Sayan Kombarov 🇰🇿

My new book on #Economics. From the first principle of #Nature of #leastaction, according to which all #humanactions must follow their natural path, as #AdamSmith suggests, would lead to greatest opulence. The principle of #physics applies to all human activity

@ole_b_peters @minus1_12 Here’s my take on DSGE, information, time series, financial stability and econometrics as a whole from the most universal and fundamental principle of conservation of energy and action congress.avekon.org/papers/3032.pdf

@minus1_12 It's the result of analyzing tens of thousands of financial time series, and I was trying out different ways of visualizing the information. This one turned out surprisingly pretty.

I think most of finance is a waste of valuable time on earth. But sometimes it's pretty, so it has its uses, I suppose.

@ole_b_peters Finance is the tool to make use and sense of everything valuable in life, understand, preserve and share time, energy and all physical finite resources of the Earth!

Why price stability and #DSGE are possible only under commodity #money standard #gold @energyofhumanaction/note/p-199346516?r=40d3j7&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@energyofhuman…

How #leastaction principle of physics explains economic #boom and #bust cycles, #bubbles and #crises and why main stream economic theories #EMH/#DSGE utilized by all policy makers and central banks fails open.substack.com/pub/sayankomba…

Экономические #циклы и #кризисы, #нестабильность цен - это результат отрыва кредитно-денежного предложения центральных банков от товарных денег, золота и реальных товарных ресурсов #ДКП open.substack.com/pub/sayankomba…

Финансовые пузыри. Экономика - это процесс диффузии ликвидности в информационную структуру в форме активов, товаров и услуг #bubbles #information #blackswans #crises #economic #cycles open.substack.com/pub/sayankomba…

How to derive Gaussian PDF from the Least Action principle of Physics claude.ai/public/artifac…

My paper on economic #crashes and #bubbles proves their inevitability despite efficient market hypothesis and “Equilibrium Path” linkedin.com/posts/sayankom…

@TheAtlasSociety @JMilei So, the world GDP per capita grows exponentially? That is my equation for this growth: Q = Q(0)T{exp(Rt/T)-1}/R divided by human population. The empirical data for World GDP per capita grows exponentially at the rate of 3.4%!

The blueprint for modern prosperity.

Read this #preprint on @researchsquare: The US Macro-Learning Curve: Empirical Evidence from Post-War #GDP and #Productivity Dynamics. #Economic laws from the Principle of least Action of #Physics researchsquare.com/article/rs-896…

US Economy as a Macro-Learning Curve: Log Productivity (Output/Hour) vs. Log Cumulative Real GDP (1947–2024). Slope β ≈ 0.3349 (~20.8% learning rate). Interest-rate entropy decays with γ ≈ -0.45. #Economics #LearningCurve #Macroeconomics

My economics model correlates with Bitcoin price vs its hash rate #Bitcoin price vs. cumulative computational work (total hashes ever performed) – deterministic learning curve

@ole_b_peters My own research, "Action in Economics: Mathematical Derivation of Laws of Economics from the Principle of Least Action in Physics," approaches these problems from the perspective of classical mechanics. Is there a formal link between our theories? congress.avekon.org/?p=/conf/13/pa…

The common story is this: Expected-utility theory does not accurately describe human behavior. It is deemed descriptively poor. But people should behave that way: EUT is normatively correct. Ergodicity economics resolves the tension: it shows EUT to be normatively flawed.

@hajiyev_rashad What do you think about concerns of prices being to diverse from MOAs?

Another breakout to all time high in silver. $200 silver does not look that far anymore...

@curtis90335 @GoldPredictors Wow it’s a very deep drop, but is seems unlikely

@SMKombarov @GoldPredictors I expect a correction eventually back to about $4000, but maybe not till next year.

#GOLD shows no signs of correction and targets the $5,500 to $6,000 zone.

@curtis90335 @GoldPredictors Some technical analysts predict impending painful correction

@GoldPredictors Agreed, my target is $5750 for gold too.

“In all her works, animate or inanimate, Nature is always the simplest, the most economical, the least. I have proved it for light, for stones, for living bodies. The same law must govern the actions of men.” — Pierre-Louis Moreau de Maupertuis, 1744–1750

@PerBylund Mathematics is very powerful in explaining all sciences. Combined with physical principle of least action we can derive the law of marginal value, Say’s law, interest rate theory, statistical distributions, infinite time series, Wright’s and Metcalfe’s laws

Mises on the mathematical approach to economics. (Human Action, p. 347)

@hajiyev_rashad Swing from 78 to 120 and then back to below 100 are really shaky and violent. But 40 up and 20 down

I expect silver initially to run into a triple digit area around $114 - 120, which is going to be a shocker for most. Senior silver miners SIL could push to $115-120 level along silver. Then I expect a scary pullback in silver back to under $100, which should take SIL lower for a retest of 2011 high. If one survives said pullback then he/she has a chance to ride wave up $200 plus in silver, SIL to $180 at least. This post is not an investment advice...

@johnjhin7 So, you think silver price will fall in near future?

$SILVER, M. MY LONGTERM ECHNICAL TARGET. #SILVER