DRubchinskiy

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DRubchinskiy

DRubchinskiy

@RubchinskiyD

Shaping Onchain / @CaspersLabs

Building Katılım Temmuz 2024
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Caspers Labs
Caspers Labs@CaspersLabs·
"Movement" represents the most important factor for agencies. Prolonged stagnation at a single point often precipitates failure. Many agencies currently provide common marketing services, such as KOL and influencer marketing. At Caspers Labs is dedicated to advancing and exploring unique and rare marketing methodologies to provide best service for our clients
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GIGFI ⚽️
GIGFI ⚽️@Gigfi_·
Immediately after creator selection, we’re opening new roles at @Gigfi_ Community Managers Moderators Growth Marketers More roles coming… On the other side, we also have 5 guaranteed remote roles with partner companies This is your hint to be early Turn on notifications Don’t miss it
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DRubchinskiy
DRubchinskiy@RubchinskiyD·
> Why 2023-2025 bull market failed // The crypto market of recent years has broken many people. People went in looking for the “alpha,” but ended up with BTC, which simply and quietly outperformed everything else. The rest is a quagmire of poor performance and endless “it’s about to take off” hype. And here it’s important to understand one unpleasant truth: this isn’t a coincidence. It’s by design. The story begins with FTX. Not even with the collapse itself, but with what came after. When the liquidators arrived, their mission wasn’t to “preserve the market.” Their mission was to sell everything. At any cost, in any form. Including massive amounts of locked SOL. And here’s where it gets interesting. They essentially invented a new transaction format: you pay now, receive tokens later. Legally, the on-chain lock-up remains, but economically, the asset has already been sold. The discount? 60%+. Sometimes more. Because you’re taking on the risk of time and price. // Who buys this? Not retail investors. Hedge funds. And now comes the most important part. The fund buys SOL at a massive discount, immediately opens a short position on futures, locks in the price, adds staking, and adds the basis. The result is an almost risk-free structure with a 70–80% return. No “belief in the project.” No “community.” Just financial engineering. Naturally, they liked it. And they asked the logical question: where else can you do this? Answer: Everywhere. Virtually every project has early investors, funds, and foundations—and huge token allocations that are “locked up.” On paper. But in reality? They’ve already been sold. Sold to those same funds. At a discount. With the same hedge via derivatives. // And what happens next? You buy a token on the spot market, thinking that “the lock-up will protect against pressure.” But the pressure is already here. It just comes through short positions on futures. Your “alpha” at that moment turns into someone else’s arbitrage. That is exactly why the 2023–2025 market looked so weak. Not because “there’s no narrative.” Not because “there’s not enough money.” But because a significant portion of the upside has already been bought out and hedged by professional players. You weren’t just outplayed. You were structurally put in a position where it’s hard to win. // There is, by the way, some irony here. Many of these “future unlock events” that everyone fears have, in essence, already been realized. The tokens have changed hands. The risk has been redistributed. That is, in the next cycle, some of this pressure may simply not materialize. But that doesn’t make the game fair. Crypto increasingly resembles a casino. Where you don’t know the rules. But those sitting at the table on both sides do—both as market makers and as players. In 2023–2025, the “house” had the advantage over those who understood this trade. Everyone else simply provided them with returns. // The conclusion is unpleasant but simple: if you don’t have access to such structures, you’re playing a losing game. The most boring option turns out to be the most effective one again. BTC. No illusions. No Xs. Just don’t participate in someone else’s scheme.
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Gustavo
Gustavo@gustavo_eth_wgm·
prediction market is the most underated thing ever , that is like memecoins in 2023 actually no one from big exc doesn't have that feature . big new circle is coming
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Gustavo
Gustavo@gustavo_eth_wgm·
^_^what after all FNFs will farm each other , will start farming each other inside of their own groups ^_^
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dimi
dimi@DimitriDotEth·
1 trade and afk to outperform the market.
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DRubchinskiy
DRubchinskiy@RubchinskiyD·
STATE OF MARKET 1 > In the trenches, the hot topic of discussion right now is how to “change the game” and start fighting against the vamps // Obviously, all the degens have been talking about this for a while, but now Alon (pumpfun 💊), Tom (bonk 💵), and the guys from FOMO and Axiom have joined the conversation. 2 > A lot has been said, a minor update was rolled out (which changes absolutely nothing), and only one thing has become clear: no one knows how to prevent this at the software level // The root of the problem lies in trader behavior and a lack of trust in the market itself. There are just too many people out there who dump tokens at a 30% loss and then farm the maximum profit using software, selling into every buy order. 3 > So far, things look as bleak as can be, since the only solutions that could lead to positive momentum would hurt the launchpads’ profits; on the other hand, if nothing changes in the trenches, we’ll really be left with 1,000 nutcases shuffling coins from one pocket to another…
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DRubchinskiy
DRubchinskiy@RubchinskiyD·
BONK GUY - down $20M on Useless, but still holding A post analyzing Bonk Guy's assets went viral on X. They have fallen by $20 million compared to the peak of his on-chain portfolio at the end of 2024, and by $15 million compared to the peak of USELESS in July 2025. But he is still holding his positions. Bonk Guy not only hasn't sold all his USELESS bags (which are now worth about $1.18M), but he also still holds DOGE (around $85.6K), the asset that brought his portfolio to its peak in 2024. Will he ever be able to return to previous values?
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