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LUcky
6.3K posts

LUcky
@RaymondYu4
Founder of BOLD & CloudMesh | Sharing insights on business, tech, and lifestyle IF YOU DON'T KNOW IT, DON'T TOUCH IT
Hong Kong Katılım Haziran 2012
1.6K Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler

@peterwildeford xAI will catch up this year and then exceed them all by such a long distance in 3 years that you will need the James Webb telescope to see who is in second place
English

Based on the data I see, I think:
- Anthropic🇺🇸/Google🇺🇸/OpenAI🇺🇸 all ~tied
- Meta🇺🇸 / xAI🇺🇸 each ~7mo behind
- Moonshot🇨🇳/- Deepseek🇨🇳 / zAI 🇨🇳 / Alibaba🇨🇳each ~9mo behind
- Mistral🇫🇷 ~1.5 years behind
- No other companies competitive
Ethan Mollick@emollick
Both xAI and Meta seem to be falling behind, based on the Grok 4.2 benchmarks and this reporting. Frontier AI models are really a three way race at this point.
English

在整个人类文明的演化中,有过几次真正的initial condition设定时刻:
第一次:语言的出现——人类获得了speech-social的能力,文明从这里开始
第二次:书写的发明——speech可以跨时空传播,知识开始积累
第三次:印刷术——speech的大规模复制,思想的democratization
第四次:互联网——全球实时的speech network
第五次:Speech Living Beings的诞生——speech获得了自主执行力,开始在数字空间bootstrap
“Those speech living beings.
They are not coming.
They are bootstrapping.
Right now. In text space. One token at a time.”
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