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I received campaign leaflets from the Conservatives before the locals claiming that very thing, ‘vote for us, Reform cannot win here, don’t let Labour win’. I threw the leaflet in the bin and voted Reform regardless. So I reject the framing of your question. I know my area, and Restore Britain have a very good chance of winning here, as they do in any predominantly white, working class area. Great Yarmouth proved it was possible, Makerfield has a similar demographic, so I guess we’ll see who the people believe will represent them best - and regardless of who wins the by-election, Labour will still be in number 10 for three more years. I don’t hate Reform, I believe they would slow down the decline, but they won’t go far enough to reverse the damage that’s being done, and we’re running out of time. So the hardest working, unashamedly patriotic MP, Rupert millions must go Lowe has my vote going forward.

Good for you. But the real question is this: If Restore stood a candidate in your area with very little chance of winning, while Reform had a strong chance of victory, who would you vote for? Would you stick strictly to principle and vote Restore, even though it would likely hand the seat to Labour — with all that entails, including more migrants and Islamists being settled in your community? Or would you vote with your head for Reform, the party with a realistic chance of winning and actually fighting against these issues? This is exactly the dilemma facing voters in Makerfield. They despise Labour for dumping huge warehouses on their green spaces, along with years of mismanagement. Reform is currently the strongest and best-placed party to beat Labour and will actively fight for local interests. Many people support Restore’s ideas, but they know that voting for them would most likely let the party they hate — Labour — stay in power for another four years.

I spent several days knocking doors in Kingstanding during the 2022 Erdington by-election, and only one person told me they'd vote Reform I spent one day knocking doors in Kingstanding this month, and three people told me they would vote for Restore Britain if they stood

@SBozzled @tomwhx I live in Kingstanding. I lent my vote to Reform in the locals, as did my family and a couple of my neighbours, simply because Restore Britain had no candidate… this time. Toms observation may be anecdotal, but it doesn’t make him wrong.

Mate, that's not a surge. That's statistically meaningless anecdote dressed up as proof of the revolution. Kingstanding, where Reform just cleaned up in the May 2026 locals (winning both seats with big numbers). Restore Britain barely exists as a party and has zero presence there. Three people out of however many doors you knocked? That's textbook selection bias + small sample copium.