ProMarket

The biggest bottleneck for the future economy may not be how smart the technology gets, but our own capacity to adapt to it. promarket.org/2026/07/15/wha…

Why Economists Can’t Seem To Get AI Right

Ask three economists how AI will impact the economy, and you’ll get three different answers. One estimates a 1% productivity bump over a decade, while another predicts a $7 trillion global boom. Why the extreme disconnect? In a new ProMarket article, economists Benjamin Verschuere and Angus Cameron argue that our current forecasting frameworks are fundamentally broken. Here is why the usual predictions miss the mark: promarket.org/2026/07/15/wha…

The authors argue the findings suggest a blind spot in antitrust policy: evaluating the labor market impacts of a merger solely through the lens of wages misses the non-monetary losses workers suffer. promarket.org/2026/06/23/whe…

When Mergers Break the Workplace

Your company gets acquired, but your pay holds steady. So why does the job feel worse a few months later? New research in ProMarket finds that mergers erode the parts of a job no contract can capture: culture, management, trust, and the sense that it's still the place you joined. promarket.org/2026/06/23/whe…

Antitrust was built to police mergers and explicit tying. Can it catch harm that arrives instead through minority stakes and supply contracts? Full article here 👇 promarket.org/2026/06/22/ais…

Do AI’s Tying Arrangements Jeopardize the Market?

To reach what insiders can't see, the authors point to two fixes: stronger incentives for outside analysts, and sustained investment in the SEC's own cross-market surveillance. Read the full article here 👇 promarket.org/2026/05/29/is-…

Three findings worth sitting with: - 60% in sanctions tied to recordkeeping; insider trading, the genre's most famous crime, just 1.2%. - Individual executives are the most-charged defendants yet draw the lowest average penalty while the big dollars land on institutions. - "Off-channel" texting cases went from nonexistent before 2022 to 84 enforcement actions. And, because they're typically not tip-driven, they flood the whistleblower office with ineligible claims that slow legitimate awards.

Does the SEC Only Catch Easy Crimes?

Competition in the AI market is supposed to be cutthroat. So why do the rivals keep bankrolling, supplying, and renting resources to one another? Writing in ProMarket, Shishene Jing argues these deals reveal how the "fiercely competitive" AI market may be undermining its own competition. promarket.org/2026/06/22/ais…

Is AI taking jobs, or reducing who gets hired? A new working paper from Sweden finds that AI hasn't cut the overall number of jobs, but it has frozen the youngest workers out of roles. The authors find that by the first half of 2025, junior employment in exposed jobs fell 5.5% while over-30 colleagues held steady with the adjustment running through hiring, not firing. promarket.org/2026/06/17/ai-…

The finding cuts at a core antitrust assumption: that a divestiture reliably offsets a merger's competitive risk. If success hinges on which stores are sold and who buys them, the authors ask whether regulators can count on the remedy at all, in groceries or any other industry. Full article here: promarket.org/2026/06/18/how…

How Well Do Divestiture Remedies Work for Supermarket Mergers?