Polymarket Wire

FAST MOVE: Who will win: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers? Probability (Detroit Tigers): 48% to 71% (+22 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $521K

FAST MOVE: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Probability (Coco Gauff): 60% to 72% (+12 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $2.3M

FAST MOVE: Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup? Probability: 30% to 8% (-22 pts) over ~30 min

FAST MOVE: Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans Probability (Gujarat Titans): 56% to 44% (-13 pts) over ~30 min

FAST MOVE: Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Putintseva Probability (Yulia Putintseva): 78% to 97% (+19 pts) over ~30 min

MOVE: Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? Probability: 93% to 100% (+7 pts) over ~1h

FAST MOVE: Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Probability (Dayana Yastremska): 92% to 76% (-17 pts) over ~30 min

MOVE: Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? Probability: 31% to 38% (+6 pts) over ~1h

FAST MOVE: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16? Probability: 88% to 78% (-10 pts) over ~30 min

FAST MOVE: Who will win: San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics? Probability (Athletics): 32% to 92% (+60 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $414K

FAST MOVE: Who will win: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers? Probability (Toronto Blue Jays): 68% to 52% (-16 pts) over ~30 min

FAST MOVE: Who will win: Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays? Probability (Tampa Bay Rays): 57% to 88% (+31 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $246K

FAST MOVE: Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026? Probability: 65% to 47% (-18 pts) over ~30 min

MOVE: Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? Probability: 37% to 45% (+8 pts) over ~1h

FAST MOVE: Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Probability: 72% to 86% (+15 pts) over ~30 min

FAST MOVE: Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? Probability: 38% to 58% (+21 pts) over ~30 min 24hr volume: $686K

MOVE: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Probability (Jannik Sinner): 98% to 86% (-12 pts) over ~1h 24hr volume: $1.5M

FAST MOVE: Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Probability: 6% to 24% (+18 pts) over ~30 min

MOVE: Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? Probability: 18% to 10% (-8 pts) over ~1h

FAST MOVE: Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli Probability (Franco Roncadelli): 81% to 91% (+10 pts) over ~30 min