quantman74.eth
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quantman74.eth
@Quantman74
Humble knowledge explorer ;-)
Katılım Mart 2010
1.5K Takip Edilen305 Takipçiler
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#Israel "Si vous me dites que c'est très bien d'avoir tué l'ayatollah Khamenei, chef d'Etat de l'#Iran, parce qu'il a fait des milliers de morts, dans ce cas-là vous êtes en train de m'expliquer qu'on peut légitimement tuer #Netanyahu, parce qu'il a fait des milliers de morts à Gaza ?"
@sashaelbaz @ftapiro
Français

Toi t’as bien pris du crack, t’es pas l’economiste de l’annee non plus. Lis le fameux livre de Trump et tu vera qu’il a le sens tactique d’une mouette (desole d’offenser la mouette). Trump ne fonctionne que dans le chaos, et les effets se feront sentir dans le monde entier (US inclus) de la meme maniere que le battement d'ailes d'un papillon en Iran peut provoquer une tornade au Texas. Guaranti sur facture.
Français

Ta Gueule Leaument , ton maître Mollachon, a prétendu que le massacre de Toulouse était une combine électorale. Fais- toi encore plus petit que tu n’es . Vous ne méritez aucun respect.
Antoine Léaument 🇫🇷@ALeaument
Ce tweet est immonde et abaisse celle qui le fait, non celui qui rend hommage à ces enfants.
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@PeterWallaceAU @freedom4iran_au What prevents you to join the fight there?
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@freedom4iran_au I’d join the fight to end these scumbags, if I could.
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@DQGreenwood @shanaka86 You are of your mind mate, Chinais winning becuase they planned it long time ago and are flawlessly executing their strategy, specifically when they reclaim Taiwan, which is coming soon, then they on their hand on TMSC and more. Beginning of the end.
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@shanaka86 China imports virtually all of its food. This is clearly an act of desperation. As the U.S. & the world wake up and decouple from China’s supply chain stranglehold; their military technology proves worthless; China purges its military leaders and scientists; Xi is desperate.
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JUST IN: The Strait of Hormuz blocks the fertiliser from shipping. China just blocked it from being replaced.
Beijing has instructed exporters to suspend overseas shipments of nitrogen and potassium fertiliser blends. Urea. NPK mixes. The molecules that American, Indian, Bangladeshi, and African farmers need to plant are now gated at two chokepoints simultaneously: a 21-mile waterway controlled by provincial commanders with sealed radio orders, and a government directive issued from Zhongnanhai that requires no radio at all.
One third of global seaborne fertiliser trade transits Hormuz. China is the world’s largest fertiliser producer. When the strait closed and China suspended exports in the same month, the global food system lost its primary supply route and its primary alternative supplier at the same time. There is no third source at this scale. There is no backup to the backup.
Urea has surged roughly 40 percent since the war began. CBOT March futures settled at 610.50. The peak at New Orleans touched $683. Those prices were set by the Hormuz blockade alone. China’s ban adds a second floor underneath them. Even if the strait reopened tomorrow, Chinese urea would not flow until Beijing lifts the directive. Even if Beijing lifted the directive, the strait would still need to reopen, insurance to normalise, and vessels to be available. The two gates operate independently. Both must open for the molecule to move.
China’s logic is transparent. Hormuz disrupted global supply. Prices surged. Chinese domestic farmers face the same planting windows as everyone else. Beijing chose to protect its own agriculture by hoarding the molecule the rest of the world needs. This is the same country that is simultaneously drawing commercial crude reserves at a million barrels per day, running military exercises near Taiwan, receiving discounted Iranian oil through the permissioned strait, and restricting the phosphate exports it suspended months ago. Every decision serves one objective: China first. The rest of the world absorbs the shortage.
The American farmer is now squeezed from two directions. The Gulf urea he used to buy cannot transit the strait. The Chinese urea that could have replaced it is embargoed by Beijing. Domestic US production covers roughly 75 percent of normal needs, but normal needs assumed Gulf and Chinese imports filling the gap. The gap is now unfillable on any timeline that matters for spring planting.
USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres. Soybeans rising to 85 million. The RFS mandate consumes 43 percent of a shrinking corn crop. The cattle herd sits at 86.2 million, a 75-year low. The protein cascade runs from corn to feed to meat to eggs to dairy to the grocery shelf. China’s ban did not create that cascade. The Hormuz blockade created it. China’s ban removed the last exit ramp.
Oman crude at $154. Brent at $102. WTI at $93. Gold at $5,000. The Fed holding at 3.50 to 3.75 with PCE revised to 2.7. Trump telling Israel to stop hitting gas fields. Iran threatening to burn the Gulf to ashes. Four countries’ energy infrastructure offline. And now the world’s largest fertiliser producer has locked its warehouse and told every farmer on Earth that the key is in Beijing, not for sale, and not available until further notice.
Two gates. One molecule. No alternative. The calendar closes in four weeks.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Already wrote that one. Here it is:
The five-second epistemology of the counterattack.
Any Gulf state that assists in a direct attack on Iran will have missiles sent to its palaces. Not its infrastructure. Its palaces. The buildings where the kings sleep. The throne itself. Iran said this on day one. The missile hits the palace. The monarchy is over.
And somebody forgot the most basic difference between the Sunnis and the Shia. The one that matters to this war more than any theological dispute. The Gulf is ruled by monarchies. Hereditary kingdoms. Kings and emirs and crown princes who rule because their fathers ruled. Iran is a republic. Elections. Parliament. Supreme leaders chosen by an assembly. Kill a king and the kingdom ends. Kill a supreme leader and the republic convenes and selects the next one and the next one says not the right time for peace.
That’s why nineteen days in, not one Gulf airforce has fired back. Bahrain has intercepted 125 missiles and 203 drones and returned zero. Saudi Arabia intercepts over the Eastern Province and doesn’t retaliate. The UAE absorbs strikes on Fujairah, Shah, Dubai International, Sheikh Zayed Road, and doesn’t scramble a single jet. Qatar takes four ballistic missiles and issues evacuation orders in Doha and doesn’t fire back. Every monarchy making the same calculation every day — absorb the damage, don’t cross the line. The monarchies live there. They understand this. The people tweeting about Gulf airforces counterattacking do not.
Iran has all the leverage and knows exactly how to use it. A country that read Sun Tzu better than the Chinese and Clausewitz better than the Germans and the Quran better than the Arabs the empire is hiding behind. Iran has been under sanctions for forty-five years. Fought an eight-year war while the world armed Saddam with chemical weapons. Built the IRGC during deprivation. Built its missile program under sanctions. Built its drone fleet under maximum pressure. Every program the empire is trying to destroy was built during the deprivation the empire now threatens as consequence. The threat is the environment Iran already operates in. The threat is Tuesday. Even Dalio figured it out. The ability to withstand pain is more important than the ability to inflict pain. The kitchen said it first. Karbala is the pain thesis. Fourteen centuries of not submitting. The empire threatening Iran with the thing Iran has already survived while Iran threatens the Gulf monarchies with the one thing they cannot survive.
The Gulf states recover more easily. The Gulf states whose 95 to 140 jackup rigs are idle. Whose offshore fields are on decline curves. Whose refineries are under evacuation order. Whose force majeures are declared. Whose Strait is closed. Whose LNG terminals are burning. Whose airports are taking drone debris. The recovery hasn’t started because the war hasn’t stopped and the war hasn’t stopped because the dispensationalist Disney World needs the prophecy and the prophecy requires the war.
Day nineteen. The palaces are standing. The thrones are intact. Because Iran said what it would do and every monarchy believed it. The counterattack is a fantasy of someone who doesn’t understand why it hasn’t happened yet. The monarchies are monarchies. The republic is a republic. The Strait is closed.
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@davidiss @haaretzcom Don’t bother, you have no defense here, the clowns running th business under Trump betrayed why US engaged thanks to their total absence of coordination on their communication and their contradictions
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We don’t need neo-Nazis to tell us the war in Iran is immoral and unjustified. We can't let them exploit legit criticism of Israel into antisemitic conspiracies. We can see how the far right is riding Israel’s drift from the mainstream. latest @haaretzcom
haaretz.com/israel-news/ha…
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@ErikaC47 Fake translation just meant to manipulate the truth, he has bever said that in that clip, bunch of bozos 🤡
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“We will not abandon uranium enrichment under ANY circumstances.” -Iran’s FM Abbas Araghchi
“We will supply you with all the nuclear energy you need for your power grids if you stop.” -President Trump.
“Never. We have enough for 11 nukes right now.” -Iran
“They weren’t building nukes.” Joe Kent.
🤡🤡🤡
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@davidgokhshtein @megynkelly Shut the hell man, you’re embarrassing yourself 🤡
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Holy shit is this real?
Eric Spracklen 🇺🇸@EricSpracklen
The Fox News graphic merging the American and Israeli flag is absolutely disgusting to me.
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Warner: You were involved in an FBI operation to seize ballots in Georgia. Where is the authority for you to involve yourself in a domestic law enforcement activity?
Gabbard: I did not participate in a law enforcement activity.
Warner: You were present on the scene.
Gabbard: I was there at the request of the president… I was not aware of what was in the warrant or was not.
Warner: What was the request of the president?
Gabbard: To go and observe
Warner: Do you have the answer why the president was knowing about the affidavit before it was even served?
Gabbard: I'm not aware that the president knew about an affidavit before it was served.
Warner: Then why was he sending you to Fulton county?
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@CordierAlice2 @yzarka @mathildaNemesis Tu lui as proposé les services de ton front pour renforcer le dôme de fer ?
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MASSIVE BOMBSHELL: DAN GOLDMAN UNLEASHES TRUTH!
Congressman Goldman just went live with FBI 302 receipts. Evidence shows Trump unzipped his pants, forced a 13-year-old’s head down, and when she bit his p*nis in self-defense, he punched her and called her a "B."
The FBI interviewed her FOUR times while the case was buried. Pam Bondi lied to Congress, claiming “no evidence” of these crimes while sitting on files describing this exact assault. This is perjury and a cover-up for a predator.
You don’t get to "save the kids" while your AG hides files of a child being beaten for fighting back. History will remember the enablers.
We stand with the children who bit back.
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