Polyfactual

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Polyfactual

Polyfactual

@polyfactual

Deep AI research & API layer for prediction markets. Weekly @Polymarket livestreams on news + ecosystem developments. Building @factsdottrade

Internet Katılım Ekim 2024
1.7K Takip Edilen15.8K Takipçiler
Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
How @robinmarketsxyz raised their first $400K from top crypto VCs. @0xFudrick shares: > What actually works > What doesn't > Valuable takeaways This is gold for prediction market builders and founders.
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Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
Gundlach: "The Fed's next move is more likely to be a hike" "The odds-on bet is that the Fed’s next move will be a hike" He's not hedging. He's saying the next actual move by the Fed is more likely to be higher, not lower. Why he's saying this: >Inflation has already hit 3.8% >DoubleLine's models suggest the next CPI reading could start with 4% >Short-term Treasury yields are trading above the upper bound of the Fed funds rate >and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh is taking over in this environment Polymarket odds: >June: 98% odds of no change >July: 94% odds of no change >September: 81% odds of no change The further out we go, the less confident the market becomes that rates will stay unchanged - and the more it starts pricing in the risk of a hike. The Fed will almost certainly hold rates in both June and July. Now there's little room to ease - and if inflation stays hot, the next real move is more likely to be a hike. The question is no longer when the Fed will cut. It's how quickly they'll be willing to hike.
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Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
1 week into the ACE round: 36 million $POLYFACTS raised from our holders across public and private contributions. > Almost 4% of total supply clawed back > Treasury-owned supply is now approaching 7% For the first time, Polyfacts holders were able to acquire real equity in the company. Having our earliest supporters actually aligned with the project’s growth feels incredible. This is real ICM.
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Polyfactual@polyfactual

x.com/i/article/2054…

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Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
There are no coincidences ... new subdomain > Factscan.polyfactual.com
Polyfactual tweet media
Polyfactual@polyfactual

JUST IN: Today we're launching Factscan🚨 factscan.polyfactual.com Track political scandals in real time: > Corruption heatmaps (by country) > Political finance flows > Court filings, charges, citations > Reddit leaks & rumors > AI-generated profiles of key figures > Linked Polymarket events Just in time for election season. Product is still in early testing phase, but people are welcome to try it. Of course, feedback is welcome. Enjoy!

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Knight
Knight@KnightPredict·
@polyfactual Big W, how much more time is there to join?
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DeKid
DeKid@kidxbt·
Knowledge is Power. Introducing FactScan. Real-time global intelligence at your fingertips. Track global conflicts, political scandals, corruption, elections, court proceedings, crime, civil unrest, and more, as it unfolds. The world changes fast. Stay ahead. Explore Now 👇
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Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
Polymarket figured out something powerful: News + engagement + financial incentives = one of the most addictive information primitives on the internet. Great conversation with the founders of @PolyFundr.
Polyfactual@polyfactual

Most new Polymarket traders lose money before they ever develop a real edge. The founders of @PolyFundr designed their evaluation process to help traders improve, not just rank them. So far, they’ve seen newer traders improve quickly in a rules-based, risk-free environment.

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Alena Chramtsova
Alena Chramtsova@AlenaChramtsova·
@polyfactual A couple of months ago, everyone was arguing about when the Fed would start cutting rates, but today the question sounds different - how quickly the new head, Kevin Warsh, would have to raise them.
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Knight
Knight@KnightPredict·
@polyfactual The deeper we get into autumn, the more traders' confidence wanes
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Polyfactual
Polyfactual@polyfactual·
Most new Polymarket traders lose money before they ever develop a real edge. The founders of @PolyFundr designed their evaluation process to help traders improve, not just rank them. So far, they’ve seen newer traders improve quickly in a rules-based, risk-free environment.
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