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THE FIRST 15 MINUTES OF NEW YORK ARE NOT RANDOM. 🚨
Most traders treat the 9:30–9:45 window like noise on NQ and ES.
They watch price move…
they react…
they guess.
I don’t.
I recorded a breakdown showing exactly how I use the Intelligent Balance Probability Map [Herman] during the 15-Minute Opening Range on NQ.
Same basic ICT concept:
→ Opening Range
→ Sweep
→ iFVG
Nothing new.
But here’s the difference:
I’m not looking for direction.
I already have it.
→ Probabilities define the bias
→ Statistics frame the context
→ Price action becomes confirmation
That changes everything.
The same setup everyone sees…
becomes high-conviction when you know the likely side before price moves.
No guessing.
No chasing.
No forcing trades.
Just:
Wait → Confirm → Execute.
That’s what trading with probabilities looks like.
Do you trade the Opening Range blindly… or with a statistical edge behind it?

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