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Samuel Ramani
36.2K posts
Samuel Ramani
@SamRamani2
DPhil/PhD Intl Relations @UniofOxford Assoc Fellow @RUSI_org Author "Russia in Africa" & "Putin's War on Ukraine" @HurstPublishers Email [email protected]
London, England Katılım Ekim 2013
3.7K Takip Edilen202.3K Takipçiler
This is the problem with the blockade framing regarding Hormuz
Iran is trying to exert police action control over the Strait, allowing friendly countries in but unfriendly countries out
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BREAKING: Iran says that it allows ships from some countries to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
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A non-lethal attack but nonetheless, a clear expansion of Iranian aggression towards Oman
Ports like Salalah and Duqm were initial oil related targets, now the pattern is mirroring that of other GCC countries
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The creation of a IRGC-Hezbollah axis in Lebanon and Iran's use of Lebanon as a launchpad for drone strikes in Cyprus poses broad security challenges
This is why Lebanon is trying to assert its sovereignty against Iran
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BREAKING: Lebanon summons Iran's charge d'affaires over interference
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Joseph Aoun is trying to showcase his ability to be both hard on Hezbollah and to use diplomatic savvy to get Israel out of bombing it
Israel's expansive attacks on Beirut are fueling this (even those like the latest Hezbollah finance linked ones)
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BREAKING: Lebanon says it will not become a "free for all" in a war between others
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Israel and the US have viewed the Basij as potential key targets
Given Mojtaba Khamenei's rumoured leadership of Basij and closer ties to IRGC than his father, the impetus grew
A major new Israeli move in the war
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BREAKING: Israel bombs the Basij police forces of the IRGC
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Iran's new Supreme Leader issues a predictable statement
Yet he remains invisible
My latest article for The Telegraph tries to demystify the meaning of his invisibility
telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/1…
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Yemen's Houthis have not entered the Iran War
My latest Telegraph article explains Houthi restraint and why Iran is eyeing the Red Sea as its next destabilization nexus
telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/1…
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This post exemplifies how Bahrain has seeped into Iranian hardliner thinking
x.com/hamidrasaee/st…
حمید رسایی@hamidrasaee
طرح بحرین علیه ایران (محکوم کردن ایران بدلیل ادعای حملات علیه کشورهای عربی منطقه) در جلسه شورای امنیت با ۱۳ رأی تصویب شد. یکی از نتایج این جنگ انشالله باید، بازپسگیری بحرین و الحاق آن به ایران باشد.
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Iranian hardliners are reiterating past calls for the annexation of Bahrain
The Fifth Fleet, Bahrain-Israel relations and the completion of Khomeini's revolutionary vision are all in play in Iranian aggression towards Bahrain
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100% correct
Oman’s safe harbour status is under siege
Ibrahim Jalal | إبراهيم جلال@IbrahimJalalYE
Iran’s attacks on Oman are small in number. The implications aren’t By striking fuel infrastructure tied to US naval logistics at Salalah Port, Iran is terribly testing the limits of Omani neutrality The real signal isn’t the drones, but the target set. New on The Horizon Brief
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This is when the Houthis would enter
Al-Shabaab, residual Eritrean logistics and smuggling from Djibouti would intensify their capabiliites
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Should the Hormuz shut-off hold, other key facilities like Fujairah also get hit, the Red Sea and its 2.2 million bpd of Saudi oil exports will be in the crossfire
To complete its strategy of economic pain maximization for the US, Iran could cause disruption
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The Houthis have condemned the Iran War as criminal aggression
The Houthis have also called out Gulf countries as enablers of the war
Yet they have not been activated by Iran yet on the Red Sea or Bab el-Mandeb
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