Herman Trading

THE FIRST 15 MINUTES OF NEW YORK ARE NOT RANDOM. 🚨 Most traders treat the 9:30–9:45 window like noise on NQ and ES. They watch price move… they react… they guess. I don’t. I recorded a breakdown showing exactly how I use the Intelligent Balance Probability Map [Herman] during the 15-Minute Opening Range on NQ. Same basic ICT concept: → Opening Range → Sweep → iFVG Nothing new. But here’s the difference: I’m not looking for direction. I already have it. → Probabilities define the bias → Statistics frame the context → Price action becomes confirmation That changes everything. The same setup everyone sees… becomes high-conviction when you know the likely side before price moves. No guessing. No chasing. No forcing trades. Just: Wait → Confirm → Execute. That’s what trading with probabilities looks like. Do you trade the Opening Range blindly… or with a statistical edge behind it?

THE FIRST 15 MINUTES OF NEW YORK ARE NOT RANDOM. 🚨 Most traders treat the 9:30–9:45 window like noise on NQ and ES. They watch price move… they react… they guess. I don’t. I recorded a breakdown showing exactly how I use the Intelligent Balance Probability Map [Herman] during the 15-Minute Opening Range on NQ. Same basic ICT concept: → Opening Range → Sweep → iFVG Nothing new. But here’s the difference: I’m not looking for direction. I already have it. → Probabilities define the bias → Statistics frame the context → Price action becomes confirmation That changes everything. The same setup everyone sees… becomes high-conviction when you know the likely side before price moves. No guessing. No chasing. No forcing trades. Just: Wait → Confirm → Execute. That’s what trading with probabilities looks like. Do you trade the Opening Range blindly… or with a statistical edge behind it?

PRICE DIDN’T JUST DROP 300+ POINTS… IT FIRST WENT EXACTLY WHERE THE ORB TOLD IT TO. 9:30–9:45 ORB on $NQ. While most traders were reacting to the open… Intelligent Balance already printed 75%. That wasn’t noise. That was the most probable target. And what did price do? → Traded straight into that level → Completed the objective → Then reversed… and dropped 300+ points Read that again. It didn’t just fall. It respected the probability first. This is the part people miss: They see the big move… but ignore the precision before it. Because without that 75% read: -You’re guessing the direction. -You’re chasing momentum. -You’re late. With it? → You know where price is drawn first → You let it complete the objective → Then you look for execution Same market. Different understanding. ORB is not just the first 15 minutes. It’s the moment the probabilities get revealed. Trade with probabilities. Not predictions. — Are you trading with data… or with hope?