Robin Molenkamp

My $FCEL long thesis: open.substack.com/pub/themetrade…

$FCEL long swingtrade seems to breakout again.

Markets like the jobdata today $SPY

$DELL lol

@SophiaM_202 You can’t predict markets like that, it all depends on what happens next. I’ve outlined some potential negative catalysts in a recent article: @themetrader/note/p-196526182?r=18qh3s&utm_source=notes-share-action&utm_medium=web" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@themetrader/n…

@RobinMstocks how much longer can the market keep climbing?

Can someone smarter than me explain why the markets are *still* near record highs?

@WSJbusiness Long $FCX

Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk on.wsj.com/4cYiLQ7

@business @opinion New ways of monitoring data will be crucial for the FED, great to see improvement and changes to stay ahead.

Kevin Warsh has promised to fix the inflation data on his watch at the Fed. He should go further, says Aaron Brown, and avoid the temptation to let the political process pick the numbers (via @opinion) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

@business @opinion This is great.

@MaxCrypto BTC reversal play using $MARA explained here: open.substack.com/pub/themetrade…

BTC IS ABOUT TO CRASH HARD🚨

@MaxCrypto Long $MARA

@MaxCrypto Its not

@KobeissiLetter Futures are up?

BREAKING: US equity markets fall on reports that President Trump is preparing to restart “Project Freedom” in the Strait of Hormuz.

@KoyfinCharts Its simple: K shaped economy.

• The S&P 500: All-time highs. • US Consumer Sentiment: All-time lows.

@Barchart It can still go higher. The real shortages are yet to come, and it’s wise to position for an inflationary environment.

Global Supply Chain Pressure Index soars to its highest level in 4 years 🚨🚨

@KobeissiLetter Short $TLT

Investors are bracing for inflation: The US Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) ETF, $TIP, attracted +$900 million of inflows in April, the largest monthly intake since December 2021. This marks only the 2nd monthly inflow over the last 5 months. Furthermore, global inflation-linked bonds are up +2% year-to-date, outperforming all 24 major fixed-income indexes tracked by Bloomberg. Previously, in March, Euro inflation-linked bond funds attracted +$588 million in inflows, the most since March 2022, posting a strong reversal after almost a year of withdrawals. This comes as investors believe the Iran War will leave a lasting inflationary impact on the global economy, regardless of where energy prices go from here. Global inflation fears are surging.

@0xLuxi OF

How are 18-27 year olds actually getting rich without touching crypto?

@GlobalMktObserv This is true and is due to Tech getting bigger and bigger in the index as Tech itself is growing fast and bigger. It might reverse, it might not.

‼️The US stock market has almost never been this expensive in 150 years of data: The P/E10 ratio is currently at 37.9, the 2nd highest reading in history, surpassed only by the March 2000 Dot-Com peak of 44.2. This measures stock prices against the average of 10 years of inflation-adjusted earnings to smooth out short-term business cycle distortions This figure is +114% above its long-run arithmetic mean, placing into a zone only visited once before in history - during the Dot-Com bubble. Every previous time valuations have reached this extreme, the mean reversion followed over the next 10 years. Expect lower than average future returns.

@brockpierson @grok is this true?

I'm convinced 98.9% of you are actually bots

@midascabal That is true to some degree. Markets move in boom-and-bust cycles. But betting on a market crash is extremely difficult. It’s better to know how to manage risk when the crash comes than to spend all your time trying to predict it.

It’s a safer bet that the stock market will crash then actually go up forever.