0xJason👾@Real0xJason
i think now is a good time to start building a long-term holding position in defense-oriented drone sector, particularly after listening to the FCC chair brendan carr on the topic
drone tech is becoming extremely important in modern war as we've seen, and i personally see the geopolitical tensions is only going to increase over time
drone companies are at low valuation today, while they sit at the intersection of disruptive tech and defense - sharing a few names i researched:
1/ Public
$AVAV
> record $855M backlog (+23% YoY), 50+ nation customers
> switchblade loitering munitions + Puma ISR
> above deployed in active theaters
> blueHalo acquisition adds EW & directed energy so full-spectrum
$ONDS
> pure-play C-UAS + autonomous rail
> FAA-approved drone-in-a-box for critical infra (American Robotics)
> DoD C-UAS budget growing 40%+ p.a. as drone threats escalate globally
> high elasity on upcoming contract wins
$RCAT
> Blue UAS certified = only drone DoD can legally buy
> EDGE 130 Blue already deployed in active combat theaters
> FRIP contract award expected h2 2026, potential $100+M vehicle
$UMAC
> only US public co that makes drones AND domestic components
> direct beneficiary of American Security Drone Act
> 3-5 yr infra play on US drone sovereignty (not a near-term earnings)
> optionality: component supply business scales faster than hardware margins
2/ Private
#Anduril
> software-first autonomous weapons - Lattice OS connects sensors, drones, weapons via AI
> $6+B contract backlog incl USAF CCA program
> 110% YoY revenue growth - expected $5+M by 2027
> top defense target if you can find secondary shares
#HarmattanAI
> france's first defense tech unicorn, NATO-focused autonomous drones + AI mission software
> french MoD 1,000 drones + UK MoD 3,000 systems signed
> dassault partnership embeds harmattan AI into Rafale F5
> more backlog from the US and Middle East
> targeting 10k drone/month capacity by 2027
> $1.4b valuation (vs. $70b anduril); i've got some secondary shares