Ryan Watson

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Ryan Watson

Ryan Watson

@RyanLukeWatson

Deep Koots roots and hardy Bluenose branches in the glorious Zim sun. Geostrategist, storyteller, and entrepreneur. Sovereignty for all.

Halifax, Nova Scotia Katılım Ocak 2009
554 Takip Edilen315 Takipçiler
Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Did he seriously just call American military procurement practices "the best"? As a finance guy (Finance Minister, actually), has he looked at the results the Iranians are getting per dollar vs the Americans do you think? They are not even in the same league. The Americans are no longer the model to follow. Their defense spending is orders of magnitudes less effective, and generations behind. I agree buy local, but if we go with the corporate/union model of defense contracting we won't be getting real defense, we'll just be spending money. Now is NOT the time to try to emulate the American military-industrial complex.
Scott Robertson@sarobertsonca

François-Philippe Champagne on defence spending: "We're going to build at home with Canadian workers, Canadian products -- gone are the days where we're just buying from the shelf abroad."

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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
@WayneMathison All true. Trump is temporary. Progress can be made even amidst his chaos. If Iran is willing to sit down with him again and again, surely we could? 😂
Cole Harbour 30, Nova Scotia 🇨🇦 English
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L. Wayne Mathison
L. Wayne Mathison@WayneMathison·
Yes, Trump has caused trouble on CUSMA. That is not an argument for Carney sitting back. That is the argument for him doing his job. You do not negotiate only with easy people. You negotiate with difficult people because your economy depends on it. Canada ships a huge share of exports to the U.S., and CUSMA has helped shield much of that trade from Trump’s wider tariff regime. So walking away or hiding behind “America is unpredictable” is not strategy. It is surrender with better vocabulary. Carney should be pushing a hard North American package: tariff relief, autos, steel, aluminum, lumber, energy, pipelines, agriculture, critical minerals, border security, Arctic defence, and secure supply chains. The serious deal is not “trust Trump.” The serious deal is: protect Canada’s leverage before Mexico uses theirs better than we use ours.
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
What's most telling about this is how she links values and principles to security (ahem Empire) in the Caucasus. She seems to be saying that Canada shares Imperial values. I share many European values, but imperialism is NOT one of them. Canada has no place in Asian wars.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇪🇺🇨🇦 Canada is at the European Political Community Summit because, according to Kaja Kallas, VP of the European Commission: "Europe is not just about geography, it's also about the values and principles we share." No wonder Europeans hate EU bureaucrats

Cole Harbour 30, Nova Scotia 🇨🇦 English
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Ryan Watson retweetledi
RUSEN || Press
RUSEN || Press@RusenPress·
Çin, Afrika'ya petrol rafinerisi yaptı, Avrupalılar sinirlendi. Nijerya, Çin sayesinde petrol değil benzin satar hale geldi. Nijerya, Afrika'nın en büyük petrol üreticilerinden olmasına rağmen rafinerisi yoktu. Çin, 20 milyar dolarlık Dangote Petrol Rafinerisi’ni yaptı. Bu sayede Mart ayında günde yaklaşık 44.000 varil benzin ihraç edildi. 317.000 varillik tek bir sevkiyat Mozambik’e ulaştı — Doğu Afrika’ya ilk teslimatı oldu. Günlük 650.000 varil kapasitesinin ≈ %94’ünde işletilen, Lagos merkezli rafineri, iç talebi karşılıyor ve fazlası yurtdışına gönderiliyor. Üretim, üç yıl içinde günde 1,4 milyon varile ulaşması öngörülüyor. Bu sayede Afrika'nın en büyük rafinerisi olacak.
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Stop imperial wars. Stop funding attacks on our neighbours across the Arctic Ocean. Defend our own shores instead. Invest in Canadian defense, not a geopolitical offensive halfway around the world. Please.
Mark Carney@MarkJCarney

Today, we announced $270 million of new military support to Ukraine. Ukraine’s fight is our fight. Their cause — freedom, democracy, sovereignty — is our cause. Good to see President @ZelenskyyUa today in Yerevan. 🇨🇦🇺🇦

Cole Harbour 30, Nova Scotia 🇨🇦 English
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Rebuilt out of Europe? 😂🤣 I really hope our Prime Minister is not betting Canada's future on Europe as the next centre of global power. And what security interests exactly do we have in the Asian heartlands he lists? Their security is their business, not Canada's. This kind of talk makes us look like we have imperial ambitions. Please stop.
Megatron@Megatron_ron

NEW: 🇨🇦🇪🇺Canadian PM Mark Carney says the new international order will be build by Europe and Canada “It’s my strong personal view that the international order will be rebuilt — but it will be rebuilt out of Europe.”

Cole Harbour 30, Nova Scotia 🇨🇦 English
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
This is hardly some kind of big revelation about US strategy. Same as British strategy before it. The only thing new now is how fast it is failing. Gunboats can no longer hold chokepoints (see Hormuz). That changes the balance of power massively.
🇺🇸🇺🇸DADA🇺🇲🇺🇲@BredsguardDalen

Is America's plan actually to take control of all the choke points on the ocean in order to gain total control of global economy? Of this is the case, will it hurt America in the end? What's your thoughts?

Cole Harbour 30, Nova Scotia 🇨🇦 English
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Canada is about to spend tens of billions on a few submarines that will not launch until the 2030s, and will then need decades of militarily useful life to justify the cost. Meanwhile, in the real world of warfare, hardware innovation cycles have collapsed from months to weeks, and software cycles are down to days. Minister @DavidMcGuinty, given what has been demonstrated on the battlefields of Ukraine and Iran in the last six months, can you please make the case again to Canadians that this is an investment that will actually help protect us in the era of modern war?
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Are these guys serious? Regulate the open source models? Have they given even the most basic thought to enforcement? Do they suggest a government bug on every server everywhere to ensure no one runs code that they don't approve of? Good luck with that.
Fareed Zakaria@FareedZakaria

How worried should we be about powerful new AI models like Anthropic's “Mythos,” which the company has deemed too dangerous for public release? I asked @CFR_org senior fellow @scmallaby, who has just written a new book called “The Infinity Machine: Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, and the Quest for Superintelligence”:

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Alex Barnicoat
Alex Barnicoat@AlexBarnicoat_·
Due to a young girls request, Iran just unveiled a PINK drone... What are your thoughts on this?
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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Horrible outcome? Why? Is open source code really a threat to American national security? Or is this just horrible because it makes American strategy look totally incompetent? But how is it ultimately bad for American companies that their AI costs will now drop by a factor of 10?
Ricardo@Ric_RTP

China just made Silicon Valley's entire AI industry look like a scam. The US government spent 3 years trying to stop China from building competitive AI. But this backfired HORRIBLY. Here's what happened: Yesterday, a Chinese startup called DeepSeek released a new AI model called V4. It matches the performance of OpenAI and Anthropic's best models. At 1/7th the price. And for the first time ever, it was built on Chinese chips. NOT American ones. That last part is the one that terrifies the west. For context: Since 2022, the US has banned the export of advanced AI chips to China. The entire strategy was built on the assumption that if China can't access Nvidia's best hardware, they can't build frontier AI. But DeepSeek just proved that assumption wrong. Their V4 model was trained and runs on Huawei's Ascend chips. Huawei spent months working directly with DeepSeek to make sure V4 runs across their entire line of AI processors. Jensen Huang even predicted this on a recent podcast: "The day that DeepSeek comes out on Huawei first, that is a horrible outcome for our nation." That day was yesterday. And the numbers are crazy: DeepSeek V4 costs $3.48 per million output tokens. OpenAI's latest model GPT-5.5 costs $30. Anthropic's Claude charges $25. Same ballpark performance. 7x cheaper. Uber's CTO just admitted they burned through their ENTIRE 2026 AI budget in 4 months using Anthropic's tools. If Uber had used DeepSeek instead, that same budget would have lasted 7 YEARS. 4 months vs 7 years. Same work getting done. But the pricing isn't even the big thing here. The real story is what DeepSeek did with their technical report: They published the benchmarks where they LOSE. Every AI company cherry-picks the tests where their model wins. DeepSeek ran the full comparison against GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini, found they trail frontier models by 3 to 6 months, and printed it anyway. They literally don't care because the price gap makes the performance gap irrelevant for 90% of use cases. So the US export controls didn't slow China down. They ACCELERATED China's independence. Because Chinese developers were FORCED to train models with limited resources, they had to figure out how to make AI radically more efficient. That constraint became their competitive advantage. Every generation of DeepSeek has gotten dramatically cheaper to train. V4 continues the trend. Meanwhile US companies are going the OPPOSITE direction: OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro costs $180 per million output tokens. That's 51x more expensive than DeepSeek V4 for comparable work. The Commerce Secretary confirmed this week that ZERO Nvidia advanced chip shipments have actually gone through to China despite being approved in January. So China built frontier AI anyway. Without American chips. At a fraction of the cost. And the market response tells you everything: Chinese chipmaker SMIC surged 10%. Huahong Semiconductor jumped 15%. DeepSeek's Chinese AI competitors Zhipu AI and MiniMax dropped 9% because V4 is destroying them too. DeepSeek is making Silicon Valley's pricing model look like a scam. US tech companies spent $650 billion on AI infrastructure this year. DeepSeek just showed the world you can match their output for pennies. The export controls were supposed to be America's ace card. Instead they taught China how to win without American chips, at American prices nobody can compete with. Jensen Huang was right. This is a horrible outcome. But it's the outcome America built for itself.

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Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson@RyanLukeWatson·
Yup. As expected. This process is unstoppable. If it takes a couple hundred engineers to build a frontier model from scratch today, how long until a frontier model builds the next generation of itself unsupervised?
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand

That's pretty incredible: is there anything Xiaomi cannot do? They just released a frontier AI open source model that looks insanely good 👇 And that's after: - launching the most popular EV car in China - being the 3rd most popular phone brand in the world - being the world's #1 wearables brand - literally making every home product imaginable from rice cookers to toothbrushes It also, incidentally, shows that we're at a stage where the barrier to entry for making a world-class frontier model is virtually non-existent: any good company with a couple hundred engineers dedicated to the task can do it. Which means, and that was the point of my article yesterday (open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…) that the model layer of the AI stack is now, basically, a commodity - which makes the U.S. strategy of pouring hundreds of billions into "winning" that exact layer look more absurd by the day.

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