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The Rivalry Peril has a cover! Everything Washington has told you about great-power competition is wrong. Come January 2025, @mbrenes1 and I are gonna reveal why! #TheRivalryPeril
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Van Jackson
28.1K posts
Van Jackson
@RealVanJackson
The class politics of geopolitics. Newsletter and Podcast(s): https://t.co/1pPmD5sDAZ; https://t.co/iwJgEgOTS3.
Katılım Haziran 2014
1.7K Takip Edilen20.2K Takipçiler
$166 billion in 4 days. $159 billion in 19 days. $200 billion supplemental to a $1 trillion/yr military budget. Who is destroying their country’s people for missiles?
Ounka@OunkaOnX
Pete Hegseth accuses Iran of investing in missiles and weapons instead of people, during a speech in which he's asking for $200 billion for weapons, instead of people.
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@OunkaOnX $166 billion in 4 days. $159 billion in 19 days. $200 billion supplemental to a $1 trillion/yr military budget. Who is destroying their country’s people for missiles?
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One of the few politicians to figure out that setting money and human lives on fire is wrong and wildly unpopular
Suppressed Voices@supressedvoic
🇪🇸Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez : "My stand is clear, i can't support war, and i am with people of Gaza & Iran. I am getting letters from across the world praising the stand of Spain. "
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The world (not just Asia) is undergoing a transformation that’s going to completely overturn democratic legitimacy in many countries. But we won’t see evidence of it until the screws of our self-induced global financial crisis turn a bit more. TL;DR, political incumbents are dead
Finbarr Bermingham@fbermingham
Alex Turnbull, son of ex-Aussie PM: Iran war means "US military likely to be ejected from Indo Pacific soon" "Voters in Southeast Asia are going to be asked to choose whether they can drive their cars and push out US bases or, not drive cars & get routinely abused & tariffed"
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Van Jackson retweetledi
they said they’re not dying or killing for israel?
Jorge Martin ☭@marxistJorge
"US Navy is investigating whether sailors aboard the USS Gerald R. Ford deliberately started the fire that tore through the aircraft carrier's main laundry spaces on 12 March" - one motive for sabotage would be to put an end to the ship's prolonged deployment.
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In 1999, Mos Def said, “$69 billion in the last 20 years, spent on national defense but folks still live in fear.” Imagine how he'd have to rewrite those bars now
Malcolm Harris@BigMeanInternet
Would be great if there were some political opposition to military spending within the American system
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If it didn’t plunge the world into darkness it would’ve been funny that the day before Iran struck this Qatari facility Qatari state media published a piece about how the US was winning and Iran was losing and all the think tank assholes used it as some kind of halfway validation
QatarEnergy@qatarenergy
QatarEnergy Statement on Missile Attacks on Ras Laffan Industrial City QatarEnergy confirms that Ras Laffan Industrial City this evening has been the subject of missile attacks. Emergency response teams were deployed immediately to contain the resulting fires, as extensive damage has been caused. All personnel have been accounted for and no casualties have been reported at this time. QatarEnergy will continue to communicate the latest available information. #Qatar
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This reminds me of when Castro urged the Soviet Union to nuke the US during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Except way dumber and without anyone exercising control over their client state
The White House@WhiteHouse
Statement from President Trump on South Pars Gas Field:
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In 1999, Mos Def rapped, “$69 billion in the last 20 years, spent on national defense but folks still live in fear.”
Imagine those bars now: “$1.5 trillion in less than one year, spent on war—fuck defense—let folks still live in fear”
The Washington Post@washingtonpost
Exclusive: The Pentagon asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, according to an administration official, a new ask that will likely run into resistance from lawmakers opposed to the conflict. wapo.st/4bt8UQk
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Gotta love how no matter how many troops the US pours into the Middle East, the media still reports it as we’re on the cusp of having “boots on the ground” open.substack.com/pub/undiplomat…
Phil Stewart@phildstewart
SCOOP!!! Trump administration considering deploying thousands of additional troops to the Middle East as the military prepares options for the possible next phase of the Iran war. One option for securing the Strait of Hormuz includes deploying troops to Iranian shores. w/@idreesali114
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The Strait was open until the US and Israel attacked. Not attacking—and not setting US diplomatic credibility on fire—was the only assured way to keep the Strait open. Seeking a plan now, boots or no, is unserious bc keeping the Strait open was obviously not a priority
ian bremmer@ianbremmer
i’ve yet to hear a workable near term (next 4-6 weeks) plan for how to open the strait that doesn’t involve us boots on the ground.
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$159 billion in 19 days on an illegal war while unemployment, inflation, and electricity bills grow. Who benefits?
Matthew Ford@warmatters
“it could take up to $32 bn…to replenish $16 bn worth of munitions used in 4 days.” So they’ve blown $159 bn in 19 days. I can’t think why the rest of NATO might be reluctant… I mean it’s not as if Europe hasn’t been told to focus on European security fpri.org/article/2026/0…
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There’s something to this in theory, but it’s kind of meaningless while all of these countries fail to de-align from the US
POLITICOEurope@POLITICOEurope
The European liberal political family is urging EU leaders to form a pact with Japan, Canada, and South Korea to deter Donald Trump and China from exerting undue pressure on trade partners, according to a paper seen by POLITICO. politico.eu/article/eu-lib…
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Every day we see more signs of what it looks like for the ruling class to wield state power while viewing its fellow citizens as a surplus population whose labor the economy doesn’t need and whose consent is not required to function: it’s unbridled militarism against democracy
Harry Eccles@Heccles94
Bombers leaving for Iran from England. We did not consent to this.
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@AndreasSteno @tianran This is because Iran’s strategy prioritised drones—not missiles—to degrade Us and ally defense during the first phase! Read the right stuff, and you won’t be surprised by shifts like this: open.substack.com/pub/undiplomat…
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Iran is firing MORE and they are hitting MORE per shot than during the first days of the conflict.
Not good..
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This is because Iran’s strategy prioritised drones—not missiles—to degrade Us and ally defense during the first phase! Read the right stuff, and you won’t be surprised by shifts like this: open.substack.com/pub/undiplomat…
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno
Iran is firing MORE and they are hitting MORE per shot than during the first days of the conflict. Not good..
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Van Jackson retweetledi
The Kat lesson, which has been true since 2022: Don’t run as a populist and a China hawk. You will lose every time
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Just finished a 2-hour recording with Morgan Spector, star of The Gilded Age and The Plot Against America. I’ve worked for 5 secretaries of defense. I’ve been in the situation room with Obama. He’s smarter (and obviously better) on policy than any of them. Kind of wild
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Van Jackson retweetledi
“the prospect of a military coup or resistance movement always depended on the officer corps. A revolt from below, by contrast, would look more like the GI resistance movement to Vietnam—fragging, desertions, lower morale and combat effectiveness” un-diplomatic.com/p/dont-count-o…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
JUST IN: The US Navy is investigating whether sailors aboard the USS Gerald R. Ford deliberately set fire to their own ship to end the deployment. That is the sentence. Read it again. The $13 billion carrier, the most expensive warship ever built, is now diverting to Souda Naval Base in Crete next week for refueling, repairs, and a formal investigation into the March 12 fire that damaged sections of the vessel and left more than 600 crew without proper sleeping quarters. Kathimerini, one of Greece’s most established daily newspapers, reported the details citing sources with direct knowledge of the planned port call. The investigation explicitly includes the possibility of deliberate sabotage by crewmembers. The Ford has been at sea since June 2025. Vice Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Jim Kilby told the Senate Armed Services Committee the deployment will run approximately 11 months, with return to Norfolk not expected until at least May. The crew was told they would be home months ago. They were extended. Then extended again. Then redirected into the largest Middle East military operation since 2003. And now some among them may have decided that fire was the only exit. If confirmed, this would be one of the most serious internal discipline events in the modern US Navy. A crew sabotaging its own vessel in a war zone does not happen because of poor food or bad weather. It happens when the institution has pushed human endurance past the point where the mission feels survivable. Eleven months at sea. Iranian drones striking Gulf airports daily. Eleven Reapers shot down in seventeen days. Gulf states pressing Washington not to stop but to escalate. No rotation ship. No relief force. No ceasefire on any horizon. And the carrier that embodies forward American naval power is pulling into a Greek port because 600 of its sailors have nowhere to sleep. The Crete diversion is the signal the market should be reading. The Ford is the only US carrier in the Gulf theatre. When it pulls into Souda, the sustained naval posture that was supposed to backstop convoy escorts, deter Iranian mining operations, and project power through the spring planting season temporarily loses its centrepiece. Repairs take days at minimum. Investigation takes longer. Every day the Ford sits in Crete is a day the Hormuz permissioned chokepoint operates without the threat of carrier-based air power overhead. After Crete, the Ford is expected to return to Gulf waters. The 11-month deployment timeline holds. But the sabotage investigation tells you something that no deployment order can override: the human beings inside the machine are breaking. The Mosaic Doctrine does not break. Provincial commanders do not file for shore leave. Standing orders do not need sleeping quarters. Mines do not experience morale collapse. The cheapest blockade in modern history runs on sealed packets and radio handsets while the most expensive warship in human history diverts to port because its own crew may have tried to burn their way home. The fertiliser trapped behind the permissioned strait does not care whether the Ford is in the Gulf or in Crete. The planting calendar does not pause for a sabotage investigation. And the 31 autonomous IRGC commands running the chokepoint do not need a $13 billion aircraft carrier to feel tired before they do. They were designed never to feel anything at all. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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