@TheGoldenBlazer Fair - I meant to say online** poker tournament, which obviously is 1/2/3 hours more severe on the east coast
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Sam Warren
8.5K posts
Sam Warren
@SamWarren31
This being human is a guest house, every morning a new arrival join a depression, a meanness, some momentary awareness comes as an unexpected visitor @coldplay
Katılım Temmuz 2011
1K Takip Edilen503 Takipçiler
The Pacific Time Zone is by far in a way the best time zone. We're over here in Philly and the late March Madness games are STARTING at 10pm?!? How do you Eastern Time Zone people live like this?!?
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Sam Warren retweetledi
I think it’s funny that the first game of March Madness is always an 8/9 just to immediately screw half of all brackets
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Sam Warren retweetledi
A lifetime ago, in my very first job, I worked as a college admissions dean for my alma mater.
We always held admitted students’ visit weekend in April, and I was blown away to learn that the admission staff could predict the “yield” from that event (the share of visitors who’d enroll) based on the forecast.
☀️ = the class might be over-enrolled
☔️ = we might be going to the wait list
They were never wrong in their weather-based predictions.
I’ve always considered this to be a fascinating indicator about the whole college application endeavor.
NBER@nberpubs
Poor weather when touring a college campus reduces students' likelihood of applying, from Olivia Feldman, Joshua M. Hyman, and @MattMcGann nber.org/papers/w34944
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Sam Warren retweetledi
Sam Warren retweetledi
“How to get a shooter open 101” and it’s a moving screen where he holds the defender lol
RB@RBPhillyTake
How to get a shooter open 101
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Instead of reading The Atlantic article from today, I'd encourage you instead to check out the best gambling article of all time from 7 years ago @spanky @davehill77
And if you've never read it, you're in for a treat. I reread this once a year.
theringer.com/2019/06/05/gam…
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Sam Warren retweetledi
The ability to quickly reset and recover. From a bad interaction. From a bad day. From a missed workout. From a poor decision. You can start over whenever you want. You can't always control what happened, but you can control how long you carry it.
Dear Son.@DearS_o_n
What’s a “boring” skill that secretly gives a man huge advantage in life?
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@AllOrNubbin @1ReachGreatness Yeah I am assuming it similarly to you
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@SamWarren31 @1ReachGreatness I’m not sure. I didn’t see it play out that way but I doubt it. I think you just get the remainder after vig and your opponent’s EV payout. So at that point, I think I’m basically just running out a turn and river vs the house for all or none of the remainder of the pot.
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Question:
Has anyone ever been a big favorite in an all-in hand with cards to come, declined the cash out while the other person accepts the EV Cashout offer as a big underdog and then lost the hand to the player who took the EV?
What happens to the pot after the hand?
CoinPoker@CoinPoker_OFF
Do you use EV Cashout to protect your mental game or do you let the cards fall as they may?
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@AllOrNubbin @1ReachGreatness Is it opposite in the other case? If you decline cashout EV option & your opponent accepts…board runs out 🧱 🧱 . You win full pot, and villian receives $160 EV (essentially out of site’s pocket?)
I’m assuming site is taking some rake/vig on their cashout offers to cover it?
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@1ReachGreatness I played a $650 pot on Coin where my opponent was in rough shape with 2 cards to come. He takes EV of about $160. I decline my EV offer. Board runs out, he gets there and gets his $160. The other $500 just gets raked by Coin. Am I crazy for thinking that’s insane?
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Sam Warren retweetledi
88 players are selected to the Pro Bowl each year. 1,696 players are on NFL rosters at the start of the season.
Only 5.2% of players make the Pro Bowl.
Zac Stevens@ZacStevensDNVR
Fascinating stat: Only 5% of players that change teams in free agency make the Pro Bowl the next year. The big signings in free agency aren't nearly as impactful and the money that's thrown around.
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 Maybe! But I do find it ironic that the couldn’t win a single-elimination game in their conference tournament, but you seem to be convinced that they would’ve play a better game in the single-elimination MM round 1. Some days a good team just has a bad day, and vice versa!
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@SamWarren31 @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 There will always be good games later in the tournament. The first round magic is disappearing before our eyes.
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 Maybe!
But last year also had Duke (the best team in the tourney?) losing to Houston in the final 4 in a close game. So there’s gonna be variance no matter what, best team isn’t gonna win every time (and that’s the beauty of the Madness!)
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@SamWarren31 @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 The gap between 10th and 100th was 15-16 points 5 years ago.
It's up to 22 now.
The tournament field needs completely retooled or we're going to get more dud first rounds like last year.
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 It might! But doesn’t change the fact that the winner is just gonna have to win 6 single-elimination games in a row. You can’t take the high variance style out of March Madness no matter how ya slice it - you might as well lean into it!
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@CrystariumsKeep @SamWarren31 @Blutman27 2022-23 was first real year of free transfer. You'll never get that again. It's going to look more and more like last year - more predictable with less chaos.
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@SamWarren31 @ChadAHolloway @PokerNews @MikeHoltzPoker @phil_hellmuth They’d change it as well imo. Maybe $25k min cash
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ICYMI, in recent episode of @PokerNews Podcast, @Bloodlow, @MikeHoltzPoker & I made poker predictions for 2026.
That includes me getting 7:1 @phil_hellmuth wins a bracelet & someone thinking WSOP main Event buy-in will go to $15K.
Check it out here 👇
youtu.be/ZkFyDMNjLTA?si…
YouTube
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 And again - the irony being that the “better” team couldn’t win a single, high-variance conference tourney game, and now are missing their ticket to the OTHER high-variance tourney (March Madness) where you say they would’ve had more success if they got there 🤷♂️
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 Yeah I mean idk, I guess every conference is different. Ivy League just has the top 4 teams play in a tourney, for example.
But kinda missing the point, IMO. Wanting a lower variance method to elect the teams to play a high variance tourney (ie, March Madness) is the irony
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@sekrah @CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 The tournament itself is a single elimination tournament. The best team doesn’t win March Madness every year, and the fun of the tournament is rooting for the upsets. Lean into the variance!
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@CrystariumsKeep @Blutman27 I want the best teams. You don't get them from 1 game samples sizes. Go learn something about probabilities and variance. You being a math illiterate is a you problem.
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Sam Warren retweetledi
Joe Mazzulla when asked if Jayson Tatum will return in March
“I MIGHT NOT BE ALIVE… I GO TO BED QUESTIONABLE, I WAKE UP PROBABLE.”
(Via @NBCSBoston, h/t @CourtsideBuzzX)
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