Pulkit Rastogi

@Nick_khandelwal i think by june end or july we would see sub 10-11 levels again.

Holy fuck Next month June nifty now trading at 14.3 IV at Atms. Faat rahi hai.

@YuvrajShah02 Insane short covering 🫠 took all short gains back 💥

Insane sell off in crude right now. Worth checking out. Keep up with the news!

@kirubaakaran Buying insurance for all your sold insurances can save you big time.

Selling volatility is the most profitable trade in markets until it is the most expensive. Think of the stock market like a giant insurance market. When traders get nervous, they buy options the way homeowners buy fire insurance, they want a payout if something bad happens. The "price" of that insurance is called implied volatility, the famous VIX. Three professors: Bollerslev, Tauchen, and Zhou studied 15 years of S&P 500 data and found something strange. The insurance was almost always overpriced. Implied volatility beat realized volatility 85% of the time. The gap, which they named the Variance Risk Premium, predicts more than 15% of where the market goes the next quarter. Sell the fear, pocket the difference, repeat. 2017 was the year selling fear felt like free money. The VIX in November, the lowest reading in its history. The S&P 500 closed green every single month, the first time that had ever happened in a calendar year. The XIV note, a Credit Suisse product designed to pay you every time fear went down, had returned 1,211% in eight years. LJM fund, run by Anthony Caine out of Chicago since 1998, sold naked puts on S&P futures with leverage made millions. By late January 2018, $805 million sat in the fund. Then February 5, 2018. The VIX opened at 17.31 normal. By the close it had hit 37.32. That is a 115.6% jump in a single day, the largest in the index's history. Fear didn't just return, it arrived in a stampede. XIV was built to do the opposite of the VIX. When fear doubled, XIV collapsed. The note went from $144 to $7. The prospectus had a clause that let Credit Suisse shut the product down if it lost more than 80% in a day. They pulled the plug the next morning. Eight years of compounding, gone. LJM was running the same trade with borrowed money. The fund's per-share price collapsed from $9.67 to $1.94 an 80% loss in 48 hours. By March its AUM had fallen from $805 million to $9.8 million. The math behind the trade is real. Bollerslev was not wrong. But the premium is not free money it is rent paid by a tenant who, one day, is going to burn the building down. Eleven months out of twelve, the rent arrives on time and you feel rich. The twelfth month, the fire starts, every payment you ever collected gets handed back in a single claim, and if you bought the building with borrowed money, you lose the building too. This is why selling volatility looks like genius for years and then ends a career in one day. The market remembers every easy month it gave you. One day, without warning, it sends the bill for all of them at once. The traders who survive decades selling fear share one habit; they treat risk management as the product and returns as a side effect. They never sell so much insurance that a single fire can end them.

@YuvrajShah02 Sir , I have question how does one times entry ? It's like even if I get the trend right generally prices whipsaws me before going into right direction any nuggets on this please ?

Booked both my Silver swing trades right now. Had posted about it yesterday. I hope that you guys were also able to take this trade! I continue to hold both Gold and Silver in my US portfolio.

@crosshair_io Bhai leverage ke who you are using ? Is it jainam ?

Month at -3.5 % on my capital of 50 L after prop lev + fixed charges . so base pe almost down 17.5% . -85k on kotak neo . zerodha acc down -5% for the month . dd at 8% on zerodha acc US market down 10 % for may. Lets see where we end the month !

@YuvrajShah02 Holding here , 10800/750 possible support!

@AshishGupta325 @MCXIndialtd No words just this . 🤣

For the second time in the day, MCX exchange has gone down and trading is halted. On a day when crude is making outlier moves, how are traders supposed to manage their positions? Is there any regard at all for market participants, @MCXIndialtd ?

Bahut inefficient hai bhai yaha par sab system kabhi broker kabhi exchange kabhi sarkar sab milkar trader ke l laga re !

Yeh sab choro yeh mcx exchnage kitna bekaar hai , orders not going through amid this volatality ! #crude #mcx #useless #finance

Monthly performance update (April) - Net profit/loss (FNO) - 1.9 Lac Net profit/loss (COMMODITY) - (-9.83k) Net - 1.8Lac , Capital used - 1Cr. Roi - 1.8% Next month cap is raised to 1.75cr Lets see whats in store ahead , lets grow together . #trading #finance #optionselling

@YuvrajShah02 Wonderful performance man , wish to be have results like this ... Wish you all the luck 🤞 keep guiding and motivating ❤️

100% transparency, as always. Here’s my trailing 12-month performance. I’ve intentionally chosen this date because it captures the tax-loss harvesting I booked at the end of March, as well as my performance through the US-Iran war-driven market correction. This will give you guys a fair and accurate view of the numbers. Verified PnL link: console.zerodha.com/verified/226bc…

Let's break down trend - weekly chart doesn't looks good we gave up almost 50% of last week's green candle if we don't find a support in the charts or in the geopolitical situation expect markets to slide further . #nifty #trading #trend #finance

Well , yesterday's loss is covered for now , was short from yesterday didn't traded much intra-day wise ... Carrying a small short iron condor over the weekend expecting gaps but not that but not that big . #trade #trading #nifty #sensex #finance

Volatile day stops were hit both side initially the mtm went to green but by the 1.30 up move major damage was done , then 77600 sl hit twice even though it went to 0 . Loss - .5%

@Deepak07_Trader Yes , multiple explosions both side !

Wasn’t easy today , was it ? Though looks calm

Markets are relatively quiet today , premiums are melting easily now is time to de-risk on your sold options . #sensex #trading #finance #optionselling

@CommerceGuruu Hahaha

Just got a call from an “Option Trading Expert” offering free tips Me: Didi, CE aur PE ka full form kya hota hai? Her: Call Enterprise… Put Enterprise Bhai inhone ENTERPRISE dhoond liya options mein 💀 Ye log aapke account mein sirf ek cheez daaalte hain LOSS ENTERPRISE 😭

@SarangSood "Confidence in trading isn't the belief that you’ll be right on every single trade; it’s the unwavering certainty that you can handle the market being wrong without losing your edge or your mind."

People ignore real opportunities but trust their fears with full confidence.

@tanveersingh643 @AlgoTest_in Same here , very disappointed gave money both side multiple times gave away .25 % gains at the end

Second A/C Update: Cap: 75L ROI: 20K Disappointment at the End. @AlgoTest_in algotest.in/share/mtm-grap…

Not at all happy , gave away 5-6 sls at the end in revenge trading at one point was up 75k. I had an idea that after 2 there will be lot of whipsaws still kept myself fighting till the end. Lesson - Sometimes it's worth getting out of the game before close #nifty #expiry