%*
QK: 0.84u
🔗 quickpick.pikkit.com/betslip/c5c138…

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PolOps retweetledi

My timeline is full of debates about whether Miami (OH) should get an at-large bid after going 31-1 and losing their first game in the MAC tournament.
I am admittedly not a college hoops expert. I barely even bet college hoops anymore and I don't keep up with it over the year but my educated guess: they’re getting in.
Not because they deserve it analytically, but because the optics of leaving out a 31-1 team would cause absolute chaos with casual fans.
The funny part is when you actually look at the profile, which I just did for the first time today because I couldn't stand seeing this debate anymore... T-Rank has them 87th. KenPom has them 93rd. That’s extremely low for an at-large team. And when you dig into the schedule… it’s pretty rough. Like very rough. Laughable.
Their best win is a 76-73 home game vs Akron. Outside of that, they played multiple overtime games against Ohio, Kent State, Buffalo and UNC Asheville. There’s just not much there. There's legitimately nothing to gauge them on.
This is one of those teams that probably ends up as an 11 or 12 seed, gets matched with a solid 5 or 6 (think Louisville, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, etc.), and likely gets smoked.
And honestly that outcome might actually help the committee in the long run. It gives them precedent the next time a team racks up a gaudy record against a weak schedule.
For the record, I’m not even arguing what the committee *should* do here. Just what I think is overwhelmingly likely to happen. A 31-1 team probably won’t get left out even when the underlying numbers say they probably should.
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DraftKings - CBB Late Parlay 20% Boost +838
EV: 18.2%
QK: 0.54u
🔗 quickpick.pikkit.com/betslip/294cc4…

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PolOps retweetledi

I don't even feel bad for this bettor.
He was willing to donate $100 for a miracle and then got scared in the middle of the game.
If you place a $100 bet on a +32869 longshot parlay, then you were mentally willing to punt $100 when you hit the enter button.
Just let it ride.
br_betting@br_betting
THE MOST SICKENING CASH OUT EVER? 💔 Russ + Giddey triple-double SGP would have won... $32,869. Bettor ends up with a $54 loss. (IG: Diesel.Young1_)
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