Quinn Fogarty

Indianapolis Colts -6.5 (-108) 6.00 units to win 5.62 In week 7, I claimed I knew more about the Colts than everyone else. I then slammed the Colts for 8 units and won without a sweat. And I'm going to do it again for 6 units. There are very few coaches in the NFL that I can say that I trust more than Shane Steichen. The same man that had Jalen Hurts at .435 points per play for the 2022 season and put up 35 on the Chiefs and lost in the Superbowl, is the same exact genius that has Daniel Jones doing it..... at .532 points per play currently. This is no fluke. Even though they are in the AFC South, and because of that as well, this team would have made the playoffs both in 2023 and 2024 if Anthony Richardson could actually read a defense. This is why he moved on. He needed more intelligence from his quarterback and it was not worth to keep trying to teach and coach Richardson when the team he had built was all moving upwards around him. This was the gamble of drafting Richardson in the first place. He is a monster of an athlete, but he's got low brain activity. The Colts are exactly what your eyes see. This team is NOT lucky because of a schedule. If that were true, they wouldn't be blowing these teams out by 3 possessions. They also wouldn't be losing by 7 to the Rams despite having 3 turnovers to 1 and having 2 touchdowns called back. They wouldn't be carving up the Steelers defense like they did in the 1st quarter before a muffed punt started a chain reaction of 6 turnovers to 1 yet only losing by 7 yet again. Their offense has already been tested HARD by the Broncos, Rams, Steelers, Chargers, and now the Falcons are another top 10 team to be added in that list. Except out of all those teams, this Falcons team is TERRIBLY COACHED. This is why that this is 1 of the 3 big bets for me this week. This is a coaching mismatch from hell. There is no way to explain how a team can perform as randomly as the Falcons, except that they are a product of other team's situations. And now that the Colts are coming off 6 turnovers against a Steeler's defense that played it's best football of the season, the Colts will be much more prepared than the Falcons will be coming into this game. Want to know something insane? The Colts averaged .270 points per play last week with 6 turnovers. This is roughly 29th in the league. The Falcons though? .290 on the season. THE COLTS PLAYED LIKE THE 28TH OFFENSE IN THE LEAGUE LAST WEEK, AND THE FALCONS ARE THE 28TH OFFENSE ON THE SEASON. The Falcons have yet to play anyone with the amount of offensive intensity that the Colts will bring tomorrow, this is fact.