@RyanGarciaESM people thinks this tells us "analytics" can't capture scrappy teams when it really just reveals the playoffs have expanded to the point teams that aren't good get wild card seeds.
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Rob Sasso
3.8K posts
Rob Sasso
@SassoCT
Former @dubp_hockey Captain | Former Trash Can Banger @astros | Yankees | Patriots | Red Wings | Pistons | Chasin' That Neon Rainbow
United States Katılım Ağustos 2012
232 Takip Edilen667 Takipçiler
Every year we do “the analytics can’t capture this” about a scrappy team that gets the doors blown off of them in October
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@YankeesFiles That seems, extremely bullish. I am looking at Clay Davenport’s 3rd order standings which has liked us more so far this season, too. Shocked PECOTA likes the Rays that much unless they have some very easy schedule going forward that will help them.
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PECOTA Check. The model now basically believes the Yankees will be multiple games better than the Rays over the rest of the season, but that the Rays have banked enough wins for that not to matter.
All the FG playoff odds models (except season to date and coin flip) prefer NYY.
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@YankeesFiles I was told these numbers don’t matter because we have too many .700 OPS bats and guys below the Mendoza line plus we are already going to get bounced in the ALDS. Gotta love fans who can’t stand this team.
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This would be one way to look at a comparison of the Yankees and Rays.
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If you have questions you'd like us to discuss on the next podcast, send them in!
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I am a strategic genius
Yankees Files@YankeesFiles
Yankees should consider employing the world famous "home run" in this here inning
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@LombardIsKing_ Also if you have any lead that is greater than innings left (ex. up 4 after 6 innings) you could use this guy and never lose.
Any good team would use this guy to great effect.
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@LombardIsKing_ This pitcher would be extremely valuable as a closer. People are focusing on the 9 ERA, which in a normal context is awful. However, if you have any lead greater than 1 run you have a guaranteed win after 8 innings. For context the Yankees had 72 such games last year.
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Weird question. Realistically how valuable would a pitcher who only and ever gives up one run each inning he pitches would be? Like he gives up a homer to the first batter then 1-2-3 rest of the inning
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@RyanGarciaESM Devin Williams having an unlucky year in 2025 is having negative effects on our pen this year. Could’ve really used him back.
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The Yankees are 4-4 in games they’ve led after six innings during their 4-10 stretch
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@SassoCT @YankeesFiles 5.5 games out btw. Typical shill bullshit. You love losing
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One thing I am learning from the discourse following this game is that Rays fans are infinitely more fun than Jays or Astros fans. Wow.
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@jassond0minguez @YankeesFiles Genuine question. Before the 4-10 stretch they were 16-2. Does that stretch not count anymore? Was it all fake? Or do only the poor stretches mean something? It’s been frustrating but you can’t have it both ways.
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@YankeesFiles Thoughts on them being 4-10 in last 14? You told me they were a good team liar.
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@YankeesFiles the problem is the doomers want the yankees to play like the rays did that inning. they will ignore that all of this happened because of 2 errors. this would not have been an issue if the offense was not in the middle of a slump.
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This is the stupidest inning of all time and people are going to act like the Rays can sustainably succeed doing this bullshit
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@RyanGarciaESM The cognitive dissonance from the pro-Jones crowd is so baffling to me it is funny. I guarantee if you made a Venn Diagram of people who thought Joey Gallo struck out too much and people who think Spencer Jones is getting stonewalled it would be one circle.
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Spencer Jones ran a 44.4% K% and had a .426 OPS.
JAKE OLIVER ELLENBOGEN@JKBOGEN
Spencer Jones wouldn’t have been jogging around the bases and wouldn’t have been thrown out🤷♂️
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@YankeesFiles Looked it up because I thought there’d be something there and found this nugget: the Yankees are tied for 1st in the AL in getting shutout and scoring 10+ runs (5 times each) and we lead the AL in runs scored. Very weird shape to the season offensively.
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Gerrit Cole is pitching tomorrow and some of you are gonna spend the next 21 hours unhappy. Friday. Long weekend. Gerrit Cole. 30 WAR Summer. Let’s BOOGIE.
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@YankeesFiles His arm angle is 1 of 1, no one is particularly close in terms of angle or release height. Helps all his stuff move much differently than the rest of the league, which is making his fastball play up.
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I sincerely hope that someday Yesavage is exposed as a gimmick fraud who the league has figured out.
I fear he is way, way, way too good for that to happen.
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@YankeesFiles you see it is still early in the season, i.e. before lunch, once it is lunch time ours will be eaten by others
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The Yankees, who I am told fold against every rival, are 13-7 (.650) against Boston, Houston, Baltimore, Tampa, the Mets, and Toronto thus far this year.
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@SassoCT @YankeesFiles And lost 5 games in the standings and will continue to do so.
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@AndThatsBB Boone’s biggest flaw is his name is too easy to rhyme or use in a portmanteau. I expect more from my skipper.
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It's hilarious that any bad week now is the start of "the Boone swoon." It's a 162 game season we're gonna have bad weeks and sometimes bad months.
Tristan@YankeesFocus
On the myth of the “June Swoon” Yankees record/win % by month in the Aaron Boone era (2018 — present): April: 134-92 (.593) May: 137-67 (.672) June: 107-77 (.582) July: 94-85 (.525) August: 123-103 (.544) September: 129-90 (.589)
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@GreenfieldMax18 What is the lowest OPS you’d let Bailey get regular at bats with?
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I'm not sure about this whole Buster Posey POBO thing.
Jeff Passan@JeffPassan
BREAKING: The Cleveland Guardians are acquiring two-time Gold Glove-winning catcher Patrick Bailey in a trade with the San Francisco Giants for the No. 29 pick in this year's draft and left-handed pitching prospect Matt "Tugboat" Wilkinson, sources tell ESPN.
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@YankeesFiles @ejk666249656 You're arguing with someone who thinks the political affiliation of our starters is influencing their strong performance, this is an easy ignore. You don't need to feed the trolls.
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@ejk666249656 I'm not sure how you'd come to that conclusion from this post
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Buddy thinks he knows more than Brian Cashman about his own players 💀
Yankees Files@YankeesFiles
Ask yourself this question: what would you sound like if you reacted to this play the same way you're reacting to that one video going around of Anthony Volpe making an error?
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