RatRaceNetRunner
299 posts




$BTC Getting closer and closer to the re-long zone⌛️ Alright, nice move further on $BTC. Where we talked Yesterday that the chop will end very shortly, and we will get volatility again closer to our re-long zone after TP'ing nicely in the 70 k's. Just feels like Yesterday we TP'd there, and already, the market is back in panic mode slowly but surely. Exactly the way a range is supposed to act. So at a nice pace, seeing no less but an approach of our zone, so I'm slowly preparing to get long again once we reach it. I kindly remind you that I am waiting for the green zone itself as it stands currently to re-long again first though, not getting excited before that nor looking for "early confirmation signs" to get long, no opinion bias allowed. But panic is indeed slowly creeping in again and the anticipation of a range breakdown is growing again in expectation. Our main thesis remains of no new lows on $BTC (as posted on the very day of the bottom itself in live time) and $ETH (as recently posted). I still think that won't happen for the extensive reasoning given, and also why I believe the market will range (no V reversal, shorts at range high are equally safe as longs at range low, as we have taken 2 shorts, 2 longs so far). That means, getting to a key POI near range low next, means looking for a long upon local confirmation. Of course, we indeed haven't received local confirmation yet, for that, price indeed needs to get there first. But it's coming, slowly but surely, now that the choppy price action is over IMO. Good luck, soon we will enter again. Buy low, sell high. Rinse, repeat. Follow the plan that has been written. And most importantly: act on it, with action coming up near term.



$BTC longs Up 1500 points ✅️, I would make it risk free right here. $BTC ran overnight off our entry and long idea. I personally exited as I have no time to manage the trade properly. But if you held along, here is where I would make it risk free (at 64.4k), and I would keep my SL at 62k. Full disclosure, I didn't run with the trade as you know. This post is for some of you dm'ing me because you held along. But even if you didn't, a run up is still good because that's our main thesis and bias working out for runners of trade I and to continue our spot plan. Enjoy. Your trade is now risk free. I'll still try to find an entry Tomorrow and ride along with you when my schedule clears up after today.



$BTC 64k reached and in the 63-64k zone now, but I'm not long yet. Alright, at 64k now, and earlier today, price landed dead centre in the 63-64k zone (63.5k), whilst taking Mondays low, which is what we wanted, planned for, and waited for to try long again, all we need now is confirmation. That confirmation should consist of local shorts, no one longing and a good spot-perps spread with a quality low (good imbalances) and ideally, no liquidity below. So far, we have none of that, and we still have liquidity just below the low. So personally, not longing here at 64k yet, waiting out at least a sweep of the low before getting long again. So, a bit of patience requested, but don't worry, my predictions of the local confirmation coming usually play out, 99% of the time. It's just about entry refinement. So just updating you here. An update that shouldn't be necessary coming from me since I call out all my entries and exits live. But I'm all about holding an opinion, and staying aligned with clarity so here you go.



$BTC longs Trade now up 1.7R , take some profits and set it risk free. (+ small rant) If you took the trade along, congrats. We are getting close to first TP (67.2k plus or minus time dependent dynamics). If you haven't already, I would set the trade risk free the way I usually do (not moving SL to BE, just TP'ing some to cancel out losses if it runs to the SL). Next, is the aim for 67.2k. That's the point this trade turns into an official win and we lock in our fifth win in a row. All done in live time by the way. Enjoy. And stop reading here... Rant underneath. (Do not read if you don't like rants). But yes, all done live because I have nothing to hide. As, during my early years in the trading industry, I know how frustrating it is when a smurk genius doesn't show what his/her trading life is actually like and if they actually make money. We all know that accurate calls and clear (emphasis on) entries and exits are a lot different. 0 educational value when not shared, just covering him or herself to keep his or her career, a broad feature of hedgefund floors, and interestingly also on X, because most are non profitable, some are profitable, and only very few elites are broadly profitable. Why so few? Exactly for those reasons I just mentioned: terrible mentorship, keeping people on the leash for a while with bad backend trading and thus bad fundamentals. Because I learnt that in all my years, when someone isn't clearly stating their entries and exits, they are probably not confident in their trading, hiding it to play it safe. Excuse my rant, but that's just the reality. Remember my existence as the one who tries to bring light to reality. Whilst at the same time demonstrating that profitable trading is possible and relatively stress free if done right. Enjoy the true journey. And I wish you a good night, as always. Take care.



$BTC longs 66k reached, trade now risk free. Alrightnice push off entry almost immediately after taking the trade. Trade up already 1100 points. We hit 66k, which is the start of the risk free zone (the zone where I intended to make the trade risk free). So without any excuses, trade is risk free (you already know the math). If 63.1-64.2k still comes, that's a free relong. Alternatively, if you prefer to let it run for longer and are less risk-averse, letting it run to 67k fully makes sense, potentially going through a drawdown first, and if 63.1 - 64.2 still comes, add to the position. Not something I recommend psychologically (trading is 50% psychology), but if you're experienced, this is option two. For now, good entry, good start of the trade. We eliminated the potential of a loss. I'll hope to see you higher to lock in the win next.



$BTC Re-long zone very close now. Looking to long again once we dig sub 65k. Let's get the fifth win in a row. Alright, bitcoin is finally getting to our high timeframe SP again. The zone we mapped out a few days ago to enter our next trade. You know the high timeframe plan, where I believe the low is in. So logically, getting close to range low should be a long. Not a blind long, we look for local confirmation. But I will call out the entry in live time, as I do every time. We have been planning for it, waiting for it. Yes, it took a while. But waiting is as important as being positioned. I promise you, the wait is nearly over, we will go long again, aiming for the fifth win in a row. See you sub 65k.




$BTC longs TP'd the high ✅️ Here's what I do next now that price is getting lower again Alright. Update on the longs, of how they are doing, what my thoughts are, and most importantly, what I'm planning to do next (plan of action is key). So far, we had smooth sailing, as we captured the entry at the very pico low almost to the tick, and took main target TP1 at 70k, which ended up being the top so far (with some overthrow to 71k). That's a 5k move caught so far in $BTC's price without too much hassle. Safe to say, 4th win in a row is secured neatly. I want to emphasise, that being this precise, is not my goal, just a bonus. The goal should always be to just make money in relative stress free sense. Whether the drawdown is 0.1%, 0.2%, 1% or a pico low tick, as long as it goes within my general SL width (as long term followers know, 2% ish depending on range conditions), it's a good trade. However, it is always good to see the system do what it's built for, and educationally also invaluable since I have been posting every trade before it happened, win or loss. Lately 4 wins in a row, we'll see how the fifth one edges up. About that, now it's time to plan a bit further on what to do next and continue to trade the range (surprise surprise). Do you also see how only 2 weeks of ranging, already offered 4 trade wins? Just so you understand why I have put so much effort in calling the bottom at 63k the first time it hit, on the very day of it hitting and the bottom planting, as well as a subsequent range I promise will last 2 months+. Gives a range, to trade cleanly with more trades to come. Mostly with good moves (from range high to low), sometimes, chop in between such as recent days. That's also why I waited out posting a bit because I didn't see price do much last days so not worth wasting time, it only leads you in circles. But I think we get a move again very shortly, so it's time again to plan further. Plan further The plan, is actually still the same, where I simply continue to hold for 73k. Something we can allow ourselves to do because we TP'd the top neatly which allows to hold further comfortably now that price retraces. That's my main goal I aim to teach you how to hold trades to full target, which (holding with conviction in general) is the biggest problem with developing traders, so here you go. Intuitively, it always feels strange to hold remainders against local direction of the market. But anyone who maps out realized (what we TP'd already) vs unrealized (what we are still holding) gains, can easily see how waiting and holding for 73k makes sense: low remainders, high RR target, and almost no etching into the gains we made on this trade. So "holding remainders" is step #1 #2, is to plan for a relong in case the market makers go for the liquidity right below the 65.2k low which has developed the last days. Not my most likely scenario, but it does line up with a revisit of our silver pocket POI. This time with less momentum, allowing for another very clean entry. It would also be a long which could take out our stop as we are part of that liquidity that's building. Whether that is because of our idea or because we are getting copied, I don't know. Neither do I care. We TP,d at 70k for a reason, putting the trade into a comfortable win, allowing us to relong our own stop-out of the remainders. Because that's indeed how it should take place if it is a stop hunt. Hunted stops are to leave people behind. And that's only possible with a move back up after taking place. And no, I don't think I have grown too big and "everyone takes my trades". I just think it's a general possible stop hunt (not going exactly for our stops but just the general area). So that's a relong. I do think price eventually goes to 73k, from 65.2k or post-stop hunt. As most people are still concerned with the bear market, 50k coming, the 4Y cycle etc. Whilst we are simply ranging, and squeezing higher after IMO. Trade it







$BTC 5 trades, 5 wins 💰 A small review of the run so far, my positions, and "the next 2 calls" Alright, it is weekend. We had a great month of December so far. Time for a halfway month review. I also remind you and update you on what I am holding. And remind you of my thoughts on the market next. Review (in short) Not going to drag this on for too long, because you can see how we acted through every step along the way by scrolling down on my timeline. It's been nice have 5 wins in a row. Not just 5 wins. They are five wins my audience was able to print along easily. As no calls were hidden or vague. The entries and exits were all called live, telling you exactly when to get in, and when to get out. We also managed to catch pretty much every single external top and bottom so far this. Not very common given execution necessity. But glad my system, which does detect 91% of them, lives up to its name. Many of you are excited. And with this review, I just want to emphasize that during win streaks like this or any win streak, it's good to remain humble, let the market do it's thing and keep applying our system. Keeping trade size and frequency constant no matter if the wins keep coming or if the occasional loss comes, is what keeps our accounts growing and ensures consistency. Forgetting about this is one of the key factors why "trading is hard", on top of choosing the right edge. I always (NF) advise against the "Let's go 5 wins, let's go all in on the next one" type of behavior. Not forcing the physics of the markets is what ensures continued flow and momentum. My current positions Of the current 5 wins, I still hold the remainder of that last win, with my reminder sent two days ago at 92k that we very likely drop back down. "Hold this short". Target remains 87.7k. Ah yes and for the ones who stayed in the short we posted on top, TP one should be here. For the larger timeframes, as you know, I also still hold the large positional spot trade, entered at 84.4k, 3 weeks ago, and targeting our big and beloved target of 112k. For the ones who will ask: yes, I do think the market trends higher after 112k. But at that point, at least the sentiment we saw in the low 80's, and are still seeing now very prevalently, will be completely erased, I promise you. And that is really what matters. And yes, although some of those macro bulls that shifted bear into those 80's, are adjusting their counts already now that our 91% chance bottom hold thesis we posted in the low 80 k's, is playing out for 3 weeks already, I remind you that, those posts do not hold much weight if they come from the same people who flipped bearish into those lows. Long term followers already know that sentiment should only be evaluated in live time during the pain points and points of excitement, not during the aftermath (aftermath is characterized by aftermath sentiment instead, which is often influencers trying to fix their rep, cover themselves, or deceive, or, just silence). The 2 next calls So in full alignment with my positions, and to fully close win 5, take a next trade for hopefully win 6, and also book win 7 with the high timeframe position, my analysis stays the same. I expect 112k as a main target. That remains the main target, and that closes the chapter 1 of how I expect this cycle to still continue, and also closed the chapter of my initial conviction, still holding throughout this process. And, I also wait patiently for 87.7k to act on that with another long. Sentiment is getting a bit bullish in the aftermath with those bottom bears covering themselves, now also topped off after tracking some deleted tweets of bearish bottom behavior, it's quite clear. All power to people who delete tweets by the way. There is no reason for resentment, and how they behave and hold up their style of communication is on them. In fact, we should be thankful for it because it is a clear tell-tale sign of what the sentiment is right now. So in alignment with that, and with our analysis, certainly "relief" feelings now after full bear posting back "then" into the lows, makes me continue to hold positions (short down to the high 80's, and also stay in the position from 84.1k) Lower timeframes (important section) Some extra comments on the lower timeframes. I label it as an important section, simply because the most sensible sentiment lies here so this is where I get some confusion. "Price went up 1000$, is 87.7k still coming?" Sort of thing. So I share my thoughts here: to keep in mind that on the low timeframes, our ancient old 0.5 level of our double range construct is holding cleanly now and we had a good order flow reaction. That will not break suddenly on a low volume weekend. And I expect it to hold for a bit further. If you took the shorts that I ended up exiting BE and you held, this is also a good spot to TP. Doesn't matter though, it IMO eventually breaks to our beautiful 87.7k level, likely into next week. Summary So it has been a joy to call out in high detail and in live time, 5 (near) full wins in a row so far. We look forward to have our analysis play out further, where I flip full bull again soon once we take out 87.7k, aiming towards 112k. And where the lower timeframe bearish sentiment has been erased with price pushing into 94k (and where we took multiple lower timeframe shorts, all recorded on my timeline), I expect the higher timeframe sentiment, of even macro bearish-flipped bulls (who maybe make 6 calls a year), to be erased at 112k. I do want another long below 87.7k. If we miss it, that will be unfortunate, so be it. But I am still confident it's coming. And it would be very nice to ride another one up to 112k on top of the macro spot position. That is my review, and that is my plan forward.



$BTC shorts And there is the drop ✅ 87.7k is getting closer and closer (in time and price) Alright absolutely pleased with this drop once again. Showing our plan of a dump is playing out to perfection. We had to TP this short right before the pump to 93k, with a final trim at 90.3k, just to reduce psychological stress. Then said to hold on as a new drop is coming. We kept conviction and continued to expect 87.7k as the level we must hit before I get bullish again and take another long. And I still believe that level we most likely are going to book beautifully on this short in alignment with opening another long. Price showed another forceful rejection right where we wanted to see it, and so the plan continues to go to plan, of weekend lows, post-FOMC bearish PA, staying below 0.75, and hitting 87.7k. We now also have a red Friday on top which usually trends further into the weekend or Monday/Tuesday with some patience. Yes, we are at the 0.5 again, which likely takes a few more bounces and some more time to break. But you know I expect it to break down eventually before hitting our level of interest. Chop is designed to be exhausting. So don't let it exhaust you. I will be here to guide you through it, to make it a more pleasurable experience. Once 87.7k gets reached and I found a good long, my job will be done, and Astro will be bullish again. Aiming for 112k, the long a-promised 112k. Using that path, will be the aim for our sixth win in a row, and maybe a few more wins in that same move since it is a big move called for and likely won't happen in a straight line. I keep giving my all to keep you on the right side of the trade at all times, on multiple timeframes, and do so with clear calls always given in advance and in live time, just like this one. No fake screenshots, no fake PnL's, no vague "reclaim only" type of calls hiding behind reversals. Everything I do, is real. And it is the only way, to showcase the true trading experience. Showcasing you how to be consistent. You have been here to witness it all for 2 years so far (anniversary incoming in 2 Jan 2026) Continue to be entertained. And welcome to my account.






$BTC shorts 87.7 k reached, final TP hit, SHORT FULLY CLOSED. I flipped long again here, as promised! Alright! 87.7k is hit. As you all know, we got a little celebration going on here. Because our long, afar, deeply beloved, 87.7k level has been hit, quietly, but in full glory. This is the level I kept on promising and promising to be hit every time we hit the mid 90's, right as many on X started having their bullish Elliot wave counts, "my MA held and we went to 93k (all in hindsight)", "we are going to 104k" ready right into those 90k+ level highs every time. We gave that a loud and clear "no", our analysis predicted 87.7k instead, and I just couldn't allow those 100k+ levels just yet until e clear 87.7k. So we shorted, and we did it in live time, and we also executed in a way so we could book multiple wins on multiple shorts using almost the same entry level the market gave us each time and using 87.7k as magnet until it hit. You have been here to witness it all. So, we acted *with live execution. Which is something I value deeply and dearly. And so here it is. No execution = no conviction = tell-tale of lack of belief in analysis = not a real call. Trust no one, except the ones who call everything live and have stakes and call when those stakes arise in live time. All the rest, is just spectating, no matter how smart an analysis looks, and no matter how many (mostly) fake screenshots are shared after as if they took the trade without telling you explicitly beforehand, or take both longs and shorts at the same time and only show the ones that worked after the move, we know all the tricks, screenshots without live entry calls are meaningless. Only 1-directional, non dubious, live calls of entries should be believed, the rest is just entertainment. 87.7k hit so I am now long again So here, I am telling you explicitly and in live time again that I am long again here at 88.3k. Because with 87.7k hit, our first major call of our 2-part calls of expecting 87.7k first ✅ 112k second⌛️ in that order is completed. And so in the same way we used 87.7k to score multiple shorts and how shorts formed the majority of the wins of the recent 5 wins in a row we scored so far, and how it hit our limit orders of our final short, the fifth win in a row, with 87.7k now cleared, and 112k in our scope, I will do the exact opposite and go long again for the majority of the time. A big and far away target, yes. We won't go there in a straight line, 112k is a long way away. But the beauty of that is that it allows us to have a bullish stance (an upside bias) for a long time, and so it allows us to go long multiple times towards it. So I indeed will be aiming to take multiple longs towards the level. And every single trade I will be taking, will be called live. So I promise you it will be hit before much lower. And I also promise you not many people are expecting it to be hit at all (look around) so I promise you a bearish sentiment read, is the correct read. And so I will live up to my promise, to be calling the majority of the next trades long, back up towards the level. Just like how no one really expected 87.7k or traded towards, the 112k is the next level no one is expecting or definitely not trading towards. With our extended analysis we have been providing on the timeline, telling us the exact opposite, I indeed will be trading towards that level. Enjoy. Let's get our sixth win in a row next.









