Rural & Farm Finance Policy Analysis Center (RaFF)

RaFF recently convened the first meeting of Missouri’s Early Warning System (EWS) Committee. Discussion included emerging financial conditions in the farm economy and how producers are navigating current economic pressures. Read this report and more at raff.missouri.edu/farm-financial…

Policy Brief: Strategic Policy Alternatives to Support Conservation Practices ➡️3 scenarios for EQIP policy design and simulated results on their adoption when farmers can also stack payments from voluntary private carbon initiatives (VPCIs). Read it at raff.missouri.edu/policy-briefs

📢 New Policy Brief: Final estimates for 2024 ARC-CO and PLC program payments. 📈 Total payments projected at $2.34 billion for all commodities. Report provides insights into distribution, state-by-state impact, commodity breakdowns and maps by county. raff.missouri.edu/policy-briefs/

📰 AVAILABLE NOW 📰 SHOW-ME 2026: MISSOURI AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK 📈 📉 RaFF's 2026 Missouri Agricultural Outlook is now available. It is an essential roadmap for producers and stakeholders regarding economic shifts in the ag landscape. 📈 📉 raff.missouri.edu/missouri-ag-ou…

📊 Available now: What Expanded Base Acres Could Mean for ARC & PLC (2026 Update) How the USDA final rule could translate into additional base acres authorized under #OBBBA — and where those acres are likely to land. 🔗 Read the full policy brief at: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Comparing Costs to Finance Seed Corn Purchases: Vendor Financing or Bank Loan This brief highlights seed vendor financing options available to farmers and compares the cost of credit available from vendors and banks. Read more: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Projected 2025 and 2026 ARC-CO and PLC Payments for Soybeans Early projections of extra ARC-CO and PLC payments on #soybean base acres for '25 and '26 crop years per #OBBBA. Projections for #corn and #wheat also available. Read all 3: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

RaFF's Fall 2025 Farm Income Outlooks for 10 states now available. Each includes farm income projections, expected crop and livestock receipts, and expenses for 2025 + 2026. Summaries, charts, and breakdowns plus data tables are available for download: raff.missouri.edu/farm-income/

RaFF's Fall 2025 Farm Income Outlooks for Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa and Arkansas are now available. Net farm income projections for 2025: IA: 76% ⬆️ KS: 88% ⬆️ NE: 42% ⬆️ AR: ⬇️ 8% More details in the full reports. Full data tables also available: raff.missouri.edu/farm-income/

See farm income projections for the Show-Me state in RaFF's Fall 2025 Farm Income Outlook for Missouri. Coming up next: reports for Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas. View the full report here: raff.missouri.edu/farm-income/

Are you ready to become a recognized expert in applied ag econ and policy analysis? Join us as a Sr Applied Research Economist! See the full job description and apply through University HR: bit.ly/4ncL4w1 🐯 Current employees: login to myHR and search for job ID 57684

Available now: Projected 2025 and 2026 ARC-CO and PLC Payments for Wheat Projections of extra ARC-CO and PLC payments on #wheat base acres for crop years '25 and '26 per the #OBBBA. Coming up next: policy briefs for #corn and #soybeans. Read it here: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Leading Indicators of Farm Financial Stress: Fall 2025 In this installment of the quarterly series, we summarize individual input from our expert panelists on the leading indicators of farm financial health. Read it here: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Incentives for Cover Crops and Perennial Grasses through RNG Production Biomass-based Renewable Natural Gas production provides an opportunity for farmers to generate additional revenue... Read more here: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Picturing Farm Financial Conditions Through the Lens of At-Risk Loans A relatively high and increasing proportion may suggest increasing financial stress and a possible motivation for policy intervention. Check out the findings: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Fall 2025 Farm Income Outlooks are on the way! State reports for MO, AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, MN, NE, ND and TX will cover projections on crop and livestock receipts, expenses, and net farm income. Get the announcement delivered to your inbox: #signup" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">raff.missouri.edu/#signup

Available now: Consistency and Change in Demographic Patterns in Farming-Dependent Counties We identified areas for further research into age-related population shifts and opportunities for policy focus. Let's build resilient #rural and #ag communities!

Available now: Probability of Kansas Loan Default See inside: 📉 Overall, a down trend in default risk 🐄 Variance in probability for two farm types 📊 Probability of default estimates by quartile and farm characteristic Find the full article here: raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

Available now: Additional Base Acres for ARC-CO & PLC in Missouri See our projections in today’s policy brief. 📊 Projections under two scenarios 🌽 Tables for all covered commodities 🗺️ Maps by county for major commodities raff.missouri.edu/raff-policy-br…

#aaea2025 is in the books! We appreciate the support of RaFF at our sessions and the reception with @FAPRI_MU. Special thanks to @JoeParcell, @jeifft, @Brad_Lubben and Hunter Biram for co-presenting. So many good things on the horizon. We’re already looking forward to next year!