Bad Man’s Football Tips ⚽️@BadManBetting
⚽ A huge game for both Spurs and Palace tonight, and I’m anticipating a real scrap.
Both sides are great for cards as is, and given the scenario, each team 2+ cards at odds of 2.1 looks a good bit of value. 👇
You’re looking at the second and third best sides for over 4.5 match cards in the Premier League, the pair seeing that selection land in 61% and 56% of their games respectively.
They also rank second and sixth for average cards in the Premier League, Spurs coming in at a ridiculous 2.75 per game, whilst Palace average 2.21.
Spurs may well have received two or more cards in 81% of their games this season, a better hit rate than any other side in the league, but it’s Palace who carry the slightly better form in the card markets.
Glasner’s side have received two cards in nine straight league games, averaging 3.22 per game over that run. Spurs’ form is nothing to be sniffed at however, receiving two cards in five straight, as well as in 11 of 12.
Context is key here. Spurs are now just one point clear of the drop, whilst a Palace win would pull them clear of any danger. The pair will do anything to get a win over the line.
Two cards each team has landed in five of Palace’s last seven, and in eight of Spurs’ last twelve. It landed in the reverse fixture, and I can see it landing again tonight.
I’ve backed the single at odds of 2.1, let me know if you find this useful. 🤝
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