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New PunkPredictor model: the odds a Punk owner accepts your bid, at every offer.
We already show the chance a listed Punk sells at each ask (now on unlisted Punks too). This is the other side, on the same chart.
Punk 7383, listed 39.95Ξ. Fair value ~38.9Ξ (range ~36.7–39.5Ξ):
• Fair value bid → ~58% taken
• Near full ask (39.80Ξ) → ~66%
• 37.8Ξ → ~21%
• Below 37Ξ → under 10%
And it's not just your bid vs fair value. The model reads the seller: how many Punks they're dumping, how often they relist, whether they keep cutting price, whether your offer still leaves them in profit, and how much other bid interest the Punk is pulling.
Normally, you'd only catch a seller who wants out by being glued to the market all day. This finds them for you. 👇
PunkPredictor@PunkPredictor
New PunkPredictor model: liquidity curves for listed Punks. Instead of only estimating fair value, it now estimates the chance a listed Punk sells at each ETH price. Example: Punk 8863 is listed at 35.90Ξ. At the current ask, the model estimates a ~39% chance of sale in 24h. If the seller wanted faster liquidity, lowering the ask to 34.6Ξ raises the estimated 24h sale chance to ~91%. Useful if you want to: - sell faster - avoid underpricing too much - negotiate with a buyer - understand where liquidity actually starts Live for listed Punks on PunkPredictor.
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