Labrador Skeptic

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Labrador Skeptic

Labrador Skeptic

@SaysSimulation

Seeker. Husband. Father. Populist. Producerist. USDA Zone 5B. Proudly Midwestern. Heartland Enthusiast!

A small city in the Heartland Katılım Ekim 2020
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
Per CENTCOM via the WSJ, the US defensive fire consisted of destroying six Iranian small attack boats, that were attacking commercial shipping. Nonetheless, 3 merchant ships were attacked today, also more drone & missile attacks on the UAE.
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation

Per the WSJ (link later), there's a rapid escalation in the Arabian/Persian Gulf. US Naval destroyers did not escort, but in combination with US aircraft they set up a defensive screen, and are defensively firing in support of merchant shipping. 1/

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Martin Skold
Martin Skold@MartinSkold2·
It was more nearly the opposite: Appalachia writ large was pro-Union on enemy-of-my-enemy grounds - this was the reason for WV’s existence (broke away from VA and applied to rejoin the Union separately), but basically all of Appalachia was somewhere between an area of weak Confederate support and an openly insurgent zone throughout. As you got away from the slaveholding coastal plain, support for the Confederacy rapidly fell away. In fact, Civil War estimated death rates relative to population (which is a good proxy for military participation) were among the lowest in Tennessee, the one Confederate state wholly within Appalachia. pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
For fans of alternate histories - what would have happened if the Scotch-Irish had united instead of splitting, and had allied with the Cavaliers? Well, the Confederacy would have had an extra five states: MO, KY, OH, IN & IL. Close to half of the Union Army would have 1/
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation

This is where the things get complicated again. The Lower Midwest & Upland South share the Scotch-Irish folkway, and the Upland South was very different from the Cavalier Deep South. Missouri & Kentucky refused to secede, West Virginia seceded from Virginia, and the last two 1/

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Labrador Skeptic retweetledi
The Last Great Arrakian Dynasty
In the American Civil War, the Quakers managed to engineer a situation where they had immigrants, all of the Puritans, and about half the Scots-Irish helping the US government fight the Cavaliers and the other half of the Scots-Irish In World War Woke, the Quakers (ideology, not so much genetics) have a very different coalition. You have nearly all of the Scots-Irish and about a quarter of the Puritans on the side of the Cavaliers, but they still (for now) hold most of the much larger federal government (bureaucracy, judges, etc) and there are a lot more immigrants (although they are not as per-person capable as the 19th century Germans and Irish)
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation

However, where it does apply is all the current Civil War talk, where Leftists fantasize about easily killing those racist Southerners. Um no, this time the Scotch-Irish are united with the Cavaliers, we're all deep Red. 4/

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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
@mhlasap My interpretation is that the US is shooting at drones, missiles and maybe small attack boats(?) that are in the process of attacking, but that they aren't striking or suppressing the attacks on the shore. Details are sparse at this point, we'll be finding at.
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
Per the WSJ (link later), there's a rapid escalation in the Arabian/Persian Gulf. US Naval destroyers did not escort, but in combination with US aircraft they set up a defensive screen, and are defensively firing in support of merchant shipping. 1/
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation

Fascinating. While they're not calling it "escorting", we have US destroyers transiting the Strait, "assisting" merchant ships in exiting. I'm seeing rumors that Iran attacked a US naval vessel, but nothing official. This is big if it holds. Where are the Europeans?

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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
However, where it does apply is all the current Civil War talk, where Leftists fantasize about easily killing those racist Southerners. Um no, this time the Scotch-Irish are united with the Cavaliers, we're all deep Red. 4/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
Now, in terms of the Civil War, this is purely a military alternate history. The Lower Midwest was in opposition to both secession and slavery, while their Scotch-Irish cousins in the Upland South were heavily conflicted. 3/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
"U.S. forces didn’t physically escort the merchant vessels, but instead established a defensive shield using warships and aircraft to protect them, the senior official said." 4/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
This is a very important part of the Civil War that is glossed over today. There was no unified South - there was the Deep South (and Texas) and the Upland South. The slave-owning Upland South was split - three current states didn't secede & the others were the last to secede. 1/
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation

This is where the things get complicated again. The Lower Midwest & Upland South share the Scotch-Irish folkway, and the Upland South was very different from the Cavalier Deep South. Missouri & Kentucky refused to secede, West Virginia seceded from Virginia, and the last two 1/

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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
Multiple ships transiting would seem to imply that there is indeed a mine free channel near Oman, so there is a second route out of the Gulf now open. 2/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
Fascinating. While they're not calling it "escorting", we have US destroyers transiting the Strait, "assisting" merchant ships in exiting. I'm seeing rumors that Iran attacked a US naval vessel, but nothing official. This is big if it holds. Where are the Europeans?
U.S. Central Command@CENTCOM

U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers are currently operating in the Arabian Gulf after transiting the Strait of Hormuz in support of Project Freedom. American forces are actively assisting efforts to restore transit for commercial shipping. As a first step, 2 U.S.-flagged merchant vessels have successfully transited through the Strait of Hormuz and are safely headed on their journey.

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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
or believes will be completely ignored in Asia, Africa or the Americas. Unless Europe has something to offer the specific nation that is worthwhile to that nation, meaning almost certainly some sort of economic advantage. 6/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
The Europeans are going to have a lot of trouble accepting their #4 status among the Great Powers. In many ways they think they still run the world, that they are in charge of international law and so forth. No, we're heading very fast towards a place where what Europe wants 5/
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