๐๐ธ๐ท๐ฐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ ๐๐ช๐ถ๐ซ๐ช ๐๐
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๐๐ธ๐ท๐ฐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ ๐๐ช๐ถ๐ซ๐ช ๐๐
@RIP24KOBE
๐๐ช๐ด๐ฎ๐ป๐ผ โข ๐๐ธ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป๐ผ โข ๐๐ธ๐๐ซ๐ธ๐๐ผ โข ๐๐ธ๐ซ๐ฎ = ๐ โข@theantedwards_ โข @wemby โข @luka7doncicโข
United States Katฤฑlฤฑm Aฤustos 2017
437 Takip Edilen190 Takipรงiler

@streiffredstate @Liz_Wheeler You still have time to convert to real Christianity. Use that time wisely.
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When the Pope makes questionable comments, it makes me GRATEFUL to be Catholic.
Because the Pope has no authority to unilaterally change Catholic dogma with his pastoral comments.
The Pope speaks in two ways, pastorally and rarely, infallibly (called ex Cathedra, which requires a certain set of specific circumstances as the Pope acknowledges, not invents, a doctrinal interpretation). The latter almost never happens.
Thatโs importantโ His comments today are in his pastoral capacity. He wasnโt speaking ex Cathedra. Catholics arenโt required to agree with his opinions.
Itโs annoying for sure, I wish the Pope was a wiser leader on matters of politics.
But Iโm SO grateful to be Catholic because imagine he were the leader of a Prot churchโhe could change doctrine based on his own faulty opinions at a whim. Thatโs not the case with Catholicism.
Grateful to God for His Church that remains as it always was and always will be despite the turmoil of the world and the sins of man. ๐๐ผ
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@WaxMetrix Youโre so goated SlabSquatch ๐ญ๐ฅI trust your analyses with my life.
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With all the recent buzz around the 2023 Topps Series 1 Ohtani All Aces, Iโm seeing more people jumping back into wax to try and track one down. So I wanted to add a little context that might help.
All Aces debuted in 2023 with a print run of ~77,350 per card. For comparison, thatโs the same print run as the 1988 Topps inserts in that set. If you ripped that product, I know you rememberโฆthose things were like cockroaches. They were everywhere. Though the All Aces benefitted from a smaller checklist (25 cards vs 100), and that included Ohtani, the per card print run was nearly identical.
In Series 2, Topps scaled things back a bit. All Aces dropped to ~20,200 per card across another 25-card checklist, but no Ohtani. And 2023 Update remained steady with another 25-card checklist, no Ohtani, and print runs of ~20,200 ea.
Then things changed.
All Aces sat out 2024 but came back in 2025 Series 1 with a vengeance. The design had been enhanced on a black textured stock and actually short printed this time around. Print run dropped to ~360 per card. Raw Ohtani copies of this set currently sell for about $2,200.
In 2025 Series 2, Topps swapped in All Kings and tightened things even further to ~240 per card print runs. Ohtani shows up again, this time in a batting pose. You might think with 33% lower print run and a bat instead of a ball, that the value might be a bit higher on these. And you'd be right. Last raw sale around $8,100, PSA 10s going for $19K.
2025 Update skipped both sets, but 2026 Series 1 brought them back and Ohtani anchors them both. The All Kings (batting pose- print run ~230 ea) still carries the most value at around $6,100 vs roughly $4,500 for All Aces, print run ~300 copies ea.
With all that in mind, itโs easy to see why the 2023 All Aces has taken off. The 2025โ2026 Aces/Kings have priced a lot of people out, and the 2023 version is close enough visually to pull people back in, even if itโs a very different card in hand.
That 2023 Ohtani is now pushing ~$300 raw and has cleared $1K in a PSA 10.
As a result, 2023 wax has gotten hotter than itโs been in a long time and is starting to dry up. So I wanted to look at how the main formats stack up if youโre chasing:
Secondary market pricing (rough ranges):
โข Hobby: $150
โข Jumbo: $250
โข Blaster: $25
โข Hanger: $19
$ per All Aces (2023 Series 1):
1) Blasters: $57.14 - 1 per 16 packs (~2.3 boxes)
2) Hangers: $76 - 1 per 4 boxes
3) Jumbo: $100 - 1 per 4 packs (~2.5 per box)
4) Hobby: $100 - 1 per 16 packs (~1.5 per box)
Blasters come out as the cheapest path to an All Acesโฆon paper. But theyโre brutal for just about everything else. No real shot at autos or relics, and virtually no upside beyond the chase itself.
Hangers are a better middle ground. Still not good odds on hits, but at least youโre not completely drawing dead. They just can't compete with Hobby or Jumbo in that regard.
If you actually want a shot at everything in the product while chasing, Jumbo is the play and it's not even close. Slightly worse on $/Aces, but itโs the most efficient format for every other desirable hit across the board. And you'll still pull 2.5 All Aces per box.
And oddly enough, while digging around, the best current Jumbo price I found was sitting on Amazon at $250.
Good luck everyone!
#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #OhtaniAllAces



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@RockSol1d_ @PokeTeeJay I know right?!? If some r*tard wants to spend way over the actual cost of Pokemon, go for it! Iโll continue to get all my stuff at MSRP at Walmart/Target while all of the other idiots can get it at Gamescalp. No problem to me!
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@PokeTeeJay Shop where you please, unless somebody is holding a gun to your head telling you otherwiseโฆ.. or starts your own LCS and sell product at the price you likeโฆ why are you worried how other adults spend their money?? Pocket watching is for losersโฆ.
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Not sure how anyone still supports GameScalp when it comes to Pokรฉmon
DisTrackers@DisTrackers
GameStopโs updated Pokemon TCG pricing is ridiculousโฆ
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@urbanmyths @TheCinesthetic Itโs actually Mayo, not butter. Itโs a famous grilled cheese recipe by Los Angeles Chef Roy Choi. He was a consultant on the movie and taught Jon Favreau.
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@TheCinesthetic No! You don't butter the bread! You put a pat of butter on the hot grill then you put the bread on the melted butter and rotate it. Watch how Anthony Bourdain did it. You will get a perfectly browned grilled cheese sandwich every time and it won't be uneven or laden with butter.
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Jon Favreau making the perfect grilled cheese in Chef (2014) is one of the most satisfying food scenes ever put on screen.
cinesthetic.@TheCinesthetic
What do you think is the most iconic eating scene in cinematic history?
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@GuntherEagleman GOP had all this progress attracting minority voters and yet theyโre so quick to make a such a big deal about a superbowl halftime show. Itโs such a non-issue, WHO CARES.
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Genuinely wonder what it would be like to be an American
They just live in their own little world down there
BrickCenter@BrickCenter_
Chris Paul wanted to retire a Clipper they sent him to Canada ๐ญ
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@RIP24KOBE @Hockey_Is_All @user12346758 @oscarr14_ the impactful metrics of gold medalists and space exploration
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@Barneyguy @Hockey_Is_All @user12346758 @oscarr14_ Lebron is an american btwโฆ NBA is an american organization btwโฆ
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@Hockey_Is_All @user12346758 @oscarr14_ Diversity, Military, Movies (Culture), Wealth (GDP), Top Universities, Space Exploration, Olympic Medalists. With that comes negatives, Itโs obvious that USAs global influence fell off a cliff considering thereโs people like you that actually think the USA is someone to fuck with
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@user12346758 @oscarr14_ they are not even remotely "top 5 by every metric" lmfao you guys just make shit up ๐
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I wanna say something about Philip Rivers.
He hasnโt played football in over 5 years, he steps up in a role we have never seen. Coming into this job and immediately playing against the best defense in the NFL.
The next week having to play against the other hottest defense and offense in the NFL, in the 49ers. He managed to be the best player on the field tonight for the Colts, as a 44 year old that just took the job.
This story will always be remembered by me as a die-hard NFL fan, he played his heart out.
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@itsgeoffwilson @WaxMetrix All of his analyses are amazing, but the difference is he helps ALL of us.
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@WaxMetrix If youโd be open to doing some data contract work my team would like to talk to you about that.
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2025-26 Topps Chrome NBA Analysis & Deep Dive
After spending an inordinate amount of time with this behemoth of an odds sheet, one thing is unmistakably clear: 2025-26 Topps Chrome NBA is operating on an entirely different scale. This is not just the biggest Chrome NBA release ever. It is the largest Chrome release of any sport, period.
For context, a typical major product release usually lands somewhere around a few hundred distinct line items on the odds sheet. This one does not simply exceed that benchmark, it absolutely detonates it. The sheer volume of parallels, inserts, autos, and variations is unprecedented.
But this is the world we live in now. As promised, this is what growth looks like. There are some genuinely great things here, some not so great, and more than a few surprises. Iโll do my best to break this monster down into something digestible.
Total cards in product:
89,850,600
In this total, Iโm excluding the โRefractor Box Setโ format. This appears to be a complete Refractor set with a chance at an additional Refractor auto. Until we have clarity on how many of these are produced (which may be never), thereโs no responsible way to include them in total production numbers. Even without them, this release still represents 32.7% more production than the next largest Chrome release ever, 2025 Topps Chrome at 67,711,008 cards.
Total production by format:
Hobby: 104,484 boxes (8,707 cases)
Jumbo: 34,640 boxes (4,330 cases)
Breakerโs: 31,380 boxes (5,230 cases)
Value: 1,164,200 boxes (29,105 cases)
Hangers: 505,920 boxes (7,905 cases)
Megas: 613,100 boxes (30,655 cases)
Fanatics Megas: 210,700 boxes (1,505 cases)
Fanatics Bulk Packs: 100,000 packs
As of now, I donโt know how Fanatics Bulk Packs will be distributed. They ran something similar for 2025 Archives that ultimately turned out to be a mixed Super Box format. Regardless of distribution, I am confident there are 100,000 packs produced. Pricing is still unknown, so Iโm excluding them from value comparisons. That omission shouldnโt materially affect conclusions, as Bulk Packs have historically not been a competitive value format.
Sapphire
Predictably, there will also be a Sapphire SKU. Sapphire will be extremely limited, with 10,465 boxes (523 cases) produced. Each box contains, on average, 1 auto, 3 parallels, and 1 insert. These will likely presale for about $100,000 per box and trade for $1 million on the secondary market. Completely scientific estimate.
While weโre on Sapphire, it has clearly cemented itself as a permanent fixture. Can we also collectively normalize spelling and pronouncing Padparadscha correctly? Fittingly, it is a unique, ultra-scarce, and exquisitely colored pinkish-orange sapphire. Pronounced pod-puh-ROD-shuh. This is the perfect 1/1 parallel for a Sapphire product and it loses a little of its magic every time someone butchers the name, which has become so commonplace that even Toppsโ own odds sheet creators can't even spell it correctly anymore. Sorry for the tangent.
Hit Frequencies
Hobby:
1 auto, 14.75 parallels, 12.37 inserts, 2.59 # cards (not counting autos)
Jumbo:
3 autos, 23 parallels, 15 inserts, 4.25 # cards (not counting autos)
Breakerโs:
2 autos, 3.67 parallels, 1.88 inserts, 4.3 # cards (not counting autos)
Value Boxes:
20 boxes per auto, 4.61 parallels/box, 2.1 inserts/box, 2.91 boxes per # card
Hangers:
32 boxes per auto, 1.64 parallels/box, 2.1 inserts/box, 5.5 boxes per # card
Mega Boxes:
10 boxes per auto, 11.5 parallels/box, 3 inserts/box, 1.87 boxes per # card
Fanatics Megas:
10 boxes per auto, 11.6 parallels/box, 3 inserts/box, 1.57 boxes per # card
Fanatics Bulk Packs:
140 packs per auto, 0.63 parallels/pack, 0.28 inserts/pack, 19.7 packs per numbered card
On the retail side, it appears cases are structured to uniformly produce 2 autos per case.
Value Landscape
Since preorders and launch day sales are already behind us, Iโm forced to use secondary market pricing for hobby formats. Realistically, we are unlikely to see anything close to MSRP again. This pricing reality is also what makes retail, sparse as it may seem, a viable alternative for rippers of this product.
Prices used:
Hobby: $650
Jumbo: $1,575
Breakerโs: $1,475
Retail MSRPs used:
Value Boxes: $50
Hangers: $20
Mega Boxes: $85
Fanatics Megas: $100
$ per card:
Hangers: $1.33
Value Box: $1.79
Mega Boxes: $2.02
$ per parallel:
Mega Box: $7.38
Fanatics Megas: $8.60
Value Box: $10.85
$ per auto:
Jumbo: $525
Hangers: $640
Hobby: $650
$ per # card:
Hangers: $110.60
Value Box: $145.50
Fanatics Megas: $157
Let me detail the main variants that are available in Hobby SKUs but not in retail as I feel prices have reached a point where this is extremely valid.
In retail, you wonโt find:
Parallels: Prism, Negative, any Waves (Blue, Green, Purple, Gold, Orange, Black, Red)
Common inserts (and their parallels): Loadingโฆ, Generation Rising, Tall Tales, Clutch Gene, Xโs and Whoaโs!
Rare inserts: Rock Stars, Radiating Rookies. There is also an insert called 451, but only its Superfractors are listed on the odds sheet and are exclusive to Hobby and Jumbo. If base 451s exist, they will probably be rare and Hobby-exclusive as well.
Autos: Next Stop Signatures, Sky-Write Signatures, Signature Style
What you CAN find in retail, but not hobby formats:
Parallels: Basketball Refractor and parallels in Value/Bulk Packs, Pulsar and parallels in Hangers, Raywave and parallels in Megas, Lightboard Logos
Inserts (and their parallels): Go Time, Ball of Duty, Inspirational, Activators, Serenity
Rare inserts: Advisory, Glass Canvas, Paradox, Patented, Fanatical
Autos: Future Stars Autos, Chromograph and Chromograph Rookies, Stratospheric Signatures and Rookies
All other variants can be pulled in both Hobby and Retail formats. This includes highly desirable parallels like Blacks, Reds, Frozenfractors, and Superfractors. Also rare inserts such as Hidden Gems (which are FINALLY listed on an odds sheet, YAY!), Letโs Go!, Ultra Violet, and Helix. Superfractors of those inserts remain Hobby-only.
Yes, these hits are tougher to pull in retail, but they are absolutely available. The point here is this is not a product where you must buy Hobby formats to have a chance at meaningful hits.
At current pricing, Hangers are the clear value leader. A 15-card hanger for $20 sounds absurd on the surface, but perspective matters. For the price of two 4-card Hobby packs, you could buy three 15-card Hangers. One 11-card Jumbo pack equals roughly six and a half Hangers. And massive hits exist in all of the above.
From a โ$ per autoโ standpoint, Hangers are the best retail format, even on par with Hobby and Jumbo. If you find them in the wild, they are absolutely the play. That said, theyโre already pushing $35 each on eBay, so availability may be short-lived. Personally, instead of dropping $650 on a Hobby box, Iโd rather spend that on 32 Hangers. Thatโs half a case and should still yield 1 auto on average and about 6 numbered cards, comfortably outperforming a single Hobby box.
Hobby, Jumbo, and Breakerโs can be loaded. They can also be an absolute bloodbath. They are simply out of reach for a large segment of collectors. Fanatics Megas are traditionally strong, but here they donโt appear meaningfully better than standard Megas. Theyโre just more expensive, with the lone exception being the rare Authentic Redemptions, which is not enough to save them from being arguably the worst format for value.
Gold Logomen breakdown
As for the biggest chase in the product, Gold Logomen autos and relics, surprisingly, some do land in retail.
Gold Logoman Relic (Non-Auto):
12 total cards (4 each of SGA, Stephon Castle, Evan Mobley)
Distribution: of the 12, 3 are inserted into Hobby boxes, 3 in Jumbo, 2 in Breakerโs, 2 in Value Boxes, 1 in a Hanger, 1 in a Mega
Gold Logoman Autos (3 total cards):
2 are dispersed into Hobby boxes
1 lonely copy sitting in a regular Mega Box somewhere (I hope we see this reaction on video and that it's an average kid, not a breaker)
There may be more valuable individual cards, such as a LeBron Superfractor Auto, but the first Topps Logomen will likely be among the most coveted hits for years. Hopefully Topps expands Logomen beyond just MVP, ROY, and DPOY in future releases.
Main takeaways
This is a monumental, massive, yet masterfully crafted product with a gigantic print run. Itโs hard to even call it overpriced, because itโs historic and contains legitimately life-changing hits. If you want to play, there are valid formats at every price point. But I assure you, there will be infinite complaining about box prices in all the groups and on all the videos. That part is guaranteed.
Print Runs
Unnumberd parallels:
Refractors- ~12,380 ea
Prism- ~2,100 ea
Negative- ~380 ea
Wave- ~560 ea
Base Sapphire- ~280 ea
Basketball Refractors- ~3,960 ea
Red, White & Blue- ~9,170 ea
Silver Basketball- Missing from the Odds Sheet
Lightboard Logos- ~235 ea
Pulsar- ~1,700 ea
Raywave- ~5,020 ea
X-Fractors- ~14,360 ea
Skylight (takes place of ToppsFractors in Fanatics Megas)- ~705 ea
First Day Issue- 16 ea
Unnumbered Inserts:
Youthquake (15 card CL)- ~14,100 ea
Sleek Finishers (30 card CL)- ~14,160 ea
Destiny (25 card CL)- ~16,300 ea
Instinct (20 card CL)- ~13,840 ea
Voices (10 card CL)- ~14,200 ea
Youthquake Refractors- ~1,450 ea
Sleek Finishers Refractors- ~1,430 ea
Destiny Refractors- ~1,435 ea
Instinct Refractors- ~1,435 ea
Voices Refractors- ~1,460 ea
(Confoundingly, the base Geometric parallels of all the above have crazy odds and compute to 3 copies ea. but I don't have a lot of trust in those odds.)
Loading... (15 card CL)- ~8,190 ea
Generation Rising (20 card CL)- ~8,225 ea
Tall Tales (25 card CL)- ~8,050 ea
Clutch Gene (30 card CL)- ~8,310 ea
X's and Whoa's! (10 card CL)- ~8,160 ea
Loading... Refractors- ~850 ea
Generation Rising Refractors- ~850 ea
Tall Tales Refractors- ~850 ea
Clutch Gene Refractors- ~850 ea
X's and Whoa's! Refractors- ~850 ea
(Weirdly, base Geometric parallels of the above inserts compute to 2 copies ea, but again, I don't know if I trust those odds.)
Rock Stars (20 card CL)- ~610 ea
Let's Go! (15 card CL)- ~55 ea
Ultra Violet (15 card CL)- ~220 ea
Radiating Rookies (10 card CL)- ~210 ea
Helix (20 card CL)- ~110 ea
Hidden Gems (5 card CL)- ~50 ea
Image Variations (50 card CL)- ~960 ea
Go Time (25 card CL)- ~38,460 ea
Ball of Duty (25 card CL)- ~38,500 ea
Inspirational (20 card CL)- ~37,100 ea
Activators (15 card CL)- ~37,380 ea
Serenity (15 card CL)- ~37,380 ea
Go Time Refractors- ~3,400 ea
Ball of Duty Refractors- ~3,400 ea
Inspirational Refractors- ~3,400 ea
Activators Refractors- ~3,400 ea
Serenity Refractors- ~3,400 ea
Go Time Raywave- ~1,350 ea
Ball of Duty Raywave- ~1,350 ea
Inspirational Raywave- ~1,350 ea
Activators Raywave- ~1,350 ea
Serenity Raywave- ~1,350 ea
Go Time Pulsar- ~65 ea
Ball of Duty Pulsar- ~65 ea
Inspirational Pulsar- ~65 ea
Activators Pulsar- ~65 ea
Serenity Pulsar- ~65 ea
Advisory (20 card CL)- ~690 ea
Glass Canvas (20 card CL)- ~700 ea
Paradox (30 card CL)- ~700 ea
Patented (30 card CL)- ~700 ea
Fanatical (25 card CL)- ~2,750 ea
Autos:
Autographs Rookies (40 card CL)- ~2,250 ea
Certified Issue Rookies (30 card CL)- ~490 ea
Certified Issue Rookie II (Retail- 25 card CL)- ~430 ea
Next Stop Signatures (30 card CL)- ~390 ea
Auto Rookies Refractors- ~230 ea
Certified Issue Rookies Refractors- ~250 ea
Next Stop Signatures Refractors- ~250 ea
Topps Chrome Autos (25 card CL)- ~90 ea
SKY-Write Signatures (33 card CL)- ~340 ea
Signature Style (37 card CL)- ~250 ea
Topps Chrome Autos Refractors- ~35 ea
SKY-Write Signatures Refractors- ~230 ea
Signature Style Refractors- ~240 ea
Future Stars Autos (30 card CL)- ~310 ea
Chromograph Rookies (20 card CL)- ~395 ea
Stratospheric Signatures Rookies (25 card CL)- ~255 ea
Certified Issue Rookies II Refractors (Retail)- ~45 ea
Future Stars Autos Refractors- ~70 ea
Chromographs Rookies Refractors- ~45 ea
Stratospheric Rookies Refractors- ~40 ea
Certified Auto Issue (38 card CL)- ~370 ea
Chromographs (28 card CL)- ~220 ea
Stratospheric Signatures (23 card CL)- ~380 ea
Certified Auto Issue Refractors- ~50 ea
Chromographs Refractors- ~45 ea
Stratospheric Refractors- ~45 ea
@CardPurchaser
#thehobby #2025ToppsChromeNBA #SlabSquatchAnalytics
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@CardPurchaser I couldnโt even sign in, is it because I already scored on the preorder? Because all it said was page unavailable.
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@Topps @NBA @shaiglalex ITS NOT LETTING ME SIGN IN AT ALL! It says unavailable reload in 2 minutes and then it just does it again!
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OFFICIAL: Topps x NBA Gold Logoman trading cards have arrived.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (MVP), Evan Mobley (DPOY), and Stephon Castle (ROY) are all wearing a Gold Logoman Patch for the 2025-26 NBA season.
These 1-of-1 trading cards feature a game-worn Gold Logoman Patch and the playerโs signature.
Look for these cards in packs of 2025 Topps Chrome Basketball, releasing December 18.

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@CardPurchaser Itโs not even letting me sign in to topps!
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2025-26 Topps Chromeยฎ Basketball - Value Box at Topps, limit 40 #ad
$49.99
thetoppscompany.sjv.io/vPXx6y
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@CardPurchaser Max quantity of 10 is just ridiculous. Iโm not sure why these trading card companies only want their product to go to big money whalesโฆ
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@naiikomii @beast82290 @katzdani_ a corrupt ceo r we dead ass. heโs literally just a guy and him dying just means someone will take his place. the hypocrisy is crazy. yall r so brain dead
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@beast82290 @katzdani_ well i mean to make a comparison, the guy ur probably talking about killed a corrupt ceo who was killing people by denying them healthcare, compared to noah promoting the deaths of innocent people with children included. idk but i feel like one is better than the other
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@MercedesAMGF1 impossible to get into F1 when they clearly favor max. how is this even a sport? itโs just reality tv drama at this point. congrats max on the mickey mouse i guess.
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