@AdamMancini4 Nice reclaim of 54. I used to just buy wicks and try to be early when it lost a level instead of waiting for a confirmation candle(with force). No guessing and it’s been a game changer! Done for the day
English
Luke
69 posts
0 to do but ride runner in #ES_F until we get vol. Long still working from Sunday's entry given here & newsletter (7085 backtest long OR 7120 Failed Breakdown both worked). Targets were 7147-53, 7160, 7178 (all hit)
7160 micro support, 7147-53 below (watch traps). Same upsides
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Every week the same in #ES_F. Sunday gap down. We long on the Failed Breakdown (7085 backtest long or 7120 Failed Breakdown), then ride runner all week. Targets I gave were 7147-53 (hit), 7160, 7166, 7178 (all hit) Plan: 7186, 7194, 7217 next slate. 7147-53=support (watch traps)
English
@AdamMancini4 Not had a great week so re read your strategy letter and waited for the 7056 reclaim “with force” like you say. I feel more confident waiting on the real sell to come now💪🏼
English
We remain in low volatility lockout rally still in #ES_F, but did get a micro-vol injection this morning. 7073 was target & its been a ceiling. 7056-7073=pure chop. Nothing interesting for me until 7016 and deep sell.
No change. 7056 reclaim sees 7073 again. 7087, 7093 if clears
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Micro injection of vol in #ES_F finally but we need much red more to get interested. After a 280 point rally from Sunday's 6793 failed breakdown, 7073 was today's 1st target. 7041, 7016 (where things get semi-interesting) are supports. 7056-7073=chop. 7056 reclaim high risk long
English
My last tweet was a few mins early because there's 7048 final target hit exact in #ES_F. Today's target slate was given at 8am. There were 3 targets: 7021, 7036, 7048. 7048 has hit. Anymore today from here is bonus for that runner. 7058, 7073 are bonus
No entries until deep sell
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
The slow, untradable grind up continues in #ES_F. We are still going from Sunday's 6793 Failed Breakdown. Today's targets given at 8am were 7021 (hit), 7036 (hit), 7048 (almost here). 7058+ are bonus. Nothing to do until volatility comes back and we get a proper sell/reset
English
@AdamMancini4 I read the methodology newsletter again this morning and I think a big part most overlook is having a clear r/r level and proper sizing. A lot of your followers obsess over your entries but managing them is the most important
English
As warned 1hr ago, its midday chop for #ES_F after an A+ morning: Best vol in weeks. Protect gains, don't ruin it. 6631 was support as posted. Held exact. 6644 reclaim was trigger up to 6673 (hit 2x), 6680-83 (not yet). Bears 100% control until 6705 recovers
Hold runner. Sell<31
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After every "elevator down" sell in #ES_F, comes short squeeze & we got it. Now mid day chop, protect gains. 6631 was support as posted. Held exact. 6644 reclaim was then trigger up. Targets given were 6660 (hit), 6680-83. Bears control <6705 6631 fails, next leg starts to 6611
English
6405-10 failure would trigger down to 6403, 6387 as posted and just arrived at 6387 in #ES_F. Remember wehn ES is in "elevator down" mode, it takes a major reclaim to start any sustained squeeze (which is inevitable)
That's 6405-10 now (1st up). 6374-69, 6349 below from here
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After popping to 6429 1st target in #ES_F, we are back to 6405-10. After losing the two week 6460 support yesterday, my sell target was 6405-10 as posted yesterday, where we bounced overnight. Watch for traps under the overnight low. 6420 must reclaim to rally. 6403, 6387 below
English
@AdamMancini4 Caught some lunch money on the 57 reclaim and done for the day. Market is extra news sensitive today but I’ll take that volatility!
English
As discussed in newsletter when #ES_F sells it goes "elevator down" and cuts every support for a few hours, then squeezes (last August we sold 479 points in 3 days, then squeezed 500). Never knife catch, always for the Failed Breakdown/reclaim. Just reclaimed 57, same upsides
English
@AdamMancini4 Had to wait for it but newsletter was precise as you always say. Nice reclaim of yesterdays low
English
6415 reclaim was long trigger and we got it at 345pm yesterday. My target was 6433-35, and back again. We've gone nowhere for 24hrs. 6407 to 6450-55= a chop range with 6435 magnet. Setting up FOMC, hold runner.
No change: 6435 (tested), 6415=supports to keep 6443, 6450-55 live.
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Perfect follow through in #ES_F. After dipping yesterday, we got the long trigger 345pm. I posted the 6415 reclaim targets 6421, 6433, both hit. Leave runner. 6407 to 6450-55=chop ahead of FOMC. Don't overtrade Plan today: 6435(tested), 6415=supports to keep 6443, 6450-55 live
English
@Riddler2828 I use both horizontals and parallel channels, horizontals are easier to start with though
English
Clean follow through in #ES_F from today's dose of volatility. I posed at 8:16AM that "6319 is below 6333 if things pick up". We hit 6319 exact 2x, recovered Friday's low to trigger up. We hit 6333-36, now basing here. Just hold runner.
6341, 6351 if ES wants more. Dip<6319
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Being spoiled with mild vol in #ES_F & need to take advantage while it lasts. Levels working well. As posted at 8:16AM "6319 is below 6333 if things pick up". We held 6319 exact, Failed Break of Friday's low, back to ~33 now. Protect gains. 6341+ above 6311, 6301 below 6319
English
@AdamMancini4 Sucks I missed it but I don’t hold overnight. I don’t have enough experience and being in a new range makes me even less sure so I’ll enjoy my Friday and wait for the next setup. Good calls Adam!
English
The parabolic run continues in #ES_F & this is what breaking out a 2 week macro triangle (on Monday) looks like. Today's support was 6208 with 6220, 6235, 6250 targets. We dipped to 6208, quick trap under, rallied. 6220 hit, 6235 hit. 6250 above. Hold runners
08 remains support
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
6220 target hit *again* in #ES_F. After the 6140 Failed Breakdown triggered at 2pm Wednesday, target was 6220 was posted all day yesterday and this morning. Hit this morning. I then posted 6208 was support, we sold there, quick trap, back to 6220. 6232, 6250 remain upside
English
@AdamMancini4 I used to worry about data and headlines but all you really need is a 15 min chart with good levels drawn and patience
English
Now +60 points from the latest trap in #ES_F & everyone should get the cycle now: Bearish headline, trap, Failed Breakdown, squeeze. After hitting 6050 target, we sold. I posted 12:31PM wait for the trap. We lost 6002, trap, long
6029, 6038, 6050 were targets, all hit. 6081 next
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
As posted nonstop #ES_F follows the same cycle: Bearish headline, trap, Failed Breakdown, squeeze. After running to 6050 target given 8am, we got a dip. I posted at 12:31PM to wait for the trap. We lost 7:45AM 6002 low, recovered. 6029, 6038 (hit), 6050 were targets 6081 above
English
@AdamMancini4 I couldn’t help but take that one and get out before. Very nice
English
With minutes until FOMC, the 6045-50 magnet has paid out again in #ES_F for a lvl to lvl move. As posted at 8am and again 20mins ago, 6045-50 reclaims were the long trigger today with 6060, 6066, 6081+ targets. At 6060 now ***protect your gains into FOMC**.
6036, 6026 supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Volatility picking up in #ES_F as we near FOMC. As posted at 8am and in newsletter, only 1 level matters today: 6045-50 magnet. Its reclaim was long trigger with 6060, 6066, 6081 targets. Back again. Same drill: 6045-50 reclaim triggers up. 6036 (held once today), 6026=supports
English
We continue to ping pong the same range in #ES_F. Today's support was 5956-61, with 5975 failed breakdowns triggering up to 6k+. We held 56-61 this morning, reclaimed 5975, rallied to 6k+. We just held 5956-61 *exactly* again
Same drill. 5956-61 must fail to start any proper dip
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After a 36 point squeeze, its mid-day chop time in #ES_F. After selling to 5956-61 support, I posted the 5975 Failed Breakdown would target 5985 (hit), 5994 (hit), 6k (hit). Hold runners now. 6k-5975 remains stubborn range 6014, 6030, 6044 when ready. 5985, 5975 remain supports
English
@AdamMancini4 I used to be one. Sizing down and waiting for a defined zone had been a game changer
English
New traders are obsessed with entries, but what helped me was realizing trade management is a *far* bigger win % driver. You could give 100 traders the same good entry & 50% will still lose due to bad mgmt. My system takes profits lvl to lvl & attaches lotto runner to each trade
English
Mild sell underway in #ES_F following the loss the 5958-63 shelf yesterday. We sold down to 5925 target/magnet, backtested 5958-63 exact last night, then sold. 5925 is now the bull/bear line
5910 was 1st below as posted, just hit. 5900, 5860 below. 5925 must recover to rally
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
After 6 green days, #ES_F put in its 1st dip ystd. 5925 was my sell target/bounce zone. I posted 5958-63 had to recover off it to bottom. We held ~5925, ran to 5958, sold there exact Plan today: 5925 remains magnet & trying to recover. 45, 58-63 above. 25 fails, dip 5910, 5900
English
@AdamMancini4 Lots of money made in the volatility the last few days, it’s due for a range bound chop day
English
You have to be a sniper in this vol: Plan entries, take it lvl to lvl, leave runner, *dont overtrade* in #ES_F. Today's trade as given 8AM was 4945 reclaim to 5075 target. We hit 5085 HOD.
5025 magnet now. Bulls want to base here to see 5075 again, then 5125-30. Same supports
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
5075 target hit in #ES_F, concluding the trade. As posted 800AM, 4945 reclaim triggered long with 5075 target and we got there. Now its time to get to sidelines, protect profits, hold small runner. *Do not overtrade* 5125-30, 5155=bonus targets. 5025, 4945, 4910=supports
English
@AdamMancini4 Just stopped out on the 4910 reclaim but those technicals worked great
English
As posted mins ago, 100 point moves are the new 10 point moves. I just posted that 4910 had to reclaim to rally, and we are up 100 points in literally minutes. This is the same long that worked last night. Arriving at 5025 target again.
5075 gap fill above, same supports.
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Market making 100 point moves with the ease it used to make 10 pt moves in #ES_F. As warned, size down, dont overtrade, don't pick bottoms. You don't need to trade this. Now down 150 points from 5025 target. 4854 next. 4832, then new lows 4787 below. 4910 reclaim to rally again.
English
@AdamMancini4 I’m not good at shorts and don’t try them, it took awhile to find some buyers but it was worth the wait
English
There's the power of the Failed Breakdown even in these historic conditions. I posted 20 mins ago when were 5190s that the Failed Breakdown of 5210 overnight low would see 5271. We got the trigger & hit 5271 exact. Obviously *protect gains now*
5328, 5377 if #ES_F can do more
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Full collapse continues in #ES_F and we tagged 5187-95, flushed it, and now back here. As posted the Failed Breakdown of the 5210 overnight low is key here and that could work ES back up the range again with 5271 remaining critical 5187-95 fails, we sell 5155 again, then 5125-30
English
@AdamMancini4 Could be an incredible buying opportunity when a very meaningful level does reclaim lol
English
With #ES_F in full collapse mode, its very important not to knife catch and try to bottom pick as these sells can go dramatically deep. Rallies occur only on a massive Failed Breakdown.
For now, that means 5515 reclaim to start a pop, and Mondays 5534 low recovery to squeeze it.
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Tariffs delivering volatility as expected in #ES_F. After a 150 point long from 5620-25 this morning which took us to 5770, I posted 5673 had to fail to sell. We lost it & went elevator down. Bulls must recover 5610-20 now to rally back up range. 5565 fails, new lows next 5525
English
